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International banking and financial fragility: the role of regulation in Brazil and Mexico, 1967–1982

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 July 2021

Sebastian Alvarez*
Affiliation:
University of Zurich
*
Dr Sebastian Alvarez, University of Zurich, Zurich 8001, Switzerland; email: sebastian.alvarez@uzh.ch; personal webpage: www.sites.google.com/site/salvarez06/.
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Abstract

The shortcomings and potential dangers of international financial flows for the health and stability of domestic banking systems in developing countries have been copiously discussed over the last decades. While the importance of capital controls and regulation as determining factors has been widely emphasised, the extent to which these policies work in episodes of financial crisis is still a matter of debate. This article examines the relationship between supervisory frameworks and banking fragility in Mexico and Brazil in the wake of the international debt crisis of 1982. It shows that the model of international banking intermediation that evolved out of the stringent capital mobility system in Brazil was considerably less vulnerable to crisis than in Mexico, which had a more lightly regulated regime. These findings provide insights into historical debates about the implications of prudential regulation and capital controls for the development and expansion of foreign finance, and whether the risks underlying international banking are necessarily inherent in the process of financial globalisation.

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Type
Articles
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the European Association for Banking and Financial History
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Figure 1. Foreign banking liabilities in Brazil and Mexico, 1967–82Source: Banco de Mexico's Annual Reports and IMF's IFS Yearbook 1983.

Figure 1

Table 1. The Brazilian and Mexican banking sector in 1982

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Table 2. Foreign borrowing and lending models of Mexican and Brazilian banks

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Figure 2. Domestic vs foreign costs of funding in Brazil and Mexico, 1977–82Note: Mexico: spread between the average annual interest rate of domestic bank fundraising instrument (pesos) and the 1–3-month Eurodollar deposit rate (US$) adjusted by monthly devaluation; Brazil: spread between effective annual interest rate of descontos and Resolution 63 repass loans as published in Revista Exame.Source: Banco de Mexico's series Financieras Historicas, Revista Exame (several issues).

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Table 3. Brazilian and Mexican banks in the US and London, June 1982

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Table 4. Asset and liability structure of Mexican and Brazilian banks in the US, June 1982 (million US$)

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Figure 3. Share of Brazilian foreign offices lending to Brazil, 1972–82Note: Ratio of Resolution 63 and Law 4.131 lending by the foreign network of Brazilian banks to total Resolution 63 borrowing (excludes the operations of Banco do Brasil foreign agencies).Source: Based on data from Cruz (1984) and Freitas (1989).

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Figure 4. Interbank funding of Brazilian and Mexican banks in the USSource: FFIEC 002 Reports.

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Table 5. Maturity analysis of the London branches of Mexican and Brazilian banks, 1982

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Figure 5. Brazilian and Mexican banks' leverage on foreign fundingNote: Other (9) includes Bradesco, Banco Nacional, Unibanco, Nordeste, Bandeirantes, Banerj, BCN, Banco Safra y Banco Auxiliar.Sources: Revista Bancária Brasileira, multiple bank bulletins and Lloyds Bank archive (book 9246).