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9 - The Sixth Wave Imperative: The Gulf’s Strategic Reset for a Post-Carbon World

from Part II - Reinventing the Petro-State: The Gulf’s Race against the Climate Clock

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  13 October 2025

Justin Dargin
Affiliation:
University of Oxford
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Summary

This chapter serves as the book’s culminating exploration and synthesizes the book’s core arguments, offering a critical evaluation of the Gulf states’ transformative responses to the global imperative of decarbonization. Through an assessment of historical trends, economic projections, and potential shifts in geopolitical power dynamics, the chapter constructs a comprehensive potential outlook for the Gulf region within a rapidly evolving global energy landscape. Notably, the chapter’s focus is on the critical 10–20-year window, a period during which the Gulf states must strategically navigate the complexities, capitalize on the opportunities, and effectively address the multifaceted challenges posed by decarbonization. Importantly, this chapter offers penetrating insights into the potential challenges awaiting the Gulf states. By posing the essential questions that policymakers must confront, it provides a conceptual roadmap for developing proactive strategies designed to address these challenges head-on. This focus on foresight and strategic management is fundamental to the chapter’s significance.

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