Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Acknowledgments
- About the author
- 1 Setting the stage
- 2 Uncertain about science
- 3 Can the media help?
- 4 Unfamiliarity breeds uncertainty
- 5 Fever or chill?
- 6 A fifty–fifty chance
- 7 I'm not quite sure how this works …
- 8 Let's see what happens if …
- 9 Reconstructing the past
- 10 Predicting the future
- 11 Out of the blue
- 12 In a climate of uncertainty
- Index
1 - Setting the stage
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 11 August 2009
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Acknowledgments
- About the author
- 1 Setting the stage
- 2 Uncertain about science
- 3 Can the media help?
- 4 Unfamiliarity breeds uncertainty
- 5 Fever or chill?
- 6 A fifty–fifty chance
- 7 I'm not quite sure how this works …
- 8 Let's see what happens if …
- 9 Reconstructing the past
- 10 Predicting the future
- 11 Out of the blue
- 12 In a climate of uncertainty
- Index
Summary
This is a book about uncertainty, particularly the uncertainty we associate with science. Over the years, scientific uncertainty has been addressed by natural scientists, engineers, medical researchers, social scientists, and philosophers. But for all the perspectives that have been laid out in everything from short essays to scholarly monographs, the richness of scientific uncertainty has often been unappreciated and/or misunderstood by the general public, people not regularly engaged in science.
Uncertainty, of course, is not confined to the world of science. It is an everyday fact of ordinary life as well. We regularly face uncertainty in a myriad of ways. Will it rain today? Will Aunt Dorothy's plane arrive on time? Will the stock market tumble? Will an accident snarl the freeway during rush hour? These day-to-day uncertainties come and go, and we move on through life, sometimes preparing for them, but more often just plowing through them.
But uncertainty also colors longer-term concerns. Will my pension program be sufficient two decades from now to enable the full and comfortable life that my wife and I hope for? Will our health allow a free and independent life-style thirty years in the future? These longer-term questions are harder to answer and are cloaked in greater uncertainty. Because we have only one life to live we cannot return to ‘Go’ and take another path.
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- Uncertain Science ... Uncertain World , pp. 1 - 4Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2003