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Extinction Probabilities of Branching Processes with Countably Infinitely Many Types

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 January 2016

S. Hautphenne*
Affiliation:
The University of Melbourne
G. Latouche*
Affiliation:
Université libre de Bruxelles
G. Nguyen*
Affiliation:
The University of Adelaide
*
Postal address: Department of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne, VIC 3010, Australia. Email address: sophiemh@unimelb.edu.au
∗∗ Postal address: Département d'Informatique, Université libre de Bruxelles, 1050 Brussels, Belgium. Email address: latouche@ulb.ac.be
∗∗∗ Postal address: School of Mathematical Sciences, The University of Adelaide, South Australia 5005, Australia. Email address: giang.nguyen@adelaide.edu.au
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Abstract

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We present two iterative methods for computing the global and partial extinction probability vectors for Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. The probabilistic interpretation of these methods involves truncated Galton-Watson processes with finite sets of types and modified progeny generating functions. In addition, we discuss the connection of the convergence norm of the mean progeny matrix with extinction criteria. Finally, we give a sufficient condition for a population to become extinct almost surely even though its population size explodes on the average, which is impossible in a branching process with finitely many types. We conclude with some numerical illustrations for our algorithmic methods.

Type
General Applied Probability
Copyright
© Applied Probability Trust 

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