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CAPS Plus: A Clinical Biomarker Scoring System to Predict Aβ Positivity and Facilitate Enrollment in Anti-Amyloid Clinical Trials

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 January 2026

Durjoy Lahiri*
Affiliation:
Neurology, Queen’s University, Canada Kingston Health Sciences Center, Kingston, Canada
Jennifer Cooper
Affiliation:
The University of British Columbia, Canada
Bruna Seixas-Lima
Affiliation:
Baycrest Academy for Research and Education, Toronto, Canada
Carlos Roncero
Affiliation:
Baycrest Academy for Research and Education, Toronto, Canada
Cheryl Wellington
Affiliation:
The University of British Columbia, Canada
Howard Cherktow
Affiliation:
Baycrest Academy for Research and Education, Toronto, Canada University of Toronto, Canada
*
Corresponding author: Durjoy Lahiri; Email: dlahiri1988@gmail.com
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Abstract

Background:

A critical step toward determining eligibility for experimental and clinical treatment with anti-amyloid therapies in Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is to select appropriate subjects having a high likelihood of being Aβ+. We propose a clinical biomarker composite score, named Clinical β-Amyloid Positivity Prediction Score Plus (CAPS Plus), for Aβ+ prediction in people presenting with clinical Alzheimer’s syndrome including both prodromal and mild AD.

Methods:

The original CAPS incorporated scores from the neuropsychiatry inventory questionnaire, mini-mental state examination score loss per year and Fazekas score. Plasma p-tau-217, a novel addition to CAPS, was measured using the Simoa HD-X with the AlzPATH p-tau217 Advantage Plus assay. To incorporate p-tau-217 into CAPS Plus, an intra-cohort cut-off (>0.698 pg/ml) for p-tau217 was generated using logistic regression and Yoden’s index. CAPS Plus had a maximum score of 5, with those ≥4 indicating a high probability of being Aβ+. The accuracy of CAPS Plus was computed through logistic regression and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analysis.

Results:

Of n = 44 patients, n = 25 (57%) were Aβ+. Plasma p-tau-217 was significantly higher in the Aβ+ subgroup (1.36 vs 0.46 pg/mL, p < 0.0001). The AUROC was 0.89 for a CAPS Plus score of 4 or more, suggesting excellent discrimination and improving the accuracy of the original CAPS (0.86). CAPS Plus has a notably better specificity (89%) than the original CAPS (80%) and p-tau-217 alone (74%).

Conclusion:

CAPS Plus is potentially a useful screening tool for enrollment in anti-Aβ therapy and clinical trials for AD, specifically addressing people with prodromal and mild AD.

Résumé

RÉSUMÉ

Le test CAPS Plus : système d’évaluation de biomarqueurs cliniques permettant de prévoir la positivité à l’égard de la protéine Aβ et de faciliter la sélection des sujets dans des essais cliniques de traitements anti-amyloïdes.

Contexte :

L’une des étapes cruciales de l’admissibilité aux essais cliniques et expérimentaux de traitements anti-amyloïdes dans le contexte de la maladie d’Alzheimer est la sélection appropriée de sujets ayant des probabilités élevées de positivité à l’égard de la protéine ß-amyloïde (Aβ+). Aussi proposons-nous un score combiné de biomarqueurs cliniques, appelé Clinical Amyloid Positivity Prediction Score Plus (CAPS Plus), qui permettrait de prévoir des résultats Aβ+ chez des personnes présentant un syndrome clinique de la maladie d’Alzheimer, dont celles rendues aux stades prodromique ou encore léger de la maladie.

Méthode :

Le score original CAPS comprenait l’inventaire neuropsychiatrique quantitatif, la baisse annuelle des résultats au mini-examen de l’état mental (MMSE) et l’échelle de Fazekas. Le taux plasmatique de la protéine tau 217 (p-tau 217) a été mesuré à l’aide du test Simoa HD-X et du dosage AlzPATH p-tau 217 Advantage Plus. Afin que le taux de la p-tau 217 soit intégré dans le test CAPS Plus, un seuil intra-cohorte de p-tau 217 (> 0,698 pg/ml) a été généré à l’aide d’une régression logistique et de l’indice de Youden. Sur un score maximal de 5 au CAPS Plus, une valeur ≥ 4 est révélatrice d’une forte probabilité de résultat Aβ+. L’exactitude du test CAPS Plus a été calculée à l’aide d’une régression logistique et de l’analyse de l’aire sous la courbe ROC.

Résultats :

Sur 44 patients, 25 (57 %) étaient Aβ+. Le taux plasmatique de la p-tau 217 était significativement plus élevé dans le sous-groupe Aβ+ que dans le reste de l’échantillon (1,36 contre 0,46 pg/ml; p < 0,0001). L’aire sous la courbe ROC était de 0,89 pour un score CAPS Plus égal ou supérieur à 4, ce qui donne à penser que le test CAPS Plus a une excellente discrimination, en plus d’améliorer l’exactitude du test original CAPS (0,86). Enfin, le test CAPS Plus a une spécificité nettement meilleure (89 %) que le test original (80 %) et la p-tau 217 seule (74 %).

Conclusion :

Le score CAPS Plus se révéle un outil de sélection potentiellement utile dans le recrutement de sujets dans des essais cliniques de traitements anti-ß-amyloïdes, notamment de ceux qui sont rendus aux stades prodromique ou encore léger de la maladie d’Alzheimer.

Information

Type
Original Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Canadian Neurological Sciences Federation
Figure 0

Table 1. Participant demographics dichotomized by amyloid positivity. Comparisons were performed using a Mann–Whitney U test for continuous variables and a Fisher’s exact test for categorical variables

Figure 1

Figure 1. Plasma biomarkers discriminating participants by amyloid positivity. Amyloid negative (A−) n = 19, amyloid positive (A+) n = 25. (A–F) Concentrations of plasma Aβ42/40, p-tau-181, p-tau-217, NfL, GFAP and TDP-43 dichotomized by amyloid positivity. Comparison done by Mann–Whitney U test. *p ≤ 0.05, **p ≤ 0.01, ***p ≤ 0.001, ****p ≤ 0.0001.

Figure 2

Figure 2. Receiver operating characteristic curves for plasma biomarkers discriminating amyloid-positive and amyloid-negative participants. Area under the receiver operating curve for each biomarker listed in the legend.

Figure 3

Figure 3. Histogram of participant CAPS Plus scores, with a score of 4 or more being positive for a high probability of being amyloid positive. Color coding based on amyloid positivity from PET or CSF. Striped pattern indicates those misclassified by the CAPS Plus test.

Figure 4

Figure 4. Receiver operating characteristic curves for CAPS discriminating amyloid-positive and amyloid-negative participants. The figure shows the AUROC for the original CAPS, plasma p-tau-217 and their combination in CAPS Plus.

Figure 5

Table 2. Clinical β-Amyloid Positivity Prediction Score (CAPS) Plus scoring and performance. Scoring parameters indicate how the CAPS Plus score is generated from a set of variables based on patient status. Those considered positive on CAPS Plus will have a final score of 4 or more to indicate a high probability of amyloid positivity. Test performance indicates how participants were classified based on their amyloid status determined by PET or CSF and measures of validity

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