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Back in Bangalore after several years, I find that the city lives up to its avant-garde reputation. The large dotcom hoardings, the cyber cafes, the sleek restaurants offering cuisines ranging from Coorgi to French, and the pubs lining the road are impressive.
But equally impressive is the rapidity with which all this disappears as one drives out of the city. Within miles of cruising west the modern buildings give way to modest tenements. Another hour or two of driving and the landscape changes to open fields, with gigantic boulders, eucalyptus clusters, coconut groves, and banyan trees disfigured by the human quest for firewood. The simple huts and hovels of the poor are a reminder of the sameness of India—a sameness dominated, even now, by poverty.
Our first halt is at the Magadi Taluka headquarters, where the executive officer (EO) explains the development work going on in the region. He is currently involved in a housing subsidy scheme under which any poor villager can get a grant of Rs 20,000 for building a house. There are conditions, of course. The house must be built using labour-intensive technology; the original owner cannot sell the house; and the building must include a toilet, presumably to wean away residents from the lure of the fields. The EO is pained that villagers resist the toilets, and even after he persuades them, on occasion he has bumped into residents returning from the field, lota in hand.
The uncontested acceptance of Bollywood as the only available term for conceptualizing the Hindi film Industry in our times and the re-conceptualization of female sexuality in the films produced since the 1990s points towards a symbiotic relationship between the two cultural phenomena. This chapter will draw from the symptoms of the shifting paradigm of (female) sexuality, trying to understand the changed/changing symptoms not only as a dimension of performance, but, also in a larger sense, as a set of relations between the elements internal to the script as well as those which constitute its field: its audiences, its socio-economic structure and its ideological milieu. Approached from this angle, the gender matrix of ‘Bollywood’ may well offer insights into the changing modalities of Indian national identity and a redefinition of what may be termed the Indo-feminine in a global cultural context.
Bollywood: A Derivative Discourse
The best starting point for such a discussion is the highly contested terrain of ‘Bollywood,’ which has been copiously analyzed by Madhava Prasad and Vijay Mishra among others. According to Prasad in his article ‘This thing called Bollywood,’ ‘Bollywood’ has a commodious control specifically as it has an indeterminate (‘ill-defined’) purview, demonstrating a somewhat unbiased incorporation of all the existing models of the Bombay film industry, from the regressive, the popular to the ideological model.
Dating back over 150 years, with heavy wooden doors, ceilings reaching into the skies, a sprawling verandah overlooking a yard with ancient banyan trees, the Circuit House in Bankura is a curious mixture of the Raj and independent India. The latter adorns the wall in the form of portraits of artists like Ramkinkar Baij and Jamini Roy, and the bookshelves, where tomes left behind unwittingly by visiting bureaucrats (Do-it-Yourself Plumbing and Heating, The Economic Development of India by Brian Davey) rub shoulders with those that may not be there quite as purposelessly, for, read carefully, they could just win the CPM a few more adherents among the vulnerable: Das Capital, three volumes, and the collected works of V.I. Lenin.
My visit to Bankura and, just before that, to the Sunderbans had nothing to do with tourism. It was driven by curiosity. On most indices of development, Bengal is trailing. Its rank, on India's interstate scorecard, has slid not just in terms of per capita income but even on social indices such as literacy, morbidity, and the progress of higher education. Talk to a random person in Kolkata and he will tell you the disaster that the CPM government has been for the state. How then does one explain the CPM's electoral popularity and unwavering rural support? It is this conundrum that compelled me to cut into my Kolkata vacation and travel.
In economic terms, Argentina is a special case. It occupies a central place in accounts of economic history and financial newspaper headlines. The beginning of the 21st century saw Argentina's longest and largest economic crisis, which has been followed by recovery and expansion at rates of economic growth equalling those of China.
This recovery has reopened the debate on Argentina's long-term development strategy. Several authors emphasize the need to strengthen and promote Argentina's non-traditional tradable sectors, to consolidate the recent economic process and to finally overcome Argentina's recurrent internal and external imbalances (Gerchunoff and Ramos, 2005; Kacef, 2004; Porta, 2005).
Between 2003 and 2008 positive international conditions and the competitive exchange rate policy followed by the government are both said to have encouraged strong macroeconomic fundamentals in Argentina (see Serino 2007). The implications of global conditions and the exchange rate policy for productive and export diversification, however, need to be discussed in more detail – especially as Argentina's structural features, commonly overlooked in aggregate macroeconomic studies, do play a role.
