Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-xtgtn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-17T01:27:47.242Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Dividend Initiation Decision of Newly Public Firms: Some Evidence on Signaling with Dividends

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 January 2012

Jayant R. Kale
Affiliation:
Robinson College of Business, Georgia State University, PO Box 3989, Atlanta, GA 30303, and Indian Institute of Management–Bangalore. jkale@gsu.edu
Omesh Kini
Affiliation:
Robinson College of Business, Georgia State University, PO Box 3989, Atlanta, GA 30303. okini@gsu.edu
Janet D. Payne
Affiliation:
McCoy College of Business, Texas State University, San Marcos, TX 78666. jpayne@txstate.edu

Abstract

We track the dividend initiation (DI) decisions from a sample of 6,588 firms that went public during the period 1979–2005 and find that 873 of them initiated dividends. Our primary objective is to determine whether information signaling can explain the DI decision. We find that variables suggested by the dividend-signaling models of John and Williams (1985) and Allen, Bernardo, and Welch (2000) are significant determinants of the DI decision and the associated announcement-period stock price effect. We also find support for the residual, agency, tax, clientele, transaction costs, catering, and life-cycle explanations of dividend policy.

Type
Research Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Michael G. Foster School of Business, University of Washington 2012

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Aharony, J., and Swary, I.. “Quarterly Dividend and Earnings Announcements and Stockholders’ Return: An Empirical Analysis.” Journal of Finance, 35 (1980), 112.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Allen, F.; Bernardo, A. E.; and Welch, I.. “A Theory of Dividends Based on Tax Clienteles.” Journal of Finance, 55 (2000), 24992536.Google Scholar
Allen, F., and Faulhaber, G. R.. “Signaling by Underpricing in the IPO Market.” Journal of Financial Economics, 23 (1989), 303323.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Asquith, P., and Mullins, D. W. Jr.The Impact of Initiating Dividend Payments on Shareholders’ Wealth.” Journal of Business, 56 (1983), 7796.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Badrinath, S. G.; Gay, G. D.; and Kale, J. R.. “Patterns of Institutional Investments, Prudence, and the Managerial ‘Safety-Net’ Hypothesis.” Journal of Risk and Insurance, 56 (1989), 605629.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baker, M., and Wurgler, J.. “A Catering Theory of Dividends.” Journal of Finance, 59 (2004), 11251165.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Banerjee, S.; Gatchev, V. A.; and Spindt, P. A.. “Stock Market Liquidity and Firm Dividend Policy.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 42 (2007), 369398.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Benartzi, S.; Michaely, R.; and Thaler, R.. “Do Changes in Dividends Signal the Future or the Past?Journal of Finance, 52 (1997), 10071034.Google Scholar
Bhattacharya, S.Imperfect Information, Dividend Policy, and ‘The Bird in the Hand’ Fallacy.” Bell Journal of Economics, 10 (1979), 259270.Google Scholar
Brav, A.; Graham, J. R.; Harvey, C. R.; and Michaely, R.. “Payout Policy in the 21st Century.” Journal of Financial Economics, 77 (2005), 483527.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carter, R. B.; Dark, F. H.; and Singh, A. K.. “Underwriter Reputation, Initial Returns, and the Long-Run Performance of IPO Stocks.” Journal of Finance, 53 (1998), 285311.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carter, R., and Manaster, S.. “Initial Public Offering and Underwriter Reputation.” Journal of Finance, 45 (1990), 10451067.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cox, D. R. “Regression Models and Life-Tables.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 34 (1972), 187220.Google Scholar
DeAngelo, H.; DeAngelo, L.; and Skinner, D. J.. “Special Dividends and the Evolution of Dividend Signaling.” Journal of Financial Economics, 57 (2000), 309354.Google Scholar
DeAngelo, H.; DeAngelo, L.; and Skinner, D. J.. “Corporate Payout Policy.” Foundations and Trends in Finance, 3 (2008), 95287.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
DeAngelo, H.; DeAngelo, L.; and Stulz, R. M.. “Dividend Policy and the Earned/Contributed Capital Mix: A Test of the Life-Cycle Theory.” Journal of Financial Economics, 81 (2006), 227254.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Del Guercio, D.The Distortion Effect of Prudent-Man Laws on Institutional Equity Investments.” Journal of Financial Economics, 40 (1996), 3162.Google Scholar
Dyl, E. A., and Weigand, R. A.. “The Information Content of Dividend Initiations: Additional Evidence.” Financial Management, 27 (1998), 2735.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Eades, K. M. “Empirical Evidence on Dividends as a Signal of Firm Value.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 17 (1982), 471500.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Eckbo, E., and Masulis, R.. “Seasoned Equity Offerings: A Survey.” In Finance (North-Holland Series of Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science), Jarrow, R., Maksimovic, V., and Ziemba, W., eds. North Holland (1995).Google Scholar
Fama, E. F., and French, K. R.. “Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies.” Journal of Finance, 51 (1996), 5584.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fama, E. F., and French, K. R.. “Industry Costs of Equity.” Journal of Financial Economics, 43 (1997), 153193.Google Scholar
Fama, E. F., and French, K. R.. “Disappearing Dividends: Changing Firm Characteristics or Lower Propensity to Pay?Journal of Financial Economics, 60 (2001), 343.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Greene, W. H. Econometric Analysis. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall (2007).Google Scholar
