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10 - Macroprudential Tools of Systemic Risk Analysis

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  09 August 2018

Paul Mizen
Affiliation:
University of Nottingham
Margarita Rubio
Affiliation:
University of Nottingham
Philip Turner
Affiliation:
Universität Basel, Switzerland
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Summary

This chapter is aimed at presenting tools of systemic risk analysis used as a part of stress testing framework and their application to address systemic risk questions facing macroprudential policy decision makers with special attentions to problems present in the Polish banking sector. In the first part of the paper alternative definitions of the systemic risk are described. Then alternative tools of systemic risk measurement and analysis are presented. The reference network model is integrated with stress testing framework to empirically evaluate impact of the systemic risk on the Polish banking sector. Gained results of the research show that, in general, banks operating in Poland are immune to endogenous and exogenous sources of systemic risk and this type of risk is not a source of instability for the domestic banking sector. However some shocks emerging (inter alia) from the structure of the Polish banks’ capital ownership and characteristics of the mortgage credit portfolio should be carefully monitored in the future.

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