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Modelling nesting site suitability in a population of reintroduced Eurasian black vultures Aegypius monachus in the Grands Causses, France

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 October 2013

Jean-Baptiste Mihoub*
Affiliation:
UPMC, UMR 7204, MNHN-CNRS-UPMC ‘Conservation des Espèces, Restauration et Suivi des Populations', CP 51, 55 rue Buffon, F-75005 Paris, France.
Frédéric Jiguet
Affiliation:
UPMC, UMR 7204, MNHN-CNRS-UPMC ‘Conservation des Espèces, Restauration et Suivi des Populations', CP 51, 55 rue Buffon, F-75005 Paris, France.
Philippe Lécuyer
Affiliation:
Ligue pour la Protection des Oiseaux Grands Causses, Peyreleau, France
Bertrand Eliotout
Affiliation:
Ligue pour la Protection des Oiseaux Grands Causses, Peyreleau, France
François Sarrazin
Affiliation:
UPMC, UMR 7204, MNHN-CNRS-UPMC ‘Conservation des Espèces, Restauration et Suivi des Populations', CP 51, 55 rue Buffon, F-75005 Paris, France.
*
(Corresponding author) E-mail mihoub@mnhn.fr
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Abstract

Defining habitat selection features and predicting the distribution of species are important for conservation management, and habitat suitability models can provide the statistical framework linking environmental variables to occurrence locations. However, the reliability of such models is restricted for datasets that have limited presence data, which is problematic when population size is low and population dynamics are transient, such as in reintroductions. We characterized and projected nest-site suitability for a black vulture Aegypius monachus population reintroduced in the Grands Causses, France. We performed temporal validations with subsample datasets based on chronological establishment, to assess whether first nests are able to predict subsequent nests. We compared these results to a spatial validation to ensure robustness. Predictions were reliable even with only 10 nest locations. The black vultures reintroduced in the Grands Causses selected pine trees and steep slopes, similar to natural populations elsewhere in Europe. Although our projections were made from only a small number of founders, they are conservative and indicate that a large area in this region is available for nesting and thus availability of breeding habitat is not currently a limiting factor for the species. Our findings will aid the modelling of habitat suitability for further reintroductions. We propose conservation management strategies for this region that integrate socio-economic constraints with the prediction of sites suitable for nesting. Where habitat is the most suitable for black vultures, logging and human activities need to be reduced during the critical breeding stages.

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Papers
Copyright
Copyright © Fauna & Flora International 2013 
Figure 0

Fig. 1 Map of suitable nesting habitat for the black vulture Aegypius monachus in the Grands Causses (the black circle indicates the release site). Predictions result from the Maxent model built with all 39 nest-site locations as training data and 10,000 background points (see text for further details). The shaded rectangle on the inset indicates the location of the main map in southern France.

Figure 1

Table 1 Description of the vegetation cover variables used to model the ecological features of nesting sites of black vultures Aegypius monachus reintroduced in the Grands Causses, France (Fig. 1).

Figure 2

Fig. 2 Response curves of black vulture nest site locations with (a) slope and (b) elevation (relative contribution of the variable to predictions when the variable is considered alone), from the habitat suitability model (see text for further details).

Figure 3

Table 2 Results of habitat suitability models for the nesting habitat of black vultures reintroduced in the Grands Causses (Fig. 1), constructed using Maxent with presence-only data for 10, 21, 33 or 39 nest site locations (i.e. so-called temporal validations that reflect the increase in the number of nests with time) and 100, 1,000 or 10,000 background points.

Figure 4

Table 3 Results of habitat suitability models for the nesting habitat of black vultures reintroduced in the Grands Causses (Fig. 1), constructed using Maxent with presence-only data for nest site locations in the four training areas considered (i.e. so-called spatial validations: north, n = 9; south, n = 10; east, n = 10; west, n = 10) and 100, 1,000 or 10,000 background points.