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Underrepresented developing States, marginalized communities, big business and procedural injustice – how equal were the UN INC-5.2 Global Plastic Treaty negotiations?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 November 2025

Tim Kiessling*
Affiliation:
Direct Action Research Collective, Kiel, Germany School for Resource and Environmental Studies, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada
Sabine Rech
Affiliation:
MARE - Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre, Regional Agency for the Development of Research, Funchal, Portugal ESMOI - Centre for Ecology and Sustainable Management of Oceanic Islands, Facultad de Ciencias del Mar, Universidad Catolica del Norte, Coquimbo, Chile
Klaus Reus
Affiliation:
Direct Action Research Collective, Kiel, Germany
Tony R. Walker
Affiliation:
School for Resource and Environmental Studies, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada
*
Corresponding author: Tim Kiessling; Email: timkiessling@mailbox.org
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Abstract

Negotiations by more than 180 States during the Intergovernmental Negotiating Committee (INC) session 5.2 to develop a legally binding instrument with the purpose to end plastic pollution have, once again, concluded without a treaty. This is especially disastrous for developing States and marginalized peoples (such as indigenous communities and waste pickers), who are disproportionately suffering from plastic pollution. In this article, we show that developing States were underrepresented at the INC-5.2 negotiations in Geneva: Their delegations were on average only half as large (~5 delegates) when compared to delegations from Western European States (~13 delegates) and those from States with a high and very high Human Development Index (~10 delegates). In addition, more than 230 industry representatives participated in INC-5.2, exerting influence in diverse ways, both during official negotiations and through side events, organized by lobbying organizations. Finally, we discuss the importance of how treaty negotiations were organized: Simultaneously occurring negotiation formats (such as contact groups and informal meetings) put smaller delegations at a disadvantage, causing procedural injustice, which falls under the responsibility of the INC Secretariat.

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Type
Perspective
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Table 1. Number (N), proportion (%) and average (⌀) of delegates of States per category (UN Regional Group, Countries in Special Situations and Human Development Index). Delegates refers to persons registered through States, regardless of their position, function and affiliation and therefore also includes, for example, researchers, industry representatives and representatives from nongovernmental organizations as part of delegations. Details for each state can be seen in the Supplementary Material S1. na values = States not assigned to respective categories or no data available for grouping

Figure 1

Figure 1. (a) Bicycle advertisement by the “Business Coalition for a Global Plastics Treaty,” parked in front of the main entrances to the Palais de Nations in Geneva, where the INC 5.2 negotiations took place. Photo by Tim Kiessling, Creative Commons license CC BY NC 4.0. (b) Banners and black paint in front of the Palais de Nations, coordinated by Greenpeace, to call attention to business influence on the negotiations. © Samuel Schalch/Greenpeace, used with permission.

Figure 2

Table 2. INC session locations and characterization of States according to different categories

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Author comment: Underrepresented developing States, marginalized communities, big business and procedural injustice – how equal were the UN INC-5.2 Global Plastic Treaty negotiations? — R0/PR1

Comments

Dear Editor at Cambridge Prisms: Plastics,

in this submission we detailed and analysed components of injustice that were present during the INC-5.2 negotiations for a global plastics treaty, among them (1) insufficient representation of developing States and marginalized groups; (2) the influence of large corporations; and (3) procedural injustices arising from the treaty’s organizational negotiation structure. We hope that this timely submission, shortly after the INC-5.2 negotiations concluded is of value to the readers of your journal. Please do not hesitate to contact us in case of questions. With kind regards, on behalf of all authors,

Tim Kiessling, Kiel, 1st of September 2025

Review: Underrepresented developing States, marginalized communities, big business and procedural injustice – how equal were the UN INC-5.2 Global Plastic Treaty negotiations? — R0/PR2

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

This perspective article challenges an urgent question of equity and justice in the plastics-treaty negotiations. It is unique in that it systematically categorises delegate registration data. The authors document delegation-size disparities and give an account of process challenges. However, their argumentative framing often outpaces their evidence. Several key claims about petro-state obstruction and industry influence are asserted more forcefully than the cited material supports, while parallel dynamics among high-ambition NGOs and observers receive little mention of their presence and influence at the INCs. The result is an uneven, sometimes advocacy narrative that could benefit from clearer sourcing, and a tighter link between data and conclusions.

