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RECONSTRUCTING OFFICIAL STATISTICS: A NEW ESTIMATE OF THE ARGENTINE COST OF LIVING INDEX, 1912-1943

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 September 2022

Cecilia T. Lanata-Briones*
Affiliation:
University of Warwick and Centro Interdisciplinario para el Estudio de Políticas Públicasa
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Abstract

This paper produces a new estimate of the Argentine cost of living index (COLI) for the period 1912-1943 that amends the oversights of the official series. The lack of an appropriate splice when the shares of the index's components are changed explains the divergence between the official and the Reconstructed COLIs. The 17.3 percentage-point gap for the period 1912-1943 between the official series used by the historiography and the Reconstructed COLI accounts for the oversights of the official estimate. This divergence is also evidenced when generating real wages. Hence, when Juan Domingo Perón arrived at the National Labour Department in 1943, all else being equal, workers of the City of Buenos Aires were worse off economically than the historiography assumes.

Resumen

RESUMEN

Este trabajo produce una nueva estimación del índice del costo de vida (ICV) argentino para el período 1912-1943. La razón principal de la divergencia entre el ICV oficial y el ICV re-construido es la falta de un empalme apropiado cuando se modifican las participaciones de los componentes del índice. Existe una brecha de 17,3 puntos porcentuales para el período 1912-1943 entre la serie oficial utilizada por la historiografía y el ICV re-construido que corrige los errores existentes en el ICV oficial. Esta divergencia también se evidencia al considerar salarios reales. Por ende, cuando Juan Domingo Perón llegó al Departamento Nacional del Trabajo en 1943, los trabajadores de la Ciudad de Buenos Aires poseían una peor situación económica de lo que supone la historiografía.

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Type
Articles/Artículos
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Instituto Figuerola, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
Figure 0

FIGURE 1 RECONSTRUCTED COLI, 1912-1943; BASE: 1912 = 100.Source: Author's estimates (see Table A7 in the Appendix); Bunge (1919); DGEN (1924); DNEC (1963).

Figure 1

FIGURE 2 ANNUAL PERCENTAGE VARIATIONS IN THE RECONSTRUCTED AND OFFICIAL COLIs, 1913-1943.Source: Author's estimates (see Table A7 in the Appendix); DNEC (1963).

Figure 2

FIGURE 3 RECONSTRUCTED AND BASIC COLIs, 1912-1943; BASE: 1912 = 100.Source: Author's estimates (see Table A7 in the Appendix).

Figure 3

FIGURE 4 REAL WAGE INDICES FOR THE CITY OF BUENOS AIRES, 1914-1943; BASE: 1914 = 100.Source: Author's estimates (see Table A7 in the Appendix); DES (1946).

Figure 4

FIGURE 5 ANNUAL PERCENTAGE VARIATIONS OF THE REAL WAGE FOR THE CITY OF BUENOS AIRES, 1915-1943.Source: Author's estimates (see Table A7 in the Appendix); DES (1946).

Figure 5

TABLE A1 DIFFERENT WORKS ON THE ARGENTINE AND THE SOURCE OF THE COST OF LIVING ESTIMATES THEY USE1

Figure 6

TABLE A2 EXPENDITURE STRUCTURE OF WORKING-CLASS FAMILY BUDGETS OF THE CITY OF BUENOS AIRES, 1913-1929

Figure 7

TABLE A3 FAMILY STRUCTURES IN THE CITY OF BUENOS AIRES, 1936

Figure 8

TABLE A4 FAMILY STRUCTURES IN DIFFERENT NEIGHBOURHOODS OF THE CITY OF BUENOS AIRES, 1936

Figure 9

TABLE A5 FOOD ITEMS CONSIDERED IN THE DIFFERENT COLIs

Figure 10

TABLE A6 RECONSTRUCTED AND BASIC COLIs, 1912-1943

Figure 11

TABLE A7 SOURCES OF THE RECONSTRUCTED COLI

Figure 12

FIGURE A1 ANNUAL PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN THE PRICE OF MEAT, 1911-1920.Source: Lanata-Briones (2020a, p. 76).

Figure 13

FIGURE A2 ANNUAL PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN THE PRICE OF BREAD, 1911-1920.Source: Lanata-Briones (2020a, p. 76).

Figure 14

FIGURE A3 ANNUAL PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN DIFFERENT RENT PRICE SERIES, 1911-1923.Source: Lanata-Briones (2020a, p. 79).