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Cost-Effectiveness of Late Endovascular Thrombectomy vs. Best Medical Management in a Clinical Trial Setting and Real-World Setting

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 February 2024

Johanna Maria Ospel*
Affiliation:
Department of Diagnostic Imaging, Foothills Medical Centre, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada Department of Clinical Neurosciences, Foothills Medical Centre, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada
Charlotte Zerna
Affiliation:
Department of Neurology, Städtisches Klinikum Dresden, Dresden, Germany
Emma Harrison
Affiliation:
Department of Neurology, Princess Alexandra Hospital, Brisbane, QL, Australia
Timothy J. Kleinig
Affiliation:
Department of Neurology, Royal Adelaide Hospital, Adelaide, Australia
Volker Puetz
Affiliation:
Department of Neurology, Technical University Dresden, Dresden, Germany
Daniel P. O. Kaiser
Affiliation:
Department of Neurology, University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, Dresden, Germany
Brett Graham
Affiliation:
Department of Neurology, Royal University Hospital of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Canada
Amy Y.X. Yu
Affiliation:
Department of Neurology, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Center, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
Brian van Adel
Affiliation:
Division of Neurology, Neurosurgery and Diagnostic Imaging, Hamilton General Hospital, McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada
Jai J. Shankar
Affiliation:
Department of Neurology, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada
Ryan A. McTaggart
Affiliation:
Department of Radiology, Rhode Island Hospital, Providence, RI, USA
Vitor Pereira
Affiliation:
Department of Neurosurgery, St Michaels Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
Donald F. Frei
Affiliation:
Colorado Neurological Institute, Denver, CO, USA
Wolfgang G. Kunz
Affiliation:
Department of Radiology, University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
Mayank Goyal
Affiliation:
Department of Diagnostic Imaging, Foothills Medical Centre, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada Department of Clinical Neurosciences, Foothills Medical Centre, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada
Michael D. Hill
Affiliation:
Department of Diagnostic Imaging, Foothills Medical Centre, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada Department of Clinical Neurosciences, Foothills Medical Centre, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada
*
Corresponding author: Johanna Maria Ospel; Email: johananospel@gmail.cm
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Abstract:

Background and purpose:

To assess cost-effectiveness of late time-window endovascular treatment (EVT) in a clinical trial setting and a “real-world” setting.

Methods:

Data are from the randomized ESCAPE trial and a prospective cohort study (ESCAPE-LATE). Anterior circulation large vessel occlusion patients presenting > 6 hours from last-known-well were included, whereby collateral status was an inclusion criterion for ESCAPE but not ESCAPE-LATE. A Markov state transition model was built to estimate lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) for EVT in addition to best medical care vs. best medical care only in a clinical trial setting (comparing ESCAPE-EVT to ESCAPE control arm patients) and a “real-world” setting (comparing ESCAPE-LATE to ESCAPE control arm patients). We performed an unadjusted analysis, using 90-day modified Rankin Scale(mRS) scores as model input and analysis adjusted for baseline factors. Acceptability of EVT was calculated using upper/lower willingness-to-pay thresholds of 100,000 USD/50,000 USD/QALY.

Results:

Two-hundred and forty-nine patients were included (ESCAPE-LATE:n = 200, ESCAPE EVT-arm:n = 29, ESCAPE control-arm:n = 20). Late EVT in addition to best medical care was cost effective in the unadjusted analysis both in the clinical trial and real-world setting, with acceptability 96.6%–99.0%. After adjusting for differences in baseline variables between the groups, late EVT was marginally cost effective in the clinical trial setting (acceptability:49.9%–61.6%), but not the “real-world” setting (acceptability:32.9%–42.6%).

Conclusion:

EVT for LVO-patients presenting beyond 6 hours was cost effective in the clinical trial setting and “real-world” setting, although this was largely related to baseline patient differences favoring the “real-world” EVT group. After adjusting for these, EVT benefit was reduced in the trial setting, and absent in the real-world setting.

Résumé :

RÉSUMÉ :

Analyse coût-efficacité de la thrombectomie endovasculaire tardive par rapport à la meilleure prise en charge médicale dans le cadre d’un essai clinique randomisé et dans un contexte réel

Contexte et objectif :

Analyser le rapport coût-efficacité de la thrombectomie endovasculaire (TEV) tardive dans le cadre d’un essai clinique randomisé et dans un contexte réel.

Méthodes :

Les données obtenues proviennent d’un essai clinique randomisé de type ESCAPE (Endovascular treatment for Small Core and Anterior circulation Proximal occlusion with Emphasis on minimizing CT to recanalization times) et d’une étude de cohorte prospective de type ESCAPE-LATE. Les patients souffrant d’une occlusion de gros vaisseaux de la circulation antérieure et s’étant présentés aux urgences plus de 6 heures après la dernière fois où l’on avait observé une absence de signes et de symptômes de l’AVC actuel ont été inclus dans cette étude, l’état de la circulation collatérale étant un critère d’inclusion pour un essai clinique randomisé de type ESCAPE mais pas pour une étude de type ESCAPE-LATE. Un modèle de transition d’état de Markov a été par ailleurs élaboré pour estimer les coûts à vie et les années de vie ajustées en fonction de la qualité de vie (indicateur QALY) pour la TEV et pour déterminer les meilleurs soins médicaux en comparaison avec les meilleurs soins médicaux prodigués uniquement dans le cadre d’un essai clinique randomisé (comparant les résultats de l’essai de type ESCAPE à ceux de patients d’un groupe témoin ESCAPE) et dans un contexte réel (comparant les résultats d’une étude de cohorte de type ESCAPE-LATE à ceux de patients d’un groupe témoin ESCAPE). Comme données d’entrée du modèle, nous avons aussi effectué une analyse non ajustée en utilisant les scores de l’échelle de Rankin modifiée (ERm) au bout de 90 jours ainsi qu’une analyse ajustée pour les facteurs de base. L’acceptabilité de la TEV a été calculée en utilisant les seuils supérieurs et inférieurs (100 000 $ et 50 000 $ américains/QALY) de la volonté de payer.