1. Title & Abstract

Premature verdict on “failure.” The abstract and title present the negotiations as a failure. Multilateral environmental agreements (MEAs) such as the Montreal Protocol or Paris Agreement typically require many years (even decades after the initial frameworks were in place) and iterative sessions to conclude. A stronger framing might acknowledge that INC-5.2 adjourned without agreement, but that treaty processes are rarely linear or final at a single session. Look into poli-sci research on this https://academic.oup.com/book/42635/chapter/358103272

The most original contribution quantified under-representation of developing states risks being overshadowed by editorial claims about obstruction. Re-centring the opening around these empirical findings would strengthen the paper in the future.

2. Introduction

The claim that a “minority of petrostates” blocked progress lacks clear grounding. The countries named (e.g. USA, Iran, Russia, Saudi Arabia) together represent a large share of the world’s population, while the High Ambition Coalition’s actual numbers are 75 member states (not “more than 100” as written). The basis for calling this group a “minority”, whether by state count, population share, or economic weight, needs clearer evidence and sourcing, as well as how they block the negotiations.

I appreciate the author’s strong framing in this section, e.g. plastic pollution disproportionately affects SIDS, indigenous peoples, informal waste workers, women, etc. (Dauvergne 2023; Farrelly et al. 2021). I think this should be foregrounded more in the introduction, abstract, and conclusion to set the equity stakes before discussing obstruction.

3. Underrepresented developing states and marginalised groups

The quantitative analysis of delegation size is the paper’s empirical contribution, and the supplemental Excel data are an asset (although made with AI?). Still, some elements need tightening, as it appears the authors may not have been in attendance at the negotiations.

The text uses “Africa” (in line 26 page 5) where the correct negotiating bloc is the African Group [of Negotiators], a formal UN regional grouping with documented internal coordination.

Several passages conflate state-level under-representation with under-representation of civil society groups. While the authors do show that SIDS, LDCs and LLDCs registered small delegations (often two or fewer), the claim that these groups were systematically unable to participate needs firmer support.

For example, daily regional-group meetings and joint statements, standard UN practice, help ensure that even micro-delegations can feed into plenaries and contact groups via regional blocs. I would like to highlight lines 39-43 on page 5 - as this is important information and can be a key addition in the conclusion section for how this can be better addressed in future negotiations.

Certain statements, for example, “developing and island States suffer especially from excessive plastic pollution through intentional exports of plastic waste by developed States” would benefit from being situated within the landscape of existing multilateral environmental agreements (MEAs), such as the Basel Convention plastic-waste amendments and the Stockholm Convention on Persistent Organic Pollutants. Integrating insights from these precedents could bring light to how earlier treaties have already grappled with transboundary plastic-waste trade and with slow, iterative negotiation dynamics. Doing so would help avoid that the authors may be implying that the plastics treaty must start from scratch or inadvertently undercut the relevance of other global agreements. [see https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/cambridge-prisms-plastics/article/little-less-conversation-how-existing-governance-can-strengthen-the-future-global-plastics-treaty/CC0586864B36135FD532AF0244F60DE3 ] More broadly, the manuscript would gain authority by rooting its arguments in the extensive political-science literature on how MEAs actually evolve, rather than appearing to rely on aspirational assumptions about how negotiations should work.

Assertions about indigenous peoples, women, youth and informal waste pickers in this section are compelling but lean heavily on advocacy-oriented or position-statement sources (e.g. IIPFP 2025, WECF 2023). These deserve careful framing as stakeholder perspectives rather than direct empirical measurements of influence on treaty text.

Overall, the delegation-size data convincingly show disparities in state delegates in attendance, but the manuscript should more carefully distinguish between small delegation size and actual inability to exert influence during negotiations.

