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Trajectory of adjustment difficulties following disaster: 10-year longitudinal cohort study

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 March 2024

Belinda J. Pacella
Affiliation:
Phoenix Australia, Centre for Posttraumatic Mental Health, Department of Psychiatry, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
Sean Cowlishaw
Affiliation:
Turner Institute for Brain and Mental Health, Monash School of Psychological Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
Lisa Gibbs
Affiliation:
Child and Community Wellbeing Unit, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
Richard A. Bryant
Affiliation:
School of Psychology, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
Kate Brady
Affiliation:
Child and Community Wellbeing Unit, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
Colin Gallagher
Affiliation:
Centre for Transformative Innovation, Faculty of Business and Law, Swinburne University of Technology, Melbourne, Australia
Robyn Molyneaux
Affiliation:
Child and Community Wellbeing Unit, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
Kari Gibson
Affiliation:
Phoenix Australia, Centre for Posttraumatic Mental Health, Department of Psychiatry, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
Karen Block
Affiliation:
Child and Community Wellbeing Unit, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
Louise Harms
Affiliation:
Department of Social Work, Melbourne School of Health Sciences, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
David Forbes
Affiliation:
Phoenix Australia, Centre for Posttraumatic Mental Health, Department of Psychiatry, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
Meaghan L. O'Donnell*
Affiliation:
Phoenix Australia, Centre for Posttraumatic Mental Health, Department of Psychiatry, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
*
Correspondence: Meaghan L. O'Donnell. Email: mod@unimelb.edu.au
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Abstract

Background

Although much is known about psychopathology such as post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and depression following bushfire (also known as wildfire), little is known about prevalence, trajectory and impacts for those experiencing general adjustment difficulties following exposure to these now-common events.

Aims

This was an exploratory analysis of a large cohort study that examined the prevalence, trajectory and risk factors of probable adjustment disorder over a 10-year period following bushfire exposure.

Method

The Beyond Bushfires study assessed individuals exposed to a large and deadly bushfire across three time points spanning 10 years. Self-report survey data from participants from areas with moderate and high levels of fire-affectedness were analysed: n = 802 participants at Wave 1 (3–4 years post-fires), n = 596 at Wave 2 (5 years post-fires) and n = 436 at Wave 3 (10 years post-fires). Surveys indexed fire-related experiences and post-fire stressors, and comprised the six-item Kessler Psychological Distress Scale (probable adjustment disorder index), four-item Posttraumatic Stress Disorder Checklist (probable fire-related PTSD) and nine-item Patient Health Questionnaire (probable major depressive episode).

Results

Prevalence of probable adjustment disorder was 16% (Wave 1), 15% (Wave 2) and 19% (Wave 3). Probable adjustment disorder at 3–4 years post-fires predicted a five-fold increase in risk for escalating to severe psychiatric disorder (i.e. probable fire-related PTSD/major depressive episode) at 10 years post-fires, and was associated with post-fire income and relationship stressors.

Conclusions

Adjustment difficulties are prevalent post-disaster, many of which are maintained and exacerbated over time, resulting in increased risk for later disorder and adaptation difficulties. Psychosocial interventions supporting survivors with adjustment difficulties may prevent progression to more severe disorder.

Information

Type
Paper
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Royal College of Psychiatrists
Figure 0

Table 1 Sociodemographic characteristics of participants

Figure 1

Table 2 Prevalence of probable other psychiatric disorder

Figure 2

Fig. 1 Sankey diagram showing the trajectory of probable other psychiatric diagnosis across the 10-year period following the Black Saturday bushfires in Australia.

Figure 3

Table 3 Multinomial regression examining risk factors for probable adjustment disorder at Wave 1 (total n = 802)

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