Discussion of productive diversification in Argentina and the impact of natural resource shocks and policies hypothesized in this research, needs to take account of one of the country's most important structural features: a resource sector whose natural advantages make it more competitive internationally than other tradable sectors, and which produces wage-goods that are exported and consumed domestically. These structural characteristics matter for two reasons.
‘I can [understand and] calculate the motions of the heavenly bodies, but not the madness of [the South Sea Bubble] people.’
Isaac Newton
Introduction
Four major financial crises have struck middle-income developing countries (DCs) since the 1982 debt-crisis: Mexico in 1994 (and the subsequent ‘Tequila-effect’ in Argentina); East and Southeast Asia in 1997; Brazil in 1999; and Argentina in 2001.
Two common characteristics of the these crises are that the countries involved had recently open up their capital accounts, and that they had done so at a time of high liquidity in international financial markets and slow growth in most OECD economies – i.e., at a time when an over-liquid, highly volatile and under-regulated international financial market was anxiously seeking new high-yield investment opportunities.
The first part of this paper will attempt to show that no matter how diversely these financially liberalised DCs tried to deal with the absorption problem created by sudden surges in capital inflows, they inevitably ended up in financial crisis via a Kindlebergian cycle of ‘mania, panic and crash’. However, there is a clear distinction between the Latin American and the East Asian crisis-building pattern; furthermore, within Latin America there is a further distinction between Brazil (where there was a major policy attempt to avoid the Kindlebergian cycle via an aggressive sterilisation of inflows) and the other crises countries of the region.
As we have seen in earlier chapters, the concept ‘National System of Innovation’ may be used in two senses: in a broad sense it encompasses all institutions which affect the introduction and diffusion of new products, processes and systems in a national economy; and in a narrow sense it encompasses that set of institutions which are more directly concerned with scientific and technical activities. This book is mainly concerned with national systems in the broad sense and has stressed the importance of the interactions between the production system, the users and innovation. In this chapter, however, we focus more on the narrower set of formal institutions and attempt to outline some major stages in the evolution of these institutions.
Chapter 1 has pointed out that flexibility in the economy does not only derive from market institutions. This chapter shows that the capacity to adapt to major changes in technology has depended historically on the development of a network of scientific and technical institutions, both in the public and private sectors. Whereas chapter 7 has focused mainly on the role of the public sector as user of innovation, this chapter concentrates more on its role as producer.
In the early days of the industrial revolution contact between science and industry was certainly already important (Musson and Robinson, 1969) but it was largely on an individual basis and not on a systematic, continuous basis. Firms were very small and science was largely the province of individual enthusiasts, loosely linked in scientific societies and in national academies.
Humans are changing the metabolism of the planet to a degree previously unknown. We are fundamentally altering the gases in the atmosphere, the bodies of water and the complex web of species that constitutes life on Earth. The Economics of the Yasuní Initiative appears at a time when the dangers to the world's resources have become clear to the naked eye. Rates of extinction are now 1,000 times higher than the rate inferred from the fossil record. Climate change seems to be accelerating. For humans, this means rising seas, ferocious floods, prolonged droughts and erratic weather patterns. In 2010, we may see over 50 millions climate refugees worldwide. The problem is global in nature. There is nowhere to hide.
Approximately 80% of humanity lives in the developing world, often amidst valuable natural resources. Ecuador is a microcosm of that world and its UNESCO Biosphere Reserve – Yasuní – is exemplary of resources in their original state. However, Yasuní sits atop a huge oil reserve. As is the case in many other carbon-rich developing nations, roughly half of Ecuador lives in poverty. Understandably, the government is tempted to exploit the oil of Yasuní and expand the agricultural frontier simply to feed its population despite the negative global impacts on the environment – just as industrialized countries did at a similar stage of their economic development.
The conflict between basic needs and resource exports is as acute as it is cruel. In the case of Ecuador, the lion's share of export income comes from petroleum sales and the majority of its people enjoy no benefit.
The objective of this study is to examine the impact of Foreign Portfolio Investment on India's economy and industry. As FPI essentially interacts with the real economy via the stock market, the effect of stock market on the country's economic development will also be examined. The findings of this chapter show that the perceived benefits of foreign portfolio investment have not been realized in India. From the results of this study it can be said that the mainstream argument that the entry of foreign portfolio investors will boost a country's stock market and consequently the economy, does not seem be working in India. The influx of FIIs has indeed influenced the secondary market segment of the Indian stock market. But the supposed linkage effects with the real economy have not worked in the way the mainstream model predicts. Instead there has been an increased uncertainty and skepticism about the stock market in this country.
