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National Polls, District Information, and House Seats: Forecasting the 2014 Midterm Election

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 October 2014

Joseph Bafumi
Affiliation:
Dartmouth College
Robert S. Erikson
Affiliation:
Columbia University
Christopher Wlezien
Affiliation:
University of Texas at Austin

Abstract

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Type
Symposium: The 2014 Midterm Election Forecasts
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2014 

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References

REFERENCES

Bafumi, , Joseph, , Erikson, Robert S., and Wlezien, Christopher. 2008. “Forecasting House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls.” In Elections and Exit Polling, ed. Alvey, Wendy and Scheuren, Fritz. New York: Wiley and Sons, 118–23.Google Scholar
Bafumi, , Joseph, , Erikson, Robert S., and Wlezien, Christopher. 2010a. “Balancing, Generic Polls, and Midterm Congressional Elections.” Journal of Politics 72: 705–19.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bafumi, , Joseph, , Erikson, Robert S., and Wlezien, Christopher. 2010b. “Forecasting House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls: The 2010 Midterm Elections.” PS: Political Science and Politics 43: 633–36.Google Scholar
Chen, , Jowei, , and Rodden, Jonathan. 2013. “Unintentional Gerrymandering: Political Geography and Electoral Bias in Legislatures.” Quarterly Journal of Political Science 8: 239–69.CrossRefGoogle Scholar