Grinblatt, M., and Hwang, C. Y.. “Signaling and the Pricing of New Issues.” Journal of Finance, 44 (1989), 393420.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grullon, G., and Michaely, R.. “Dividends, Share Repurchases, and the Substitution Hypothesis.” Journal of Finance, 57 (2002), 16491684.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grullon, G.; Michaely, R.; and Swaminathan, B.. “Are Dividend Changes a Sign of Firm Maturity.” Journal of Business, 75 (2002), 387424.Google Scholar
Healy, P. M., and Palepu, K. G.. “Earnings Information Conveyed by Dividend Initiations and Omissions.” Journal of Financial Economics, 21 (1988), 149175.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Heckman, J. J. “Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error.” Econometrica, 47 (1979), 153161.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Huber, P. “The Behavior of Maximum Likelihood Estimates under Nonstandard Conditions.” In Procedures of the Fifth Annual Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability, Vol. 1, LeCam, L. and Neyman, J., eds. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press (1967).Google Scholar
Jagannathan, M.; Stephens, C. P.; and Weisbach, M. S.. “Financial Flexibility and the Choice between Dividends and Stock Repurchases.” Journal of Financial Economics, 57 (2000), 355384.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jensen, M. C. “Agency Costs of Free Cash Flow, Corporate Finance, and Takeovers.” American Economic Review, 76 (1986), 323329.Google Scholar
John, K., and Williams, J.. “Dividends, Dilution, and Taxes: A Signalling Equilibrium.” Journal of Finance, 40 (1985), 10531070.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kalay, A.Signaling, Information Content, and the Reluctance to Cut Dividends.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 15 (1980), 855869.Google Scholar
Kalbfleisch, J. D., and Prentice, R. L.. The Statistical Analysis of Failure Time Data. New York, NY: Wiley (1980).Google Scholar
Kale, J. R., and Noe, T. H.. “Dividends, Uncertainty, and Underwriting Costs under Asymmetric Information.” Journal of Financial Research, 4 (1990), 265277.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kaplan, S. N., and Zingales, L.. “Do Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivities Provide Useful Measures of Financial Constraints?Quarterly Journal of Economics, 112 (1997), 169215.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lang, L. H. P., and Litzenberger, R. H.. “Dividend Announcements: Cash Flow Signaling vs. Free Cash Flow Hypothesis?Journal of Financial Economics, 24 (1989), 181191.Google Scholar
Lintner, J.Distribution of Incomes of Corporations among Dividends, Retained Earnings, and Taxes.” American Economic Review, 46 (1956), 97113.Google Scholar
Lipson, M. L.; Maquieira, C. P.; and Megginson, W.. “Dividend Initiations and Earnings Surprises.” Financial Management, 27 (1998), 3645.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Loughran, T., and Ritter, J.. “Why Has IPO Underpricing Changed over Time?Financial Management, 33 (2004), 537.Google Scholar
McDonald, J. F., and Moffitt, R. A.. “The Uses of Tobit Analysis.” Review of Economics and Statistics, 62 (1980), 318321.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Miller, M. “The Information Content of Dividends.” In Macroeconomics and Finance: Essay in Honor of Franco Modigliani, Dornbusch, R. and Fischer, S., eds. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press (1987).Google Scholar
Miller, M. H., and Modigliani, F.. “Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares.” Journal of Business, 34 (1961), 411433.Google Scholar
Miller, M. H., and Rock, K.. “Dividend Policy under Asymmetric Information.” Journal of Finance, 40 (1985), 10211051.Google Scholar
Pettit, R. R. “Dividend Announcements, Security Performance, and Capital Market Efficiency.” Journal of Finance, 27 (1972), 9931007.Google Scholar
Rogers, W.Regression Standard Errors in Clustered Samples.” Stata Technical Bulletin, 13 (1993), 1923.Google Scholar
Ross, S. A.; Westerfield, R.; and Jaffe, J.. Corporate Finance. New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Irwin (2005).Google Scholar
Rozeff, M. S. “Growth, Beta and Agency Costs as Determinants of Dividend Payout Ratios.” Journal of Financial Research, 5 (1982), 249259.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Shumway, T.Forecasting Bankruptcy More Accurately: A Simple Hazard Model.” Journal of Business, 74 (2001), 101124.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Smith, C. W. Jr., and Watts, R. L.. “The Investment Opportunity Set and Corporate Financing, Dividend, and Compensation Policies.” Journal of Financial Economics, 32 (1992), 263292.Google Scholar
Venkatesh, P. C. “The Impact of Dividend Initiation on the Information Content of Earnings Announcements and Returns Volatility.” Journal of Business, 62 (1989), 175197.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Warner, J. B.; Watts, R. L.; and Wruck, K. H.. “Stock Prices and Top Management Changes.” Journal of Financial Economics, 20 (1988), 461492.Google Scholar
Weisbach, M. S. “Outside Directors and CEO Turnover.” Journal of Financial Economics, 20 (1988), 431460.Google Scholar
Welch, I.Seasoned Offerings, Imitation Costs, and the Underpricing of Initial Public Offerings.” Journal of Finance, 44 (1989), 421449.Google Scholar
White, H.A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity.” Econometrica, 48 (1980), 817838.Google Scholar
Wooldridge, J. M. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press (2002).Google Scholar
Yoon, P. S., and Starks, L. T.. “Signaling, Investment Opportunities, and Dividend Announcements.” Review of Financial Studies, 8 (1995), 9951018.Google Scholar