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Fat and lean mass predict time to hospital readmission or mortality in children treated for complicated severe acute malnutrition in Zimbabwe and Zambia

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 December 2022

Mutsa Bwakura-Dangarembizi*
Affiliation:
University of Zimbabwe, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Harare, Zimbabwe Zvitambo Institute for Maternal and Child Health Research, Harare, Zimbabwe University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
Cherlynn Dumbura
Affiliation:
Zvitambo Institute for Maternal and Child Health Research, Harare, Zimbabwe
Deophine Ngosa
Affiliation:
Tropical Gastroenterology and Nutrition Group, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia
Florence D. Majo
Affiliation:
Zvitambo Institute for Maternal and Child Health Research, Harare, Zimbabwe
Joe D. Piper
Affiliation:
Zvitambo Institute for Maternal and Child Health Research, Harare, Zimbabwe Blizard Institute, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
Jonathan P. Sturgeon
Affiliation:
Zvitambo Institute for Maternal and Child Health Research, Harare, Zimbabwe Blizard Institute, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
Kusum J. Nathoo
Affiliation:
University of Zimbabwe, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Harare, Zimbabwe
Beatrice Amadi
Affiliation:
Tropical Gastroenterology and Nutrition Group, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia
Shane Norris
Affiliation:
University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
Bernard Chasekwa
Affiliation:
Zvitambo Institute for Maternal and Child Health Research, Harare, Zimbabwe
Robert Ntozini
Affiliation:
Zvitambo Institute for Maternal and Child Health Research, Harare, Zimbabwe
Jonathan C. Wells
Affiliation:
Population Policy and Practice Research and Teaching Department, UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, UK
Paul Kelly
Affiliation:
Tropical Gastroenterology and Nutrition Group, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia Blizard Institute, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
Andrew J. Prendergast
Affiliation:
Zvitambo Institute for Maternal and Child Health Research, Harare, Zimbabwe Blizard Institute, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
*
*Corresponding author: Dr M. Bwakura-Dangarembizi, email mbwakura@medsch.uz.ac.zw
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Abstract

HIV and severe wasting are associated with post-discharge mortality and hospital readmission among children with complicated severe acute malnutrition (SAM); however, the reasons remain unclear. We assessed body composition at hospital discharge, stratified by HIV and oedema status, in a cohort of children with complicated SAM in three hospitals in Zambia and Zimbabwe. We measured skinfold thicknesses and bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) to investigate whether fat and lean mass were independent predictors of time to death or readmission. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the association between death/readmission and discharge body composition. Mixed effects models were fitted to compare longitudinal changes in body composition over 1 year. At discharge, 284 and 546 children had complete BIA and skinfold measurements, respectively. Low discharge lean and peripheral fat mass were independently associated with death/hospital readmission. Each unit Z-score increase in impedance index and triceps skinfolds was associated with 48 % (adjusted hazard ratio 0·52, 95 % CI (0·30, 0·90)) and 17 % (adjusted hazard ratio 0·83, 95 % CI (0·71, 0·96)) lower hazard of death/readmission, respectively. HIV-positive v. HIV-negative children had lower gains in sum of skinfolds (mean difference −1·49, 95 % CI (−2·01, −0·97)) and impedance index Z-scores (–0·13, 95 % CI (−0·24, −0·01)) over 52 weeks. Children with non-oedematous v. oedematous SAM had lower mean changes in the sum of skinfolds (–1·47, 95 % CI (−1·97, −0·97)) and impedance index Z-scores (–0·23, 95 % CI (−0·36, −0·09)). Risk stratification to identify children at risk for mortality or readmission, and interventions to increase lean and peripheral fat mass, should be considered in the post-discharge care of these children.

Information

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The Nutrition Society
Figure 0

Table 1. Discharge anthropometry and body composition

Figure 1

Table 2. Cox regression model of discharge body composition factors associated with time to death or readmission

Figure 2

Fig. 1. Margins plots of change in body composition over 52 weeks of follow-up stratified by HIV status and oedema status at initial hospitalisation.

Figure 3

Table 3. Univariable and multivariable mixed effects analysis of body composition and anthropometry over 52 weeks of follow-up

Figure 4

Fig. 2. Characteristics of subgroups of children at discharge. Three groups were identified by hierarchical clustering; (Group 1 n 110, Group 2 n 24 and Group 3 n 136). The group characteristics are shown as proportions for each variable associated with poor outcomes (a. Triceps skinfolds Z-score, b. Lean mass index Z-score, c. WHZ, d. HAZ, e. baseline oedema, f. HIV status, g. SAM at discharge and H. composite outcome of died/readmitted). WHZ, weight-for-height Z-score; HAZ, height-for-age Z-score; SAM, severe acute malnutrition.

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