4. Big business influence

The discussion of industry lobbying cites a CIEL (2025) report for a figure of 234 fossil-fuel/chemical industry lobbyists. Yet the treatment of observers omits the much larger presence of high-ambition environmental NGOs and other civil society groups. Without considering the full range of observer participation, the claim that lobbyists “clearly outnumbered” civil-society observers is misleading and not supported by the evidence provided. The authors limited their search to two small groups (Scientists’ Coalition and Indigenous Forum) rather than the full NGO and high ambition observers’ community.

Cited sources such as De Bruycker & Colli (2023) discuss lobbying success in EU climate policy, not direct proof of plastics-treaty influence. Likewise, SourceMaterial & Bonfour (2024) is investigative journalism, not peer-reviewed evidence of intimidation.

The manuscript should (a) distinguish first-hand observation from secondary reports and (b) temper causal claims (e.g. “industry clearly blocked” to “industry sought to shape outcomes”). A large number of well-resourced environmental NGOs also conduct intense advocacy between and during sessions. Ignoring this parallel influence gives a one-sided picture of the negotiations themselves that is quite inaccurate.

5. Organisational matters and procedural justice

The analysis of overlapping contact groups is not entirely correct, as there were never more than two contact groups ongoing at one time. It would help to explain that informal “closed” meetings are standard UN practice intended to facilitate state-to-state negotiations, not necessarily a breach of transparency, as they have to come back and discuss in the contact groups before any text is moved to the legal drafting group. Overall, a more nuanced treatment of UN negotiating norms and existing coordination mechanisms would make its call for procedural fairness more convincing.

6. Conclusion

The conclusion mainly reiterates grievances. A stronger finish would propose concrete procedural reforms (e.g., hybrid participation, funding mechanisms, rotation of venues in the global south, strengthened travel support), and ideally, more innovative suggestions to address the inequities documented. The article offers important data (made with AI? Is this referenced if so?) and raises equity concerns, but it currently reads more like an advocacy op-ed than a balanced perspective fit for a peer-reviewed journal.

Review: Underrepresented developing States, marginalized communities, big business and procedural injustice – how equal were the UN INC-5.2 Global Plastic Treaty negotiations? — R0/PR3

Conflict of interest statement

Although I do not consider this a CofR, I am a member of the Scientists' Coalition for an Effective Plastics treaty and have worked with one of the authors in this capacity.

Comments

Article is ready for publication

Recommendation: Underrepresented developing States, marginalized communities, big business and procedural injustice – how equal were the UN INC-5.2 Global Plastic Treaty negotiations? — R0/PR4

Comments

The views of the reviewers are rather divergent on this paper. I read the paper carefully myself and agree with many of the points of the first reviewer. Therefore, please consider the points of the first reviewer and either adapt the manuscript accordingly or provide a commentary on why specific recommendations are not necessary. Many thanks.

Decision: Underrepresented developing States, marginalized communities, big business and procedural injustice – how equal were the UN INC-5.2 Global Plastic Treaty negotiations? — R0/PR5

Comments

No accompanying comment.

Author comment: Underrepresented developing States, marginalized communities, big business and procedural injustice – how equal were the UN INC-5.2 Global Plastic Treaty negotiations? — R1/PR6

Comments

No accompanying comment.

Review: Underrepresented developing States, marginalized communities, big business and procedural injustice – how equal were the UN INC-5.2 Global Plastic Treaty negotiations? — R1/PR7

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

Revisions are fine and article should be published soon, before the latest round of negotiations fades from public memory

Recommendation: Underrepresented developing States, marginalized communities, big business and procedural injustice – how equal were the UN INC-5.2 Global Plastic Treaty negotiations? — R1/PR8

Comments

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Decision: Underrepresented developing States, marginalized communities, big business and procedural injustice – how equal were the UN INC-5.2 Global Plastic Treaty negotiations? — R1/PR9

Comments

No accompanying comment.