On the other hand, the surge in foreign portfolio investment in the Indian economy has introduced some serious problems of macroeconomic management for the policymakers. Uncertainty and volatility associated with FPI have not only reduced the degrees of maneuverability available to the policymakers but have also forced them to take some measures which impose significant fiscal cost on the economy.
Though this study focuses on India and draws policy implications based on the Indian experience, the results and policy implications of this study can be used to draw lessons for other developing which are at the same or similar level of development.
This chapter discusses the shifting character of the Brazilian State in several major debt crises throughout this century including its more recent one that started in 1999 and is considered to end in 2005 when Brazil paid in advance its debt with IMF. The intention here is to review the role of the Brazilian State during these debt crises. It is shown that pressures from the international capital market and the country's private sector forced the Brazilian State to assume the debt risk and obligations of the private sector. This process is called “the nationalization of the debt” of the Brazilian external debt. Our major purpose is to see whether the recent debt process (1994–1998) and its repercussion until 2005 shows the same trend as the 1976–1982 period – that is, to see whether the State ended up bailing out the risks of the huge amount of portfolio investment that the country received.
The tendency for external debt “nationalization” is present in the recent external debt of Brazil (1992–1998). But, contrary to the debt cycle of 1967–1982, the external debt “nationalization” of the 1990s follows the pattern similar to the external debt cycle of 1947–1962.
Objective
The objective of this chapter is to analyze the role of the State in the process of the external debt of Brazil. Specifically, our thesis is to find out if historically the State assumed all the risk by “nationalizing foreign obligations” – in which economic losses are socialized while economic gains are privatized – as was the case in the 1982 debt crisis (Cruz 1984).
Theories in the social sciences may be regarded as ‘focusing devices’. Any specific theory brings forward and exposes some aspects of the real world, leaving others in obscurity. That is why a long lasting hegemony of one single theoretical tradition is damaging both in terms of understanding and policy-making. In the field of economics, the dominating neo-classical paradigm puts its analytical focus upon concepts such as scarcity, allocation, and exchange, in a static context. Even if these concepts reflect important phenomena in the real world, they only bring forward some aspects of the economic system. One aim of this book is to demonstrate the need for an alternative, and supplementary, focusing device which puts interactive learning and innovation at the centre of analysis.
Through more than a decade, a group of economists at Aalborg University, the IKE-group, has worked together studying industrial development and international competitiveness from such a perspective. This book presents results from this work in relation to one specific subject; national systems of innovation.
Our choice of perspective and subject is based upon two sets of assumptions.
First, it is assumed that the most fundamental resource in the modern economy is knowledge and, accordingly, that the most important process is learning. The fact that knowledge differs in crucial respects from other resources in the economy makes standard economics less relevant and motivates efforts to develop an alternative paradigm.
Many lay people, aided by the teachings of economists, believe that the major economic processes in life are driven by the inexorable laws of economics. Prices rise and fall responding to demand and supply, which are the aggregation of thousands of atomistic decisions by individuals; trade occurs when there are differences in comparative advantages between nations; wealth accrues to the smart and the hardworking. There is something mildly consoling about this view. When one sees the all-too-visible inequities of economic life, this belief in inexorable laws comes a close second to fate, karma, and religious determinism as a source of comfort.
What most people grossly underestimate is the importance of politics in economics. Transparency not being the hallmark of politics, this is a mistake easy to make. An illuminating illustration of politics behind economics is the recent steel-tariff controversy. President Bush's preaching of free trade and practice of raising steel tariff to nearly 30 per cent caught many by surprise. Bush justified it by referring to the report of the International Trade Commission, which had been asked by him to do a ‘global safeguard investigation’ into the subject of steel imports and had concluded in December 2001 that increased imports were hurting the nation across the board. But a little research shows that the real reason for the tariff was political. Steel is an important industry for Pennsylvania and West Virginia, and these states have midterm elections coming up in November 2002.
