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When Are Legislators Responsive to Ethnic Minorities? Testing the Role of Electoral Incentives and Candidate Selection for Mitigating Ethnocentric Responsiveness

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 February 2021

PETER THISTED DINESEN*
Affiliation:
University of Copenhagen
MALTE DAHL*
Affiliation:
University of Copenhagen
MIKKEL SCHIØLER*
Affiliation:
University of Copenhagen
*
Peter Thisted Dinesen, Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Copenhagen, ptd@ifs.ku.dk.
Malte Dahl, Alumnus, Department of Political Science, University of Copenhagen, m_r_dahl@hotmail.com.
Mikkel Schiøler, Alumnus, Department of Political Science, University of Copenhagen, mikkelschioler@gmail.com.
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Abstract

Previous studies have documented ethnic/racial bias in politicians’ constituency service, but less is known about the circumstances under which such ethnocentric responsiveness is curbed. We propose and test two hypotheses in this regard: the electoral incentives hypothesis, predicting that incentives for (re)election crowd out politicians’ potential biases, and the candidate selection hypothesis, stipulating that minority constituents can identify responsive legislators by using candidates’ partisan affiliation and stated policy preferences as heuristics. We test these hypotheses through a field experiment on the responsiveness of incumbent local politicians in Denmark (N = 2,395), varying ethnicity, gender, and intention to vote for the candidate in the upcoming election, merged with data on their electoral performance and their stated policy preferences from a voting advice application. We observe marked ethnocentric responsiveness and find no indication that electoral incentives mitigate this behavior. However, minority voters can use parties’ and individual candidates’ stances on immigration to identify responsive politicians.

Information

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the American Political Science Association
Figure 0

Figure 1. Voter Request

Figure 1

Table 1. Ethnocentric Responsiveness in Denmark

Figure 2

Figure 2. Effect of the Ethnic Minority Alias among Ethnic Majority and Minority PoliticiansNote: The effect of ethnic minority alias compared with that of a majority alias subset by incumbents’ ethnic affiliation. Bars indicate 90% (black) and 95% (gray) confidence intervals. Based on the results from column 2 in Table 1.

Figure 3

Figure 3. Effect of the Personal Vote Cue across the Ethnic Cue-TreatmentNote: The figure plots the average response rate (in percentage points) to voters with a majority or a minority alias conditional on whether a personal vote cue was included, as well as the difference-in-differences between these groups. Based on the results from column 1 in Table 2.

Figure 4

Table 2. Interactions between Vote Cue and Minority Alias

Figure 5

Figure 4. Effect of the Ethnic Cue across PartiesNote: The plot shows the effect of the ethnic cue among legislators from the eight largest parties (analysis subset by parties). Parties are ordered based on their incumbent politicians’ average score on the immigration policy measure (scores reported in italics). The immigration policy measure ranges between 0 and 8, which indicate, respectively, the most and the least restrictive immigration policy profile. Bars indicate 90% (black) and 95% (gray) confidence intervals. Sample: All available majority legislators from the eight largest parties. N (total) = 2,162. Number of legislators vary by party from Liberal Alliance (LA, N = 42) to Venstre (V, N = 724).

Figure 6

Figure 5. Distribution of Incumbents’ Position on Immigration Policy across PartiesNote: The plots show the distribution of legislators’ positions on the stated immigration policy preference measure across political parties. Sample: Majority legislators from the eight largest parties with valid responses to the questions regarding immigration/integration in the voting advice application. N (total) = 1,444. Number of legislators varies by party from Liberal Alliance (LA, N = 33) to Venstre (V; N = 473).

Figure 7

Figure 6. Marginal Effect of the Ethnic Cue across Immigration Policy Positions (Including Party Fixed Effects)Note: The plot shows the marginal effect of the ethnic cue across legislator’s individual immigration/integration policy preferences, including party fixed effects. Sample: Majority legislators from all available parties with valid responses to the ethnic minority/immigration questions on the voting advice application (N = 1,522). A score of 0 on the immigration policy measure indicates the most restrictive immigration profile. Bins with 95% confidence intervals are included.

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