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Using encounter rates as surrogates for density estimates makes monitoring of heavily-traded grey parrots achievable across Africa

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 September 2015

Stuart J. Marsden
Affiliation:
School of Science & the Environment, Manchester Metropolitan University, Chester Street, Manchester M1 5GD, UK.
Emmanuel Loqueh
Affiliation:
Society for the Conservation of Nature in Liberia, Monrovia, Liberia
Jean Michel Takuo
Affiliation:
Cameroon Biodiversity Conservation Society, Yaoundé, Cameroon
John A. Hart
Affiliation:
Lukuru Foundation, Circleville, Ohio, USA, and Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo
Robert Abani
Affiliation:
SOS Nature, Kisangani, Democratic Republic of the Congo
Dibié Bernard Ahon
Affiliation:
SOS-FORETS, Campus Universitaire d'Abidjan-Cocody, Centre National de Floristique, Côte d'Ivoire
Nathaniel N. D. Annorbah
Affiliation:
School of Science & the Environment, Manchester Metropolitan University, Chester Street, Manchester M1 5GD, UK.
Robin Johnson
Affiliation:
BirdLife International–Africa Partnership Secretariat, Nairobi, Kenya
Simon Valle*
Affiliation:
School of Science & the Environment, Manchester Metropolitan University, Chester Street, Manchester M1 5GD, UK.
*
(Corresponding author) E-mail s.valle@mmu.ac.uk
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Abstract

Estimating population sizes in the heavily traded grey parrots of West and Central Africa would provide insights into conservation status and sustainability of harvests. Ideally, density estimates would be derived from a standardized method such as distance sampling, but survey efforts are hampered by the extensive ranges, patchy distribution, variable abundance, cryptic habits and high mobility of the parrots as well as by logistical difficulties and limited resources. We carried out line transect distance sampling alongside a simpler encounter rate method at 10 sites across five West and Central African countries. Density estimates were variable across sites, from 0–0.5 individuals km−2 in Côte d'Ivoire and central Democratic Republic of the Congo to c. 30 km−2 in Cameroon and > 70 km−2 on the island of Príncipe. Most significantly, we identified the relationship between densities estimated from distance sampling and simple encounter rates, which has important applications in monitoring grey parrots: (1) to convert records of parrot groups encountered in a day's activities by anti-poaching patrols within protected areas into indicative density estimates, (2) to confirm low density in areas where parrots are so rare that distance sampling is not feasible, and (3) to provide a link between anecdotal records and local density estimates. Encounter rates of less than one parrot group per day of walking are a reality in most forests within the species’ ranges. Densities in these areas are expected to be one individual km−2 or lower, and local harvest should be disallowed on this basis.

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Copyright © Fauna & Flora International 2015 
Figure 0

Fig. 1 The ranges of grey Psittacus erithacus and timneh parrots Psittacus timneh in West and Central Africa.

Figure 1

Table 1 Study sites in Cameroon, Côte D'Ivoire, DRC and São Tomé & Príncipe where surveys of grey parrots were conducted, with geographical coordinates, habitat type, survey dates, and the total distance and number of transects surveyed using line transect distance sampling.

Figure 2

Table 2 Population density estimates calculated using multiple covariates distance sampling with site as a covariate, encounter rates of groups and individuals, and mean group sizes recorded during surveys of grey parrots at 10 sites. Also included are overall population density estimates for Campo Ma'an and Lobéké National Parks, and the island of Príncipe.

Figure 3

Fig. 2 The relationship between estimates of grey parrot density (± SE) and encounter rates (± SE), with 95% prediction region (shaded).

Supplementary material: PDF

Marsden supplementary material

Table S1

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