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Risk factors for prospective increase in psychological stress during COVID-19 lockdown in a representative sample of adolescents and their parents

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 May 2021

Kerstin Paschke*
Affiliation:
German Center for Addiction Research in Childhood and Adolescence, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Germany
Nicolas Arnaud
Affiliation:
German Center for Addiction Research in Childhood and Adolescence, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Germany
Maria Isabella Austermann
Affiliation:
German Center for Addiction Research in Childhood and Adolescence, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Germany
Rainer Thomasius
Affiliation:
German Center for Addiction Research in Childhood and Adolescence, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Germany
*
Correspondence: Kerstin Paschke. Email: k.paschke@uke.de
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Abstract

Background

COVID-19 lockdown measures imposed extensive restrictions to public life. Previous studies suggest significant negative psychological consequences, but lack longitudinal data on population-based samples.

Aims

We aimed to prospectively identify increased psychological stress and associated risk factors in parent–child dyads.

Method

We conducted a prospective, observational online study on a representative German sample of 1221 adolescents aged 10–17 years and their parents. Psychological stress and psychosocial variables were assessed before the pandemic (baseline) and 1 month after the start of lockdown (follow-up), using standardised measures. We used multilevel modelling to estimate changes in psychological stress, and logistic regression to determine demographic and psychosocial risk factors for increased psychological stress.

Results

The time of measurement explained 43% of the psychological stress variance. Of 731 dyads with complete data, 252 adolescents (34.5%, 95% CI 31.0–37.9) and 217 parents (29.7%, 95% CI 26.4–33.0) reported a significant increase in psychological stress. Baseline levels were lower than in dyads without increased psychological stress. Risk factors for increased psychological stress included sociodemographic (e.g. female parents, severe financial worries) and emotion regulation aspects (e.g. non-acceptance of emotional responses in parents, limited access to emotion regulation strategies in adolescents), explaining 31% of the adolescent (Nagelkerke R2 = 0.31) and 29% of the parental (Nagelkerke R2 = 0.29) model variance.

Conclusions

This study is the first to prospectively show an increase in psychological stress during COVID-19 lockdown in a representative family sample. Identified demographic and psychosocial risk factors lead to relevant implications for prevention measures regarding this important public health issue.

Information

Type
Papers
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the Royal College of Psychiatrists
Figure 0

Table 1 Sociodemographic sample description

Figure 1

Fig. 1 Multilevel analysis: trajectories of psychological stress before the COVID-19 pandemic and under lockdown measures. The individual trajectories of all adolescents and parents are shown, together with means and 95% confidence intervals of individuals belonging to the increased psychological stress group and non-increased psychological stress group, in reference to the two measurement points. The size of the dots reflects the group size. Accordingly, smaller dots represent the increased psychological stress group and larger dots represent the non-increased psychological stress group.

Figure 2

Fig. 2 Adjusted odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals for predictors of increased psychological stress during COVID-19 lockdown measures. The shaded area represents variables that were not assessed in the adolescent sample, and therefore could not be considered as predictors for the adolescent model. Adjusted odds ratio was according to the logistic regression model, with covariates of baseline stress level and age. Reduced logistic regression adolescent model: covariate baseline stress level odds ratio 0.62, 95% CI 0.57–0.68, P < 0.001. Reduced logistic regression parental model: covariate baseline stress level odds ratio 0.65, 95% CI 0.60–0.71, P < 0.001; covariate parental age odds ratio 1.02, 95% CI 0.99–1.04, P = 0.16. aAssessed with the Procrastination Questionnaire for Students (Prokrastionationsfragebogen für Studierende). bAssessed with the short form of the Difficulties in Emotion Regulation Scale. cAssessed with the Parenting Self-efficacy Questionnaire (Fragebogen zur Selbstwirksamkeit in der Erziehung). dAssessed with the Perceived Stress Scale (PSS-4). eNot included in final model after backwards elimination of predictors.

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