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Anthropogenic pressure on large carnivores and their prey in the highly threatened forests of Tanintharyi, southern Myanmar

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 December 2022

Nay Myo Shwe*
Affiliation:
Conservation Ecology Program, King Mongkut's University of Technology Thonburi, Bangkok, Thailand
Matthew Grainger
Affiliation:
Norwegian Institute for Nature Research, Trondheim, Norway
Dusit Ngoprasert
Affiliation:
Conservation Ecology Program, King Mongkut's University of Technology Thonburi, Bangkok, Thailand
Saw Soe Aung
Affiliation:
Myanmar Programme, Fauna & Flora International, Yangon, Myanmar
Mark Grindley
Affiliation:
Myanmar Programme, Fauna & Flora International, Yangon, Myanmar
Tommaso Savini
Affiliation:
Conservation Ecology Program, King Mongkut's University of Technology Thonburi, Bangkok, Thailand
*
(Corresponding author, nmshwe@googlemail.com)

Abstract

The Tanintharyi Region in southern Myanmar is rich in biodiversity yet is facing threats from varying degrees of anthropogenic pressure. In this research we examine how anthropogenic pressures are influencing large carnivores (tiger Panthera tigris, leopard Panthera pardus and dhole Cuon alpinus) and their major prey species (wild pig Sus scrofa, muntjac Muntiacus spp., sambar Rusa unicolor, gaur Bos gaurus and banteng Bos javanicus) in the Lenya Reserved Forest and adjacent areas of Sundaic forest. We used data from camera-trap surveys during May 2016–March 2018 and logistic regression to analyse the relationships between the presence of large carnivores and explanatory variables such as human disturbance, landscape variability and changes in prey distribution. Tiger presence was positively associated with the occurrence of gaur and distance to villages. The occurrence of prey did not explain the detection of leopards in the study area. We suspect this was because leopards have a broad diet, including arboreal primates, and their prey was not fully recorded in our camera-trap survey. Dholes were positively associated with wild pigs and the total number of prey but not associated with forest type and landscape variables. To restore the carnivore population and conserve the biodiversity of this area, effective protection of predators and habitat management for large ungulates are crucial.

Information

Type
Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Fauna & Flora International
Figure 0

Fig. 1 The study area in southern Tanintharyi, Myanmar, showing locations of camera traps, villages, main roads and forest cover. (Readers of the printed journal are referred to the online article for a colour version of this figure.)

Figure 1

Table 1 The mean (and range) of six landscape variables at camera-trap locations where four prey species (wild pig Sus scrofa, barking deer Muntiacus spp., sambar Rusa unicolor, gaur Bos gaurus) of carnivores were detected or not detected, and details of the detections during the camera-trap survey from May 2016 to March 2018. These include the number of detections/non-detections inside and outside the Reserved Forest, the mean ± SD number of detections and the sum of detections for all camera traps combined. Banteng Bos javanicus is not included because it was only detected at two locations.

Figure 2

Table 2 The mean (and range) of six landscape variables at camera-trap locations where three predator species (tiger Panthera tigris, leopard Panthera pardus, dhole Cuon alpinus) were detected or not detected, and details of the detections during the camera-trap survey from May 2016 to March 2018. These include the number of detections/non-detections inside and outside the Reserved Forest, the mean ± SD number of detections and the sum of detections for all camera traps combined.

Figure 3

Fig. 2 The predicted probabilities of the occurrence of three large carnivore species based on the best fitting (most parsimonious) logistic regression models, with 95% CIs, showing the influence of: (a) distance to nearest village on the tiger Panthera tigris, (b) number of gaur Bos gaurus on the tiger, (c) forest area on the leopard Panthera pardus, and (d) number of wild pigs Sus scrofa on the dhole Cuon alpinus.

Figure 4

Table 3 Model selection for logistic regression of detections/non-detections of tigers, leopards and dholes with prey and landscape covariates, with the number of estimated parameters in the model (K), the Akaike information criterion (AIC), difference in the AIC (ΔAIC; models with a value of 0 have the most support) and the Akaike model weights (wi).

Figure 5

Table 4 Estimates of the coefficients derived from the best fitting logistic regression of detection/non-detection for each predator, with standard errors and 95% CIs, and model evaluation using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

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