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Probability in the Pleistocene: Origins and Antiquity of Native American Dice, Games of Chance, and Gambling

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 April 2026

Robert J Madden*
Affiliation:
Department of Anthropology and Geography, Center for Mountain and Plains Archaeology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA
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Abstract

This article investigates the prehistory of Native American dice, games of chance, and gambling and for the first time traces these artifacts and cultural practices to their earliest appearances. Uncertainty about whether prehistoric North American artifacts can be confidently identified as dice without objective criteria has meant that no prior attempt to accomplish this task has been undertaken. This uncertainty is addressed here by (1) deriving a morphological test for identifying prehistoric dice based on diagnostic attributes shared among 293 sets of historic Native American dice documented in Stewart Culin’s 1907 compendium Games of the North American Indians and (2) using this test to search the published North American archaeological record for matching artifacts. The results suggest that dice, games of chance, and gambling have been a persistent feature of Native American culture for the last 12,000 years, with the earliest dice appearing in Late Pleistocene Folsom deposits in Wyoming, Colorado, and New Mexico. Remarkably, these Pleistocene dice predate their earliest known Old World counterparts by millennia. These results suggest that ancient Native Americans possessed a basic working knowledge of chance, randomness, and probability and consequently were early movers in humanity’s emerging understanding and practical application of these concepts.

Resumen

Resumen

Este artículo investiga la prehistoria de los dados, los juegos de azar y las apuestas entre los pueblos Nativos Norteamericanos y por primera vez rastrea estos artefactos y prácticas culturales hasta sus primeras apariciones. La incertidumbre sobre si los artefactos prehistóricos norteamericanos pueden ser identificados con seguridad como dados sin criterios objetivos ha hecho que no se hayan realizado intentos previos para realizar esta tarea. Este problema se aborda en esta investigación mediante: (1) la elaboración de una prueba morfológica para identificar dados prehistóricos basada en atributos diagnósticos compartidos entre 293 conjuntos de dados históricos de los Nativos Americanos documentados en el compendio de Stewart Culin de 1907, Games of the North American Indians (Juegos de los Indígenas Norteamericanos), y (2) el uso de esta prueba para buscar artefactos coincidentes en el registro arqueológico norteamericano publicado. Los resultados sugieren que los dados, los juegos de azar y las apuestas han sido una característica persistente de la cultura nativa americana durante los últimos 12,000 años, siendo los dados más antiguos hallados en depósitos del Pleistoceno tardío, en contextos Folsom de Wyoming, Colorado y Nuevo México. De manera sorprendente, estos dados del Pleistoceno preceden a sus homólogos más antiguos del Viejo Mundo por milenios. Estos hallazgos sugieren que los antiguos pueblos Nativos Norteamericanos poseían un conocimiento práctico básico del azar, la aleatoriedad y la probabilidad, y que, en consecuencia, fueron pioneros en la naciente comprensión y explotación de estos conceptos por parte de la humanidad.

Information

Type
Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Society for American Archaeology.
Figure 0

Figure 1. Late Pleistocene (13,000–11,700 BP), Early Holocene (11,700–8000 BP), Middle Holocene (8000–2000 BP), and Late Holocene (2000–450 BP) diagnostic and probable prehistoric Native American dice: (a, d) Signal Butte, Nebraska (Middle Holocene), NMNH-A437076, NMNH-550791; (b) Agate Basin, Wyoming (Early Holocene), UW-11327; (c, f) Agate Basin, Wyoming (Late Pleistocene), UW-OA111, UW-OA448; (e, g) Lindenmeier, Colorado (Late Pleistocene), NMNH-A442165, NMNH-A440429; (h) Irvine, Wyoming (Late Holocene). (Figures 1a, d, e, and g courtesy of the Division of Anthropology, Smithsonian Institution, American Museum of Natural History. Figures 1b, c, f, and h courtesy of the Department of Anthropology, University of Wyoming. Photographs by the author.) (Color online)

Figure 1

Figure 2. Flat dice types illustrated by Culin: (left panel) “bone dice” (1907:Figures 21, 67, 189); (right panel) flat “stick dice” (1907:Figures 14, 30, 124).

Figure 2

Figure 3. Plano-convex dice types illustrated by Culin: (left panel) round “stick dice” (1907:Figures 80, 146, 280); (right panel) “wood dice” (1907:Figures 90, 97–98).

Figure 3

Figure 4. Concave-convex and convex-convex dice types illustrated by Culin: (left panel) “cane dice” (1907:Figures 122–123, 100, 289); (right panel) peach- and plum-stone dice (1907:Figures 99, 118, 238).

Figure 4

Table 1. Diagnostic and Probable Prehistoric Native American Dice.

Figure 5

Figure 5. Late Pleistocene through Late Holocene (13,000–450 BP) sites with diagnostic and probable Native American dice. (Dice illustrations by D’arcy N. R. Madden.)

Figure 6

Figure 6. Late Holocene (2000–450 BP) sites with diagnostic and probable Native American dice. (Die illustration by D’arcy N. R. Madden.)

Figure 7

Figure 7. Middle Holocene (8000–2000 BP) sites with diagnostic and probable Native American dice. (Die illustration by D’arcy N. R. Madden.)

Figure 8

Figure 8. Late Pleistocene / Early Holocene (13,000–8000 BP) sites with diagnostic and probable Native American dice. (Die illustration by D’arcy N. R. Madden.)

Figure 9

Figure 9. Folsom diagnostic and probable Native American dice. (Figure 9a, b, d, and g: Agate Basin, Wyoming, UW-OA005, UW-OA109, UW-OA111, UW-OA448, courtesy of the Department of Anthropology, University of Wyoming. Figure 9c: Lindenmeier, Colorado, DMNS-A900.179, courtesy of the Denver Museum of Nature and Science. Figure 9e–f, h–i, k–p, r: Lindenmeier, Colorado, NMNH-A443046, NMNH-A442165, NMNH-A44890, NMNH-A441178, NMNH-A440429, NMNH-A441841; NMNH-A442122, NMNH-A443755, NMNH-A443850, NMNH-A443658, NMNH-A441839, courtesy of the Division of Anthropology, Smithsonian Institution, American Museum of Natural History. Figure 9j: Lindenmeier, Colorado, CSU-7805-6, courtesy of the Department of Anthropology, Colorado State University. Figure 9q: Blackwater Draw, New Mexico; drawing by D’arcy N. R. Madden after Hester [1972:Figure 9b, by Phyllis Hughes]. All photographs, except [j], are by the author.) (Color online)

Figure 10

Table 2. Late Pleistocene Folsom (12,845–12,255 BP) Diagnostic and Probable Dice Attributes.

Figure 11

Figure 10. Detail of Late Pleistocene Folsom dice: (left panel) shape in section of concave-convex and moderate to minimal plano-convex diagnostic and probable dice; (right panel) red coloration traces on diagnostic dice, with color enhancement using DStretch (YDT colorspace), a decorrelation stretch digital imaging tool created for the enhancement of rock art images (Harman 2015). (Photographs by the author.) (Color online)