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Using questionnaire surveys and occupancy modelling to identify conservation priorities for the Critically Endangered Balkan lynx Lynx lynx balcanicus

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 December 2018

Dime Melovski*
Affiliation:
Macedonian Ecological Society, Skopje, Macedonia.
Manuela von Arx
Affiliation:
KORA, Carnivore Ecology and Wildlife Management, Bern, Switzerland
Vasko Avukatov
Affiliation:
Macedonian Ecological Society, Skopje, Macedonia.
Christine Breitenmoser-Würsten
Affiliation:
KORA, Carnivore Ecology and Wildlife Management, Bern, Switzerland
Marina Đurović
Affiliation:
Public Enterprise for National Parks of Montenegro, Podgorica, Montenegro
Rafet Elezi
Affiliation:
Finch, Prizren, Kosovo
Olivier Gimenez
Affiliation:
Centre d’Écologie Fonctionnelle et Évolutive, CNRS, Université Montpellier, Montpellier, France
Bledi Hoxha
Affiliation:
Protection and Preservation of Natural Environment in Albania, Tirana, Albania
Slavcho Hristovski
Affiliation:
Macedonian Ecological Society, Skopje, Macedonia.
Gjorgje Ivanov
Affiliation:
Macedonian Ecological Society, Skopje, Macedonia.
Alexandros A. Karamanlidis
Affiliation:
Faculty of Environmental Sciences and Natural Resource Management, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Ås, Norway
Tabea Lanz
Affiliation:
KORA, Carnivore Ecology and Wildlife Management, Bern, Switzerland
Kujtim Mersini
Affiliation:
Protection and Preservation of Natural Environment in Albania, Tirana, Albania
Aleksandar Perović
Affiliation:
Centre for Protection and Research of Birds, Podgorica, Montenegro
Azem Ramadani
Affiliation:
Finch, Prizren, Kosovo
Bardh Sanaja
Affiliation:
Environmentally Responsible Action Group, Peja, Kosovo
Parsim Sanaja
Affiliation:
Environmentally Responsible Action Group, Peja, Kosovo
Gabriel Schwaderer
Affiliation:
EuroNatur Foundation, Radolfzell, Germany
Annette Spangenberg
Affiliation:
EuroNatur Foundation, Radolfzell, Germany
Aleksandar Stojanov
Affiliation:
Macedonian Ecological Society, Skopje, Macedonia.
Aleksandër Trajçe
Affiliation:
Protection and Preservation of Natural Environment in Albania, Tirana, Albania
Urs Breitenmoser
Affiliation:
KORA, Carnivore Ecology and Wildlife Management, Bern, Switzerland
*
(Corresponding author) E-mail melovskid@mes.org.mk

Abstract

With an estimated < 50 adult individuals remaining, the Critically Endangered Balkan lynx Lynx lynx balcanicus is one of the rarest, most threatened and least-studied large carnivores. To identify priority conservation areas and actions for the subspecies, during 2006–2014 we conducted 1,374 questionnaire surveys throughout the potential range of the Balkan lynx to (1) evaluate human–lynx interactions and identify potential threats, and (2) determine the probability of site use in 207 grid cells through occupancy modelling. Human–lynx interactions were related mainly to poaching of lynx, and damage to livestock by lynx. Poaching was intense throughout the potential range of the subspecies, apparently having affected 50–100% of the total estimated extant population. Damage to livestock was recorded only in relation to sheep, mainly in the southern part of the lynx's potential range. Occupancy modelling indicated 108 grid cells with high probability of site use, which was affected mainly by increased terrain ruggedness and reduced forest cover. Based on the combined results of our study we identified five priority areas for conservation, as well as in situ habitat protection, community participation in the conservation of the subspecies, and the improvement and implementation of the existing legal framework as the priority conservation actions for the Balkan lynx.

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Article
Copyright
Copyright © Fauna & Flora International 2018
Figure 0

Fig. 1 The survey area in the south-western Balkans, showing the 207 10 × 10 km grid cells in which we conducted questionnaire surveys, with the probability of site use of the Balkan lynx Lynx lynx balcanicus as estimated through occupancy modelling.

Figure 1

Fig. 2 Survey grid cells in which interviewees indicated Balkan lynx (a) had been poached, and (b) had caused damage to their livestock.

Figure 2

Table 1 Model selection results, ranked by Akaike information criterion corrected for small sample size (AICc), for occupancy modelling to identify conservation priorities for the Balkan lynx Lynx lynx balcanicus. Of the 192 models fitted, only those with ΔAICc < 2 are reported.

Figure 3

Fig. 3 Five important areas for the conservation of the Balkan lynx, identified based on occupancy modelling (Fig. 1) and questionnaire surveys (Fig. 2): 1, Shebenik–Jablanica and surroundings; 2, Mavrovo National Park and surroundings; 3, Shar Planina Mountain; 4, Munella Mountains and surroundings; 5, Albanian Alps.