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This paper points out an error and implications of the error in the model of hedging effectiveness proposed by Howard and D'Antonio (1). The error would lead to ambiguous results if the model were used in practical applications to select the best hedging instrument. This paper proposes a new measure of hedging effectiveness that eliminates the error in the original model and resolves the ambiguity.
This paper argues that an aggregate preferred habitat for investors exists on (or about) the last day of the calendar month, due to standardizations in the nation's payments system resulting in a concentrated flow of funds on this date. Thus, equilibrium yield discounts are predicted for securities maturing on such dates. Empirical tests on monthly and daily Treasury bill data support the principal hypothesis, as well as several ancillary hypotheses. The results have implications for Treasury debt management, for the short-term cash and debt management practices of businesses and banks, and for the empirical estimation of daily, weekly, or monthly return premiums on risky securities.
We show that a well-diversified portfolio of randomly chosen stocks must include at least 30 stocks for a borrowing investor and 40 stocks for a lending investor. This contradicts the widely accepted notion that the benefits of diversification are virtually exhausted when a portfolio contains approximately 10 stocks. We also contrast our result with the levels of diversification found in studies of individuals' portfolios.
This paper presents evidence that the mean-adjusted returns and raw-market returns models are misspecified when the event under investigation occurs during either bull or bear markets. To demonstrate this phenomenon, simulation techniques as well as an actual event are employed to examine the reliability of four different return-generating models. When the event occurs during a bull (bear) market, both the mean-adjusted and raw-market returns models produce upwardly (downwardly) biased positive (negative) abnormal returns. This results in statistically significant cumulative abnormal returns over selected preevent and postevent intervals. In contrast, both the market-adjusted and single-index models show far less evidence of any unusual price activity over these same intervals.
This paper demonstrates that the impact of the existing tax law is not uniform across projects with different variances of payoffs. A bias exists against projects with greater uncertainty of payoffs, which leads to an underinvestment in high risk projects. The bias against higher variance projects offers a theoretical justification for such tax incentives as the research and development tax credit.
In this reply, we point out that Chang and Shankar's measure of hedging performance, which they label HE1, is not an adequate measure. We describe an alternative measure, labeled HBS, which has a number of desirable ex ante and ex post statistical properties.
Most research dealing with portfolio selection under uncertain inflation is carried out by assuming either one of the following two approximations: a linear or a quadratic approximation. In this paper, we analyze the general case, namely assume that the nominal return is the product of the real return and one plus the rate of inflation. We demonstrate that the general analysis leads to the following results that are not found in the two approximations: (1) even if we assume that nominal returns are independent of inflation, the nominal and real efficient sets will not necessarily coincide. Mean-Variance (M-V) analysis leads to a nominal efficient set, that is, a subset of the real M-V efficient set, whereas the opposite holds assuming investors maximize expected utility of real wealth. (2) Similar results are obtained when real returns are independent of inflation (the Fisher hypothesis). Assuming normality of nominal returns, we derive the CAPM in real terms or its zero beta counterpart.
Using an intuitive approach that also provides new intuition concerning the Black and Scholes equation, this paper extends the results of Johnson and Stulz to the pricing of options on the minimum or the maximum of several risky assets.
We construct a simple economy with consumption only at the final date in which we “endogenize” the stochastic behavior of prices assumed in the Black-Scholes model. Certain preferences (constant proportional risk aversion) and beliefs are shown to be sufficient and necessary, in certain respects, for the existence of such an equilibrium. The analysis is then generalized to a continuous-consumption framework, in which we embed the Merton proportional dividend model.
This paper investigates the impact of managerial hedging on shareholder wealth when managers are able to choose the level of effort they expend in managing firms' investments. We demonstrate that shareholders will prefer managers to hedge observable unsystematic risks because they expect that this will induce managers to be more productive. We begin with the case where the risk being hedged is independent of managerial effort. In this case, we show that if shareholders are able to adjust incentive contracts either in anticipation of hedging or after observing hedging, but before managers expend effort, then they will benefit from that hedging. When the insurable risk is also dependent on managerial effort, then we have what we term an “embedded moral hazard” problem. In this case, the optimal contract may entail either over or under insurance by the manager, relative to that preferred by shareholders.
This paper examines the demand for municipal bond insurance in the context of a competitive signaling equilibrium model. The study compares the pricing of new bond issues that are insured to similar issues that are not insured. The results indicate that issuers who purchase bond insurance, on average, are able to reduce their new issue borrowing cost more than enough to offset the cost of the insurance premium. Furthermore, the net benefit to the issuer increases as the underlying credit quality of the bond declines.
At the aggregate level the tendency towards SOMP will tend to result in an increasingly higher proportion of private disposable income being controlled by the corporate sector; a direct product of the appearance and growth of (direct and indirect) shareholding. Ceteris paribus this will tend to result in an increasingly higher proportion of private disposable income being retained within the corporate sector, in the form of corporate retained earnings and/or the net inflow to life and pension funds. With less than perfect substitutability between personal and corporate saving, the above will tend to reduce the share of consumers' expenditure to private disposable income. In this sense the tendency towards SOMP will tend to introduce an underconsumptionist tendency in advanced capitalist economies, a situation where consumers' expenditure is insufficient to buy the full capacity (consumption goods) product of the corporate sector.
An underconsumptionist tendency contains the seeds of a realization failure, a situation where the total effective demand of the private sector, consumption plus investment, is insufficient to absorb the full capacity (consumption and production goods) product of the corporate sector, thus failing to realize the potential profits of firms. The above need not be the case if private investment increases sufficiently to compensate for the tendency of consumption to decline. Assuming that capitalist firms produce for profits rather than consumption, the latter is a possibility, necessitating the analysis of the determinants of private investment.
The emergence of the joint stock company and its associated tendency towards the socialization of the ownership of the means of production (SOMP) has raised the question: who controls these companies? Unlike their predecessors, the small nineteenth-century firms, which were owned and controlled often by one individual or a family, the joint stock companies are ‘owned’ by the public at large. In view of the often wide dispersal of shareholding, the distinct possibility emerges that not all shareholders will exercise corporate control. In this sense the very existence of the joint stock company implies a potential separation of ownership from the unity of ownership and control.
The above does not necessarily imply a separation of ownership from control. Control can be in the hands of the shareholders as a whole, a subset of the shareholders or no shareholders at all, in which case control may be exercised by a group of non-shareholders, e.g. professional managers and/or technical experts. It is only in this last case that ownership and control are divorced. In the first case ownership and control are still a unity, while in the second only a subset of owners is separated from control, i.e. a partial separation of ownership from control exists.
Consistent with their focus on ‘consumer sovereignty’, orthodox neoclassical economists largely ignored the possibility of the separation of ownership from the unity of ownership and control. According to their often implicit view, all shareholders are in control of firms.