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A point process model with stochastic intensities for a branching population of two dependent types

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 July 2016

Eike Born*
Affiliation:
München
*
Postal address: Ottostrasse 14, 85622 Feldkirchen, Germany. Email address: Eike.Born@mch.sni.de

Abstract

We study a point process model with stochastic intensities for a particular branching population of individuals of two types. Type-I individuals immigrate into the population at the times of a Poisson process. During their lives they generate type-II individuals according to a random age dependent birth rate, which themselves may multiply and die. Living type-II descendants increase the death intensity of their type-I ancestor, and conversely, the multiplication and dying intensities of type-II individuals may depend on the life situation of their type-I ancestor. We show that the probability generating function of the marginal distribution of a type-I individual's life process, conditioned on its individual infection and death risk, satisfies an initial value problem of a partial differential equation, and derive its solution. This allows for the determination of additional distributions of observable random variables as well as for describing the complete population process.

Type
General Applied Probability
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 1998 

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