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Prediction of fruit and vegetable intake from biomarkers using individual participant data of diet-controlled intervention studies

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 April 2015

Olga W. Souverein*
Affiliation:
Division of Human Nutrition, Wageningen University, PO Box 8129, 6700 EV Wageningen, The Netherlands
Jeanne H. M. de Vries
Affiliation:
Division of Human Nutrition, Wageningen University, PO Box 8129, 6700 EV Wageningen, The Netherlands
Riitta Freese
Affiliation:
Division of Nutrition, Department of Food and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
Bernhard Watzl
Affiliation:
Department of Physiology and Biochemistry of Nutrition, Max Rubner-Institut, Federal Research Institute of Nutrition and Food, Karlsruhe, Germany
Achim Bub
Affiliation:
Department of Physiology and Biochemistry of Nutrition, Max Rubner-Institut, Federal Research Institute of Nutrition and Food, Karlsruhe, Germany
Edgar R. Miller III
Affiliation:
Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
Jacqueline J. M. Castenmiller
Affiliation:
Netherlands Food and Consumer Product Safety Authority, Utrecht, The Netherlands
Wilrike J. Pasman
Affiliation:
TNO, Zeist, The Netherlands
Karin van het Hof
Affiliation:
Unilever, Vlaardingen, The Netherlands
Mridula Chopra
Affiliation:
School of Pharmacy and Biomedical Science, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth, UK
Anette Karlsen
Affiliation:
Department of Nutrition, Faculty of Medicine, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, University of Oslo, Blindern, Oslo, Norway
Lars O. Dragsted
Affiliation:
Department of Nutrition, Exercise and Sports, Faculty of Science, University of Copenhagen, Frederiksberg C, Denmark
Renate Winkels
Affiliation:
Division of Human Nutrition, Wageningen University, PO Box 8129, 6700 EV Wageningen, The Netherlands
Catherine Itsiopoulos
Affiliation:
Faculty of Health Sciences, Latrobe University, Bundoora, VIC 3086, Australia
Laima Brazionis
Affiliation:
Department of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Saint Vincent's Hospital, VIC 3065, Australia
Kerin O'Dea
Affiliation:
Sansom Institute of Health Research, University of South Australia, Adelaide, SA 5001, Australia
Carolien A. van Loo-Bouwman
Affiliation:
Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Radboud University Nijmegen Medical Centre, Nijmegen, The Netherlands
Ton H. J. Naber
Affiliation:
Department of Internal Medicine and Gastroenterology, Tergooi, Hilversum, The Netherlands
Hilko van der Voet
Affiliation:
Biometris, Wageningen University and Research Centre, Wageningen, The Netherlands
Hendriek C. Boshuizen
Affiliation:
Division of Human Nutrition, Wageningen University, PO Box 8129, 6700 EV Wageningen, The Netherlands
*
* Corresponding author: Dr O. W. Souverein, fax +31 317 482782, email olga.souverein@gmail.com
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Abstract

Fruit and vegetable consumption produces changes in several biomarkers in blood. The present study aimed to examine the dose–response curve between fruit and vegetable consumption and carotenoid (α-carotene, β-carotene, β-cryptoxanthin, lycopene, lutein and zeaxanthin), folate and vitamin C concentrations. Furthermore, a prediction model of fruit and vegetable intake based on these biomarkers and subject characteristics (i.e. age, sex, BMI and smoking status) was established. Data from twelve diet-controlled intervention studies were obtained to develop a prediction model for fruit and vegetable intake (including and excluding fruit and vegetable juices). The study population in the present individual participant data meta-analysis consisted of 526 men and women. Carotenoid, folate and vitamin C concentrations showed a positive relationship with fruit and vegetable intake. Measures of performance for the prediction model were calculated using cross-validation. For the prediction model of fruit, vegetable and juice intake, the root mean squared error (RMSE) was 258·0 g, the correlation between observed and predicted intake was 0·78 and the mean difference between observed and predicted intake was − 1·7 g (limits of agreement: − 466·3, 462·8 g). For the prediction of fruit and vegetable intake (excluding juices), the RMSE was 201·1 g, the correlation was 0·65 and the mean bias was 2·4 g (limits of agreement: − 368·2, 373·0 g). The prediction models which include the biomarkers and subject characteristics may be used to estimate average intake at the group level and to investigate the ranking of individuals with regard to their intake of fruit and vegetables when validating questionnaires that measure intake.

Information

Type
Full Papers
Copyright
Copyright © The Authors 2015 
Figure 0

Fig. 1 Flow diagram of study selection process.

Figure 1

Table 1 Overview of study characteristics of included studies

Figure 2

Table 2 Baseline characteristics of the included studies (Mean values and standard deviations)

Figure 3

Table 3 Baseline characteristics of the included studies (Mean values and standard deviations)

Figure 4

Fig. 2 Dose–response curves between serum carotenoids ((a) α-carotene, (b) β-carotene, (c) lutein, (d) zeaxanthin, (e) β-cryptoxanthin, (f) lycopene), (g) plasma/serum folate and (h) vitamin C and fruit, vegetable and juice intake. The ○ indicate the individual data points, and their sizes are proportional to the number of individuals for each specific intake (i.e. the larger the circle, the more individuals were available for analysis).

Figure 5

Fig. 3 Dose–response curves between serum carotenoids ((a) α-carotene, (b) β-carotene, (c) lutein, (d) zeaxanthin, (e) β-cryptoxanthin, (f) lycopene), (g) plasma/serum folate and (h) vitamin C and fruit and vegetable intake (excluding juices). The ○ indicate the individual data points, and their sizes are proportional to the number of individuals for each specific intake (i.e. the larger the circle, the more individuals were available for analysis).

Figure 6

Table 4 The predictors on the multiple completed* datasets (n 492† in each completed dataset) from a linear regression analysis (Regression coefficients, standard errors, and powers)

Figure 7

Table 5 Performance measures of the different prediction models as calculated by cross-validation

Figure 8

Table 6 Pearson correlations between fruit and vegetable intake and biomarkers

Figure 9

Table 7 Performance measures of the best-performing prediction models per study as calculated by cross-validation

Supplementary material: File

Souverein supplementary material

Tables SA-SE and Figures SA-SB

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