Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Preface
- User Guide
- 1 Introduction
- PART 1 DESCRIPTION
- PART 2 INFERENCE
- 9 Monte Carlo Simulation
- 10 Review of Statistical Inference
- 11 The Measurement Box Model
- 12 Comparing Two Populations
- 13 The Classical Econometric Model
- 14 The Gauss–Markov Theorem
- 15 Understanding the Standard Error
- 16 Confidence Intervals and Hypothesis Testing
- 17 Joint Hypothesis Testing
- 18 Omitted Variable Bias
- 19 Heteroskedasticity
- 20 Autocorrelation
- 21 Topics in Time Series
- 22 Dummy Dependent Variable Models
- 23 Bootstrap
- 24 Simultaneous Equations
- Glossary
- Index
15 - Understanding the Standard Error
from PART 2 - INFERENCE
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 June 2012
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Preface
- User Guide
- 1 Introduction
- PART 1 DESCRIPTION
- PART 2 INFERENCE
- 9 Monte Carlo Simulation
- 10 Review of Statistical Inference
- 11 The Measurement Box Model
- 12 Comparing Two Populations
- 13 The Classical Econometric Model
- 14 The Gauss–Markov Theorem
- 15 Understanding the Standard Error
- 16 Confidence Intervals and Hypothesis Testing
- 17 Joint Hypothesis Testing
- 18 Omitted Variable Bias
- 19 Heteroskedasticity
- 20 Autocorrelation
- 21 Topics in Time Series
- 22 Dummy Dependent Variable Models
- 23 Bootstrap
- 24 Simultaneous Equations
- Glossary
- Index
Summary
But to know how to compute the standard error of a function, it is first necessary to know how to compute the probable values of the parameters, their weights, and their standard errors, by the method of least squares.
Henry SchultzIntroduction
The previous chapter made clear that a single OLS estimate from one realized sample is like a draw from the probability histogram of the OLS sample estimates. The Gauss–Markov theorem says that, if the requirements of the classical econometric model are met, then the OLS estimator is BLUE – that is, of the class of linear and unbiased estimators, the OLS estimator has the smallest standard error.
This chapter is devoted to more practical concerns about the SE of the OLS estimator. In the next section, we restate the formulas for the SE in the univariate and bivariate cases in much simpler language that will allow for an intuitive understanding of the SE. Section 15.3 shows how to compute the estimated SE reported by OLS routines such as Excel's LINEST function. Section 15.4 illustrates the properties of the SE of the OLS estimator by a simple discovery exercise. Section 15.5 discusses the concept of consistency and applies it to a discussion of the estimated RMSE. The final section introduces another standard error, the SE of forecasted Y. Throughout this chapter, we work with the classical econometric model of the data generation process.
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- Introductory EconometricsUsing Monte Carlo Simulation with Microsoft Excel, pp. 378 - 410Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2005