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Plenty of prey, few predators: what limits lions Panthera leo in Katavi National Park, western Tanzania?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 January 2009

Christian Kiffner*
Affiliation:
Department of Conservation Biology, Centre for Nature Conservation, Georg-August-Universität Göttingen, Von-Siebold-Strasse 2, 37075 Göttingen, Germany.
Britta Meyer
Affiliation:
Katavi-Rukwa Conservation and Development Programme, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Michael Mühlenberg
Affiliation:
Department of Conservation Biology, Centre for Nature Conservation, Georg-August-Universität Göttingen, Von-Siebold-Strasse 2, 37075 Göttingen, Germany.
Matthias Waltert
Affiliation:
Department of Conservation Biology, Centre for Nature Conservation, Georg-August-Universität Göttingen, Von-Siebold-Strasse 2, 37075 Göttingen, Germany.
*
Department of Conservation Biology, Centre for Nature Conservation, Georg-August-Universität Göttingen, Von-Siebold-Strasse 2, 37075 Göttingen, Germany. E-mail ckiffne@gwdg.de
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Abstract

We present a study from Katavi National Park and surrounding areas that assessed the size and structure of the lion population as a baseline for wildlife management. We assessed lion and prey species density directly by sample surveys that incorporated specific detection probabilities. By using three prey-biomass regression models we also indirectly estimated lion density based on the assumption that these indirect estimates represent the Park's carrying capacity for lions. To identify key factors influencing lion abundance we conducted Spearman Rank correlation and logistic regression analyses, using prey species abundance and distance to Park boundary as explanatory variables. The mean size of the lion population was 31–45% of the estimated carrying capacity, with considerably fewer subadult males observed than expected. Lions generally avoided areas of up to 3 km from the Park boundary and were not observed outside the Park. Abundance of common prey species was significantly correlated with distance to the Park boundary and lion abundance. Lion abundance was most strongly associated with waterbuck abundance/presence. Based on observed lion demography, an evaluation of hunting quotas in adjacent hunting blocks, and anecdotal information on traditional lion hunting, we hypothesize that anthropogenic mortality of lions outside Katavi National Park is affecting lion abundance within the Park. Our results suggest that estimating lion densities with prey-biomass regression models overestimates densities even inside protected areas if these areas are subject to natural and anthropogenic edge effects.

Information

Type
Carnivore conservation: Papers
Copyright
Copyright © Fauna & Flora International 2009
Figure 0

Fig. 1 The study area, showing the locations of all calling stations of the lion survey in 2005 and the triangular transects used for the prey species survey in 2004.

Figure 1

Table 1 Estimates of mean densities and coefficient of variation of density (CV) of large mammalian herbivores in Katavi National Park. Mean biomass density was derived from average female body weight multiplied by 0.75 * mean density.

Figure 2

Table 2 Number of approaching lions when the sound was played from a known distance to a known number of lions. Lions tested multiple times are indicateda,b.

Figure 3

Table 3 Indirect vs direct lion density estimates in Katavi National Park. The indirect density was estimated by using the relationship between prey biomass density (using data from the 2004 dry season herbivore count) and lion density. The direct estimate was derived from the playback census carried out in the dry season of 2005.

Figure 4

Fig. 2 Number of lions responding to the playback sound in relation to distance to the border of Katavi National Park. Negative values on the x-axis indicate locations outside the Park.

Figure 5

Table 4 Spearman Rank correlations between number of encountered herbivores in 2004 and responding lions in 2005 and between number of encountered herbivores and distance to Park boundary from the centre of each sample plot. For all correlations n = 39.

Figure 6

Table 5 Population structure of responding lions during the systematic playback survey carried out in Katavi National Park over August–November 2005 and, for comparison, in Maasai Mara Reserve Kenya (Ogutu & Dublin, 2002).