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Multifinality in pathways from early ecological adversity to children’s future self-regulation: Elucidating mechanisms, moderators, and their developmental timing

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  21 March 2025

Juyoung Kim*
Affiliation:
Department of Psychological and Brain Sciences, The University of Iowa, USA
Grazyna Kochanska
Affiliation:
Department of Psychological and Brain Sciences, The University of Iowa, USA
*
Corresponding author: Juyoung Kim; Email juyoung-kim@uiowa.edu
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Abstract

Detrimental impacts of early ecological adversity on children’s development are known, but our understanding of their mechanisms and factors contributing to multifinality of developmental trajectories triggered by adversity is incomplete. We examined longitudinal pathways from ecological adversity parents experienced when children were infants, measured as a cumulative index of fine-grained scores on several ecological risks, to children’s future self-regulation (SR) in 200 U.S. Midwestern community families (96 girls). Parents’ observed power-assertive styles were modeled as mediators, and their negative internal working models (IWMs) of the child, coded from interviews – as moderators. Both were assessed twice, at 16 months and at 3 years, to inform our understanding of their developmental timing. Children’s SR was reported by parents and observed at 4.5 years. Path analyses revealed moderated mediation in mother-child relationships: A path from higher early ecological adversity to elevated power assertion to children’s poorer SR was significant only for mothers with highly negative IWMs of the child. Maternal negative IWMs assessed early, at 16 months, moderated the link between ecological adversity and power assertion. Once elevated, maternal power assertion was stable through age 3 and not moderated by IWM at age 3. There were no significant effects in father-child relationships.

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Type
Regular Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Table 1. Descriptive statistics of and correlations among study variables

Figure 1

Figure 1. Longitudinal relations from ecological adversity at age 8 months to maternal power assertion at age 16 months and age 3 years to children’s self-regulation at age 4.5 years in mother-child dyads.Note. IWM = internal working model, SR = self-regulation. Solid lines represent significant paths and dashed lines represent non-significant paths. Child gender, SR antecedent at age 8 months (Orienting/Regulatory capacity), and paternal power assertion at age 16 months were covaried but not depicted for clarity. Unstandardized coefficients and standard errors (in parentheses) are presented. * p < .05. *** p < .001. Significant moderated mediation from ecological adversity at age 8 months to SR difficulties at age 4.5 years through maternal power assertion at age 16 months and age 3 years, with mothers’ negative IWM of the child at age 16 months serving as the significant moderator (see Table 2).

Figure 2

Table 2. Moderated mediation from ecological adversity at age 8 months to maternal power assertion at age 16 months and age 3 years to children’s self-regulation at age 4.5 years: Moderation by maternal negative internal working model at age 16 months and at age 3 years

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Figure 2. Maternal negative internal working model of the child at age 16 months as a moderator of the relation between ecological adversity at age 8 months and maternal power assertion at age 16 months.Note. IWM = internal working model. A simple slope of maternal negative IWM at the high level (84th percentile) was 0.23, SE = 0.06, 95% confidence interval [0.11, 0.35], p < .001.

Figure 4

Figure 3. Longitudinal relations from ecological adversity at age 8 months to paternal power assertion at age 16 months and age 3 years to children’s self-regulation at age 4.5 years in father-child dyads.Note. IWM = internal working model, SR = self-regulation. Solid lines represent significant paths and dashed lines represent non-significant paths. Child gender, SR antecedent at 8 months (Orienting/Regulatory capacity), and maternal power assertion at age 16 months were covaried but not depicted for clarity. Unstandardized coefficients and standard errors (in parentheses) are presented. * p < .05. ** p < .01. No significant moderated mediation was found.

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