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Semi-parametric estimation of system reliability for multicomponent stress-strength model under hierarchical Archimedean copulas

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 February 2025

Junrui Wang
Affiliation:
College of Mathematics and Statistics, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou, China School of Finance, Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics, Lanzhou, China
Rongfang Yan*
Affiliation:
College of Mathematics and Statistics, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou, China
*
Corresponding author: Rongfang Yan; Email: yanrf@nwnu.edu.cn
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Abstract

In the reliability analysis of multicomponent stress-strength models, it is typically assumed that strengths are either independent or dependent on a common stress factor. However, this assumption may not hold true in certain scenarios. Therefore, accurately estimating the reliability of the stress-strength model becomes a significant concern when strengths exhibit interdependence with both each other and the common stress factor. To address this issue, we propose an Archimedean copula (AC)-based hierarchical dependence approach to effectively model these interdependencies. We employ four distinct semi-parametric methods to comprehensively estimate the reliability of the multicomponent stress-strength model and determine associated dependence parameters. Furthermore, we derive asymptotic properties of our estimator and demonstrate its effectiveness through both Monte Carlo simulations and real-life datasets. The main original contribution of this study is the first attempt to evaluate the reliability problem under dependent strengths and stress using a hierarchical AC approach.

Information

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press.
Figure 0

Table 1. The relation of stress and strength in stress-strength model.

Figure 1

Figure 1. The structure tree-based complete and partial HACs.

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Figure 2. The structure tree-based 2-HAC.

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Table 2. The copula generators and Kendall’s τ of Clayton, Gumbel, Frank, and Joe copula.

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Table 3. The bias and MSE of dependent parameters $(\theta,\theta_1)$ and MSS R under C-C copula.

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Table 4. The Bias and MSE of dependent parameters $(\theta,\theta_1)$ and MSS R under G-G copula.

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Table 5. The bias and MSE of dependent parameters $(\theta,\theta_1)$ and MSS R under F-F copula.

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Table 6. The bias and MSE of dependent parameters $(\theta,\theta_1)$ and MSS R under J-J copula.

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Table 7. The bias and MSE of R under independence case.

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Figure 3. The bias and MSE of R under G-G HACs with M = 50.

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Figure 4. The bias and MSE of R under G-G HACs with M = 100.

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Figure 5. The bias and MSE of R under G-G HACs with M = 200.

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Table 8. The discrepancies in the reliability estimates of the model when the dependence structure is ignored.

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Figure 6. Scatter plots of $X_1,X_2$, and Y.

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Figure 7. The dependent structure of $X_1,X_2$, and Y.

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Figure 8. Scatter plots of $X_1,X_2$, and Y (left) versus simulated data (right).

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Table 9. The Kendall tau of Data 1, Data 2, and Data$^*$ 3.

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Table 10. Goodness-of-fit results for ($X_1,X_2$), where the significance of the bold value indicates the optimal result.

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Table 11. Goodness-of-fit results for ($\max\{X_1,X_2\}$,Y), where the significance of the bold value indicates the optimal result.

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Table 12. Reliability results of stress-strength model for Data 1, Data 2, and Data$^{*}$ 3.

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Figure 9. Scatter plots of $X_2,X_3$, and X4.

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Figure 10. Scatter plots of $X_1,X_2$, and X4.

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Table 13. The Kendall tau of Data 1, Data 2, and Data$^*$ 4.

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Table 14. Goodness-of-fit results for (Data 1, Data 2) Data$^*$ 4, where the significance of the bold value indicates the optimal result.

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Table 15. The Kendall tau of Data 2, Data$^*$ 3, and Data$^*$ 4.

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Table 16. Goodness-of-fit results for (Data 2, Data$^*$ 3), where the significance of the bold value indicates the optimal result.

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Table 17. Goodness-of-fit results for (Data 2, Data$^*$ 3) Data$^*$ 4, where the significance of the bold value indicates the optimal result.