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Incentive compatible demand response games for distributed load prediction in smart grids

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  16 September 2014

Yan Chen*
Affiliation:
Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USA
W. Sabrina Lin
Affiliation:
Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USA
Feng Han
Affiliation:
Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USA
Yu-Han Yang
Affiliation:
Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USA
Zoltan Safar
Affiliation:
Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USA
K. J. Ray Liu
Affiliation:
Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USA
*
Yan Chenyan@umd.edu

Abstract

While demand response has achieved promising results on making the power grid more efficient and reliable, the additional dynamics and flexibility brought by demand response also increase the uncertainty and complexity of the centralized load forecast. In this paper, we propose a game-theoretic demand response scheme that can transform the traditional centralized load prediction structure into a distributed load prediction system by the participation of customers. Moreover, since customers are generally rational and thus naturally selfish, they may cheat if cheating can improve their payoff. Therefore, enforcing truth-telling is crucial. We prove analytically and demonstrate with simulations that the proposed game-theoretic scheme is incentive compatible, i.e., all customers are motivated to report and consume their true optimal demands and any deviation will lead to a utility loss. We also prove theoretically that the proposed demand response scheme can lead to the solution that maximizes social welfare and is proportionally fair in terms of utility function. Moreover, we propose a simple dynamic pricing algorithm for the power substation to control the total demand of all customers to meet the target demand curve. Finally, simulations are shown to demonstrate the efficiency and effectiveness of the proposed game-theoretic algorithm.

Information

Type
Original Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © The Authors, 2014
Figure 0

Fig. 1. System model.

Figure 1

Fig. 2. An illustration of the gain function. The red, blue, and pink dot-dash curves stand for the gain functions under different climate conditions and different moods of the customer, whereas the cyan curve is the gain function that measures the average level of satisfaction under different conditions.

Figure 2

Algorithm 1: Incentive compatible mechanism design for demand response

Figure 3

Fig. 3. The gain, cost, and intermediate utility versus the power demand with the optimal demand $d_{i}^{\star}=80$ when the reference price pr = 30.

Figure 4

Fig. 4. The incentive compatible performance of the proposed scheme when the optimal demand $d_{i}^{\star} = 80$ and the reference price pr = 30: (a) the utility versus the real-power consumption di when the reported demand $\hat{d}_{i} = d_{i}$; (b) the utility versus the real-power consumption di when the reported demand $\hat{d}_{i} = d_{i}^{\star} = 80$; (c) the utility versus the reported demand $\hat{d}_{i}$ when the real-power consumption $\hat{d}_{i} = d_{i}^{\star} = 80$; (d) the utility versus the reported demand $\hat{d}_{i}$ and real-power consumption di.

Figure 5

Fig. 5. The non-incentive-compatible performance of the scheme without punishment in the utility function: (a) the utility versus the real-power consumption di when the reported demand $\hat{d}_{i} = d_{i}$; (b) the utility versus the real-power consumption di when the reported demand $\hat{d}_{i} = d_{i}^{\star} = 85$; (c) the utility versus the reported demand $\hat{d}_{i}$ when the real-power consumption $\hat{d}_{i} = d_{i}^{\star} = 85$; (d) the utility versus the reported demand $\hat{d}_{i}$ and real-power consumption di.

Figure 6

Fig. 6. The demand controlling performance of the proposed scheme: (a) constant target demand; (b) time-varying target demand.

Figure 7

Fig. 7. (a) The robustness performance against real consumption deviation; (b) zoom-in figure of (a).

Figure 8

Fig. 8. The performance comparison with constant pricing algorithm.