The 1997 IMF-led loan package of $55 billion for South Korea was the biggest financial rescue effort to date. When, a few months before that, Thailand's financial crisis spread to the Philippines, Indonesia, and Malaysia, it was nothing but a distant tragedy to much of the industrialized world. Then, suddenly, the contagion jumped the boundaries of South East Asia, touching Brazil, Japan, and, in a very big way, South Korea. The crisis was marked by stock market crashes, currency depreciations, runs on banks, and the actual collapse of several banks—including Hokkaido Takushoku, one of Japan's largest.
In the mayhem, no one really understands what happened, what started the forest fire in South East Asia—there is an actual forest fire in the region, to add to the confusion—and how to douse it without bringing the economies to a halt. As is usual, pundits are cropping up by the day. They claim to have known all along that this was coming. They tell us that these Asian economies had ‘weak fundamentals’, a safe thing to say since no one knows what that means; their exchange rates were overvalued; their monetary policy was wrong.
Nothing can be further from the truth. On 1 March 1997, The Economist, while pointing to several cracks in the Asian economies, noted that ‘on most structural issues, these economies have got a large number of big things absolutely right: high savings, prudent monetary and fiscal policies, openness to trade’.
A social science which explains social regularities and phenomena, such as reciprocity and inflation, wholly from the decisions and behaviour of individual human beings is described as adhering to methodological individualism (henceforth, MI). Whether this is the right methodology for social science or not was once a matter of considerable dispute, which engaged the minds of leading economists and sociologists. Gradually, interest in the subject died down, individuals continued to do social science research without, mercifully, trying to explicitly articulate the method that they were in fact using. But with this developed the feeling, especially among economists, that the problem of MI was either trivial or resolved in its favour. There is, however, a revival of interest in the rights and wrongs of MI as evidence from the works of Bhargava (1993) and Arrow (1994). The aim of this essay is to evaluate this resurgence of interest, by critically examining some of Bhargava's ideas, and to present the reader with an open-ended and somewhat paradoxical problem concerning methodological individualism and normative judgements.
Rajeev Bhargava's book is meant to be a challenge to orthodoxy. In this book, which is a revised version of his PhD thesis submitted to Oxford University, Bhargava argues that MI is not trivial, there are versions of it which are intellectually sophisticated and deserve our attention; however, MI can be challenged and he goes on to construct non-individualist methodologies which according to him are at least as satisfactory as MI.
On 31 March 2001 India will witness a dramatic change in its foreign trade regime, when quantity restrictions on the import of virtually all goods are removed. The only permitted exceptions will be a few special goods on grounds of security and religion.
Broadly speaking, there are two methods of curbing imports—the first is to charge a tariff on the commodity being imported, and the second is to rule that the commodity is not allowed to be imported. The latter is described as a ‘quantity restriction’; and it is just as well it has a popular acronym, QR, since it has been used so widely in India. A whole range of agricultural, consumer, and some capital goods—a total of over 700 goods—are prevented from entering the country under this criterion.
Once QRs are removed on all these 700 items, a host of new goods will flow into India. Unsurprisingly, a lot of Indian businessmen are exercised over this imminent policy shift.
It is true that, left to ourselves, we would have phased out QRs more slowly. But we had no choice. Ever since the conclusion of the Uruguay Round of GATT in 1993 there has been pressure on India to open its borders. In 1997 India proposed a nine-year phase-out plan to the WTO, arguing that it should be given temporary shelter under Article XVIII B of GATT which allows developing countries to use QRs to counter balance-of-payments problems.
To most lay persons, few economic phenomena are as puzzling as advertising. It seems impossible to believe that anyone with an iota of sense would be induced to purchase products by the tall claims made about them in glossy magazine and television ads. But when profitseeking firms and multinational corporations spend millions advertising, we can be sure that they have done their calculations right. In 1995 the top 100 firms in the US spent 50 billion dollars on advertising. Each year, during the SuperBowl, the final match of American football, a 30-second TV commercial costs more than a million dollars.
Over the next few weeks we will, in India, witness one of the largest advertisement campaigns that occur anywhere in the third world—the advertising of politicians and their parties. The BJP alone is believed to be ready with Rs 10 crore in its coffer. It is a sad fact of our political life that the marketing is as important as the content—often more.
So, though we may dismiss the ads we see on television and on hoardings, and believe that we are immune to them, the fact is that a vast majority of us is not. In 1994, soon after we arrived in the US, my family would watch on TV the commercial for a cumbersome fitness machine and laugh at gullible Americans. A few months later I was outvoted and the machine arrived. Another few weeks and everybody stopped using it.