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6 - Unstable Money and Risk Mitigation in the New Economy

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  31 March 2020

Antonia Settle
Affiliation:
University of Melbourne
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Summary

As Chapter 3 shows, the liberalisation process has shifted the pricing regime on money and on key commodities from set pricing and comprehensive intervention towards a market float. This process has by no means been absolute. The rupee itself, together with the key prices of wheat and electricity, continues to be subjected to intervention that seeks to smooth volatility. The wheat price is influenced by the continuing but much pared-down programme of state procurement. Electricity is still priced in accordance with tariffs set by the state, although these have moved much closer to global prices, both in terms of the rupee price and in terms of much more frequent tariff revision. Regardless of these vestiges of the pre-liberalisation era, however, transformation in the economy has been significant and this transformation extends to the monetary environment – the governance of money and of the prices that give everyday meaning to the usefulness of money.

Applying the analytical framework developed in Chapter 2, this chapter contends that the new economy is characterised by complex and persistent instability. This instability reaches into the everyday transactions entailed in maintaining the consumer basket and thereby imposes very real implications for money. Building on the description of the transformation of the rupee relayed in Chapter 3 with a description of attendant transformation in alternative monetary forms, which were raised in Chapter 5, the chapter presents a conception of frontier money as entailing multiple money forms, each with its own profile of risk and liquidity, that include the transformed open economy rupee as well as an array of alternative money forms.

This analysis is premised on the changing risk profile of the rupee in the postliberalisation environment of the new economy. If state money is not the ‘stable pole’, then it carries risk of volatility in its value relative to subsistence goods, as well as the risk of long-term depreciation. In these conditions, the risk-free status of state money is undermined as the monetary environment becomes more complicated. In these circumstances, state money's distinction from other liquid assets becomes less pronounced: the once clear line is increasingly blurred between state money – as an embodiment of key monetary attributes and thus a unique money instrument – and ordinary commodities and assets which may carry similar profiles of risk and liquidity.

Type
Chapter
Information
Risk and the Rupee in Pakistan's New Economy
Financial Inclusion and Monetary Change in a Frontier Market
, pp. 149 - 175
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2020

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