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Congressional Election Forecasting: Structure-X Models for 2014

  • Michael S. Lewis-Beck (a1) and Charles Tien (a2)
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Abramowitz, Alan. 2010. “How Large a Wave? Using the Generic Ballot to Forecast the 2010 Midterm Elections.” PS: Political Science and Politics 43 (4): 631–32.
Abramowitz, Alan. 2014. “Long-Term Trends and Short-term Forecasts: The Transformation of US Presidential Elections in an Age of Polarization.” PS: Political Science and Politics 47 (2): 289–92.
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Abramowitz, Alan. 2014. “Issues in Presidential Election Forecasting: Election Margins, Incumbency and Model Credibility.” PS: Political Science and Politics 47 (2): 289–92.
Cook, Charles E. Jr., and Wasserman, David. 2014. “Recalibrating Ratings for a New Normal.” PS: Political Science and Politics 47 (2): 304–08.
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Gallup. 2014. “Gallup Job Approval Center.” (June 26, 2014).
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Lewis-Beck, Michael S., and Rice, Tom W.. 1984. “Forecasting Presidential Elections: A Comparison of Naive Models.” Political Behavior 6: 921.
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. 1992. Forecasting Elections. Washington, DC: Congressional Quarterly Press.
Lewis-Beck, Michael S., and Stegmaier, Mary. 2013. “The V-P Function Revisited: A Survey of the Literature on Vote and Popularity Functions after over 40 Years.” Public Choice, 157 (3): 367–85.
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. 2014. “US Presidential Election Forecasting: An Introduction.” PS: Political Science and Politics 47 (2): 284–88.
Lewis-Beck, Michael S., and Tien, Charles. 2008. “Forecasting Presidential Elections: When to Change the Model?International Journal of Forecasting 24 (2): 227–36.
Linzer, Drew A. 2014. “The Future of Election Forecasting: More Data, Better Technology.” PS: Political Science and Politics 47 (2): 326–28.
Rothenberg, Stuart. 2014. “Election Forecasting and Public Opinion Polls.” PS: Political Science and Politics 47 (2): 336–38.
Stegmaier, Mary, and Lewis-Beck, Michael S.. 2013. “Economic Voting.” In Oxford Bibliographies in Political Science, online, Ed. Valelly, Rick. New York: Oxford University Press.
Tufte, Edward R. 1978. Political Control of the Economy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. “Table 2.6. Personal Income and its Disposition, Monthly.” (June 26, 2014).
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PS: Political Science & Politics
  • ISSN: 1049-0965
  • EISSN: 1537-5935
  • URL: /core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics
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