Résultats :

Au total, 249 patients ont été inclus (étude de cohorte ESCAPE-LATE : n = 200 ; essai clinique randomisé de type ESCAPE (témoins) : n = 29 ; essai de type ESCAPE (témoins) : n = 20). En plus des meilleurs soins médicaux, la TEV tardive s’est avérée rentable dans l’analyse non ajustée, et ce, tant en ce qui concerne l’essai clinique randomisé que dans un contexte réel, avec une acceptabilité de 96,6 % à 99,0 %. Après ajustement des différences de variables de base entre les groupes, la TEV tardive s’est révélée marginalement rentable dans le cadre de l’essai clinique randomisé (acceptabilité : 49,9 % - 61,6 %), mais pas dans un contexte réel (acceptabilité : 32,9 % - 42,6 %).

Conclusion :

La TEV pour les patients souffrant d’une occlusion des gros vaisseaux se présentant aux urgences pour des soins, et ce, après 6 heures était rentable dans le cadre d’un essai clinique randomisé et dans un contexte réel bien que cela puisse être largement attribuable aux différences initiales entre les patients, ce qui favorise le groupe de patients de l’essai clinique randomisé par rapport au contexte réel. Après ajustement de ces différences, le bénéfice de la TEV s’est révélé réduit dans le cadre de l’essai clinique randomisé et absent dans un contexte réel.

Information

Type
Original Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2024. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Canadian Neurological Sciences Federation
Figure 0

Figure 1. Cost-effectiveness model used in this analysis. (a) shows the overall model structure. The model had three arms, simulating lifetimes costs and quality-adjusted life years for each of the following three late-time window large vessel occlusion patient groups: (1) ESCAPE trial endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) group (upper arm in [A]), (2) ESCAPE LATE study EVT group (middle arm in [A]), and (3) ESCAPE trial best medical management arm (lower arm in [C]). The model consisted of an initial single 3-month cycle (short run component), in which patients were assigned one of 7 health states (mRS 06), followed by a long-run Markov state transition long-run component with a 12-month cycle length. In the long-run component, patients in the mRS 05 health states could either remain in the same health state, suffer a recurrent stroke and deteriorate to a worse health state or die, either due to recurrent stroke or age-related mortality. Purple round nodes indicate Markov (M) nodes, green round nodes indicate recursive nodes and red triangular nodes indicate terminal nodes. “Clone 1” indicates the same subtree structure in arms 2 and 3 (collapsed in the figure for better oversight). In the first analysis set, the ESCAPE trial EVT group was compared to the ESCAPE trial control group (“trial setting”), and the ESCAPE-LATE group was excluded from the analysis (shown by the two crossed lines in [B]). In the second analysis set, the ESCAPE LATE EVT group was compared to the ESCAPE trial control group (“real-world setting”), and the ESCAPE trial EVT group was excluded from the analysis (shown by the two crossed lines in [C]). Subtrees have been collapsed in (b) and (c) for better oversight. LVO = large vessel occlusion.

Figure 1

Table 1. Costs, QALYs gained and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) with late time-window EVT in addition to best medical care vs. best medical care only (a) in a trial setting, and (b) in a real-world setting in the unadjusted analysis

Figure 2

Table 2. Costs, QALYs gained and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) with late time-window EVT in addition to best medical care vs. best medical care only a) in a trial setting, and b) in a real-world setting in the adjusted analysis

Figure 3

Figure 2. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis (10,000 Monte Carlo simulations) illustrating incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained of EVT in addition to best medical care in anterior circulation large vessel occlusion stroke patients presenting>6 hours from last known well compared to best medical care alone from a United States societal perspective (green dots) and healthcare perspective (blue dots). Each dot represents the result from a single Monte Carlo simulation. Dashed lines indicate $50,000/QALY willingness to pay thresholds, and dotted lines indicate $100,000/QALY willingness to pay thresholds. (a) shows unadjusted results for a clinical trial setting (based on data from the late time window ESCAPE trial endovascular treatment (EVT) group and the late time window ESCAPE trial control group). (b) shows unadjusted results for the “real-world” setting (based on data from the late time window ESCAPE-LATE EVT group and the late time window ESCAPE trial control group). (c) shows results for a clinical trial setting (based on data from the late time window ESCAPE trial EVT group and the late time window ESCAPE trial control group). (d) shows results for the “real-world” setting (based on data from the late time window ESCAPE-LATE EVT group and the late time window ESCAPE trial control group). Adjustment was performed for patient age, sex, baseline NIHSS, baseline ASPECTS, and occlusion location.

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