Published online by Cambridge University Press: 06 July 2010
Since the 1980s an increasing number of physicists have been using ideas from statistical mechanics to examine financial data. This development was partially a consequence of the end of the cold war and the ensuing scarcity of funding for research in physics, but was mainly sustained by the exponential increase in the quantity of financial data being generated everyday in the world's financial markets.
Jean-Philippe Bouchaud and Marc Potters have been important contributors to this literature, and Theory of Financial Risk and Derivative Pricing, in this much revised second English-language edition, is an admirable summary of what has been achieved. The authors attain a remarkable balance between rigour and intuition that makes this book a pleasure to read.
To an economist, the most interesting contribution of this literature is a new way to look at the increasingly available high-frequency data. Although I do not share the authors' pessimism concerning long time scales, I agree that the methods used here are particularly appropriate for studying fluctuations that typically occur in frequencies of minutes to months, and that understanding these fluctuations is important for both scientific and pragmatic reasons. As most economists, Bouchaud and Potters believe that models in finance are never ‘correct’ – the specific models used in practice are often chosen for reasons of tractability. It is thus important to employ a variety of diagnostic tools to evaluate hypotheses and goodness of fit.
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