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Phylogenetic analyses reveal that horses deviate from a pervasive pattern of skull shape evolution

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 June 2026

Anna L. Wisniewski*
Affiliation:
Museum of Paleontology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109, U.S.A. Department of the Geophysical Sciences, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois 60637, U.S.A.
Graham J. Slater
Affiliation:
Department of the Geophysical Sciences, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois 60637, U.S.A.
*
Corresponding author: Anna Wisniewski; Email: annawis@umich.edu

Abstract

The mammalian skull plays important roles in sensing, communication, and obtaining and processing food. These diverse functions make the skull a natural target for investigating how developmental processes and selective pressures related to ecology interact to produce patterns of morphological evolution. Here, we investigate the evolution of the equid skull through the lens of craniofacial evolutionary allometry (CREA), a pattern of relative facial elongation in larger mammals that has been hypothesized to result from similar patterns of facial elongation over ontogeny. Using 3D geometric morphometrics and linear measurements, we describe the major axes of shape variation in the equid skull, test whether equids follow or deviate from the CREA pattern over the clade’s evolutionary history, and assess whether the evolution of high-crowned teeth (hypsodonty) is related to relative facial proportions, all in an explicitly phylogenetic context. We find that equids deviate from the CREA pattern and that the evolution of hypsodont dentition did not significantly influence facial proportions in the group. Importantly, these results are only apparent when using statistics appropriate for phylogenetic data. Comparison with previously published data on facial proportions from modern equids indicates that ontogenetic patterns of facial elongation do not scale to produce patterns of facial proportions observed at the intraspecific and evolutionary levels. Taken together, our results complicate the historic narrative that a single set of selective factors drove patterns of morphological evolution within the group.

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Type
Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Paleontological Society
Figure 0

Table 1. Evolutionary sample of equids included in the study.

Figure 1

Figure 1. Median tree from BEAST2 v. 2.7.1 (Bouckaert et al. 2014) time-scaling analysis, with species represented in our dataset denoted by gray circular tips and skull of Scaphohippus intermontanus AMNH 87301 with landmark scheme; landmark descriptions can be found in Supplementary Table S2. Silhouettes are from phylopic.org donated under the CC0 1.0 Universal Public Domain Dedication license and Public Domain Mark 1.0 license.

Figure 2

Figure 2. Examining craniofacial allometry across different levels of biological organization: A, B, use Cardini measurements of facial length and braincase length (Cardini 2019); C, D, use Radinsky measurements of facial length and braincase length (Radinsky 1984); E, F, use Cardini measurements. A, C, Regression of facial length onto braincase length shows that when phylogeny is taken into account, we cannot reject an isometric scaling relationship between facial length and braincase length, suggesting that equids deviate from the craniofacial evolutionary allometry (CREA) pattern. E, Regression of facial length onto braincase length shows that intraspecifically, among modern wild and domestic equids, facial length scales isometrically or with negative allometry relative to braincase length. F, Over ontogeny, equids follow CREA with facial length scaling with positive allometry relative to braincase length. Illustrations on the right-hand side denote the different measurement schemes for facial length and braincase length. OLS, ordinary least squares; PGLS, phylogenetic generalized least squares, PICs, phylogenetic independent contrasts.

Figure 3

Table 2. Source studies used in metatree.

Figure 4

Figure 3. Distribution of point estimates for slope from phylogenetic regression of facial length onto braincase length across distribution of 100 randomly sampled trees. Black line denotes slope = 1. Pink and blue lines denote non-phylogenetic ordinary least squares (OLS) estimate for slope of regression of facial length onto braincase length using Cardini and Radinsky measurements respectively (Radinsky 1984; Cardini 2019).

Figure 5

Figure 4. Visual inspection of a principal components analysis (PCA) of the shape data indicates phylogenetic, temporal, and size trends in skull shape. Larger, more recent species load more positively on PC 1, and older smaller species load more negatively on PC 1. However, larger species do not have proportionally longer faces based on phylogenetic regressions and regression of PICs (phylogenetic independent contrasts) of facial length onto braincase length (Fig. 2A–D). Deformation grids representing shape change associated with negative and positive scores along PC 1. Landmarks at nasals (3, 4) and infraorbital foramen (5, 6) are denoted with red and purple arrows, respectively, to emphasize changes in the position of the landmarks across PC 1. Outlines represent Hyracotherium vasacciense, Equus przewalskii, Dinohippus leidyanus, Scaphohippus intermontanus, Megahippus matthewi, and Mesohippus exoletus.

Figure 6

Figure 5. Phylogenetic regression of relative facial length onto hypsodonty index (HI) reveals that hypsodonty index does not predict facial proportions in equids. OLS, ordinary least squares; PGLS, phylogenetic generalized least squares. Cardini and Radinsky measurements derived from Cardini (2019) and Radinsky (1984), respectively.