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Large-scale distribution patterns of carnivores in northern South Africa: implications for conservation and monitoring

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 November 2011

Michelle Thorn*
Affiliation:
University of Brighton, Biology Division, Huxley Building, Lewes Road, Moulsecoomb, Brighton, BN2 4GJ, UK.
Matthew Green
Affiliation:
Mammal Research Institute, Department of Zoology and Entomology, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa
Mark Keith
Affiliation:
School of Animal, Plant and Environmental Sciences, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
Kelly Marnewick
Affiliation:
Endangered Wildlife Trust, Carnivore Conservation Group, Johannesburg, South Africa
Philip W. Bateman
Affiliation:
Mammal Research Institute, Department of Zoology and Entomology, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa
Elissa Z. Cameron
Affiliation:
Mammal Research Institute, Department of Zoology and Entomology, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa
Dawn M. Scott
Affiliation:
University of Brighton, Biology Division, Huxley Building, Lewes Road, Moulsecoomb, Brighton, BN2 4GJ, UK.
*
University of Brighton, Biology Division, Huxley Building, Lewes Road, Moulsecoomb, Brighton, BN2 4GJ, UK. E-mail thorn_green@hotmail.com
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Abstract

Accurate assessment of carnivore population status is frequently hindered by insufficient distribution data. For northern South Africa we address this deficit by mapping new records from landscape-scale sign surveys, questionnaire interviews, problem animal records and camera trapping. The black-backed jackal Canis mesomelas and caracal Caracal caracal remain common and widespread. Ranges of the serval Leptailurus serval and brown hyaena Hyaena brunnea were much larger than previous estimates, reducing the risk of simultaneous extirpation across all occupied locations. The proportion of range area occupied was larger for several species, notably the leopard Panthera pardus, cheetah Acinonyx jubatus and serval. We conclude that the serval continues to recover from historical threats and is expanding into new areas. A larger brown hyaena range and less fragmented pattern of occurrence probably confers greater resilience to threats than was suggested by previous data. Reduced extinction risk arising from the increased area occupied by the cheetah and leopard is tempered by probable local range contraction. Our maps provide baseline information for monitoring the distribution of these six species, which is essential in managing ecological issues that have a spatial component such as responses to changing land use. Our results also demonstrate the utility of detection/non-detection surveys in rapid assessment of carnivore populations at large spatial scales.

Information

Type
Carnivore conservation
Copyright
Copyright © Fauna & Flora International 2011
Figure 0

Fig. 1 (a) Current provincial boundaries and location of the study area, which comprised the North West province and Thabazimbi district, an adjoining area of Limpopo province, and (b) historical provincial boundaries in South Africa.

Figure 1

Fig. 2 Methods used to collect data in ¼ degree squares (QDS) in the North West province and Thabazimbi district (Fig. 1) between 2000 and 2008.

Figure 2

Fig. 3 Distribution maps showing the ¼ degree squares (QDS) in the North West province and Thabazimbi district (Fig. 1) believed occupied by each of the six carnivore species during 1990–2000 (Keith, 2004) and the QDS where we measured occupancy during 2000–2008: (a) black-backed jackal Canis mesomelas, (b) caracal Caracal caracal, (c) serval Leptailurus serval, (d) brown hyaena Hyaena brunnea, (e) cheetah Acinonyx jubatus, (f) leopard Panthera pardus. Extent of occurrence (EOO) is the minimum convex polygon containing all South African records of the species, intersected with the study area. QDS believed occupied during 1990–2000 (Keith, 2004) but not re-sampled in our surveys. QDS where we detected the species during 2000–2008 but Keith (2004) did not. QDS where both our study and Keith (2004) reported the species. QDS where we did not detect the species. Revised EOO taking account of new data from this study. Areas falling outside of the EOO polygon or excluded in Keith (2004) as unsuitable habitat. Protected areas. Breeding records from this study.

Figure 3

Table 1 Estimates of minimum extent of occurrence (EOO; extent of the study area falling within the minimum convex polygon encompassing all records of the species in South Africa) and area of occurrence (AOO; the summed area of all occupied grid cells falling wholly or partly within the study area) in 2000 and 2010 for six carnivore species. Trends are expressed as the percentage difference between our estimates and those calculated from Keith (2004).