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Enhanced estimation of glacier mass balance in unsampled areas by means of topographic data

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 September 2017

Luca Carturan
Affiliation:
Department of Land and Agro-forest Environments, University of Padova, Viale dell’Università, 16, 35020 Legnaro (PD), Italy E-mail: luca.carturan@unipd.it
Federico Cazorzi
Affiliation:
Department of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences, University of Udine, Via delle Scienze 208, 33100 Udine, Italy
Giancarlo Dalla Fontana
Affiliation:
Department of Land and Agro-forest Environments, University of Padova, Viale dell’Università, 16, 35020 Legnaro (PD), Italy E-mail: luca.carturan@unipd.it
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Abstract

A new method was developed to estimate the mass balance in unsampled areas from existing datasets. Three years of mass-balance data from two glaciers in the central Italian Alps were used to develop and test a multiple-regression method based exclusively on a 10m resolution digital terrain model. The introduction of a relative elevation attribute, which expresses the degree of wind exposure of the gridcells, notably increased the amount of explainable variance in winter balance with respect to altitude itself. The summer balance is highly correlated with elevation, but, in order to obtain reliable extrapolations, the clear-sky shortwave radiation and the diurnal cloud-cover cycle had to be taken into account. The net annual mass balance on a glacier system comprising the two monitored glaciers was calculated by applying both a single regression of winter and summer balance with altitude and the new regression method. The consistency of results was assessed against measured net balances and snow-cover maps drawn in the ablation season. The results of the new method were in close agreement with observations and proved to be less sensitive to the spatial representation of the sampled areas.

Information

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s) [year] 2009 
Figure 0

Fig. 1. Geographical setting of the study area.

Figure 1

Table 1. Physical characteristics of UVLA glaciers. The elevations are in metres above sea level. ELA65 and ELA50 are the equilibrium-line altitudes corresponding to accumulation-area ratios of 0.65 and 0.50, respectively

Figure 2

Table 2. Accumulation-area ratios for the UVLA glaciers in the years 2004–06 and corresponding anomalies in accumulation season precipitation and ablation season temperature from the 1967 to 2006 averages, at the Careser Diga weather station

Figure 3

Fig. 2. The four glaciers of the UVLA catchment. (a) Vedretta del Careser, (b) Vedretta de La Mare, (c) Vedretta Venezia and (d) Vedretta Rossa. Photographs taken by L. Carturan in 2007.

Figure 4

Table 3. Correlation, R, for bw and independent variables (E: elevation; S: slope; α: aspect; REAr: relative elevation attribute). Correlations significant at the 0.05 level are bold type; degrees of freedom are in parentheses

Figure 5

Fig. 3. Determination coefficient, R2, of the linear regression between bw and independent variables.

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Fig. 4. Measured versus calculated bw using the W1 method (bw and E) and the W2 method (bw, E and REAr). Empty squares: La Mare; filled squares: Careser. The straight line indicates a 1 : 1 relationship.

Figure 7

Fig. 5. Determination coefficient, R2, of the linear regression between bs and independent variables.

Figure 8

Fig. 6. Measured versus calculated bs with the S1 (bs and E), S2 (bs, E and CSR) and S3 (bs, E and RCSRk) methods. Empty squares: La Mare; filled squares: Careser. The straight line indicates a 1 : 1 relationship.

Figure 9

Table 4. Accuracy of the two bw extrapolation methods, W1 (bw and E) and W2 (bw, E and REAr). Bold type indicates a determination coefficient, R2, significant at the 0.05 level and n is the sample size

Figure 10

Table 5. Accuracy of the three bs extrapolation methods S1 (bs and E), S2 (bs, E and CSR) and S3 (bs, E and RCSRk). Determination coefficients, R2, are significant at the 0.05 level and n is the sample size

Figure 11

Fig. 7. Snow-cover maps for four dates in 2004 (left) and net-balance maps for the same year, obtained by single linear regression of altitude (centre) and by multiple regression (right). The black dots are the ablation stakes. Careser glacier has been translated to fit in the figure.

Figure 12

Fig. 8. Measured versus calculated bn at the ablation stakes of Careser glacier (filled squares) and La Mare glacier (empty squares) in 2004, on the left by simple linear regression with E, on the right by multiple regression.