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7 - Model choice

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 September 2011

D. R. Cox
Affiliation:
University of Oxford
Christl A. Donnelly
Affiliation:
Imperial College London
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Summary

Detailed consideration is required to ensure that the most appropriate parameters of interest are chosen for a particular research question. It is also important to ensure the appropriate treatment of nonspecific effects, which correspond to systematic differences that are not of direct concern. Thus in the present chapter we discuss aspects relating to the choice of models for a particular application, first the choice between distinct model families and then the choice of a specific model within the selected family.

Criteria for parameters

Preliminaries

In some applications analysis and interpretation may be based on nonparametric formulations, for example the use of smooth curves or surfaces summarizing complex dependencies not easily captured in a simple formula. The reporting of estimated spectral densities of time series or line spectra representing complex mixtures of molecules are examples. Mostly, however, we aim to summarize the aspects of interest by parameters, preferably small in number and formally defined as properties of the probability model. In the cases on which we concentrate, the distribution specified by the model is determined by a finite number of such unknown parameters.

For a specific research question, parameters may be classified as parameters of interest, that is, directly addressing the questions of concern, or as nuisance parameters necessary to complete the statistical specification. Often the variation studied is a mixture of systematic and haphazard components, with attention focused on the former.

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Chapter
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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2011

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  • Model choice
  • D. R. Cox, University of Oxford, Christl A. Donnelly, Imperial College London
  • Book: Principles of Applied Statistics
  • Online publication: 07 September 2011
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139005036.008
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  • Model choice
  • D. R. Cox, University of Oxford, Christl A. Donnelly, Imperial College London
  • Book: Principles of Applied Statistics
  • Online publication: 07 September 2011
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139005036.008
Available formats
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Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Model choice
  • D. R. Cox, University of Oxford, Christl A. Donnelly, Imperial College London
  • Book: Principles of Applied Statistics
  • Online publication: 07 September 2011
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139005036.008
Available formats
×