This research paper addresses the hypothesis that sequence-based long short-term memory (LSTM) architectures improve the prediction of the next DO (days open) relative to a feed-forward multi-layer perceptron and a Cox model under strictly temporally valid predictors. Modern dairy farming can heavily benefit from optimising ‘days open’ for profitability and animal welfare. Machine learning can forecast this metric, improving farm management, disease prevention and culling decisions. This study used a dataset of 16,472 breeding records. The study compared the performance of feed-forward neural networks and two types of recurrent neural networks (RNNs). The results showed that LSTM most accurately forecasted the next ‘days open’. This demonstrates that RNN models, due to their ability to capture temporal patterns in the data, significantly outperform feed-forward and traditional statistical methods in terms of mean absolute error and concordance.

This research paper addresses the hypothesis that cow introductions in dairy herds affect milk production and behaviour of animals already in the herd. In dairy farms, cows are commonly regrouped or moved. Negative effects of regroupings on the introduced animals are reported in other studies. However, little is known about the effects on lactating cows in the herd. In this research a herd of 53 lactating dairy cows was divided into two groups in a cross-over design study. 25 cows were selected as focal cows for which continuous sensor data were collected. The treatment period consisted of replacing non-focal cows three times a week. Many potentially influencing factors were taken into account in the analysis. Replacement of cows in the treatment period indeed affected the focal animals. During the treatment period these cows showed increased walking and reduced rumination activity and produced less milk compared to the control period. Milk production per milking decreased in the treatment period up to 0.4 kg per milking on certain weekdays. Lying and standing behaviour were similar between the control and the treatment period. The current study suggests that cow introductions affect welfare and milk production of the cows already in the herd.