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Diets with higher insulinaemic potential are associated with increased risk of overall and cardiovascular disease-specific mortality

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 December 2021

Yingying Wang
Affiliation:
Department of Nutrition, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, People’s Republic of China Key Laboratory of Population Health Across Life Cycle, Anhui Medical University, Ministry of Education of the People’s Republic of China, Hefei, Anhui, People’s Republic of China NHC Key Laboratory of Study on Abnormal Gametes and Reproductive Tract, Hefei, Anhui, People’s Republic of China Anhui Provincial Key Laboratory of Population Health and Aristogenics/Key Laboratory of Environmental Toxicology of Anhui Higher Education Institutes, Anhui Medical University Hefei, Anhui, People’s Republic of China
Bo Chen
Affiliation:
Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui 230032, People’s Republic of China
Jiawei Zhang
Affiliation:
Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui 230032, People’s Republic of China
Hairong Li
Affiliation:
Department of Nutrition, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, People’s Republic of China
Xufen Zeng
Affiliation:
Department of Nutrition, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, People’s Republic of China
Zhuang Zhang
Affiliation:
Department of Nutrition, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, People’s Republic of China
Yu Zhu
Affiliation:
Department of Nutrition, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, People’s Republic of China
Xiude Li
Affiliation:
Department of Nutrition, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, People’s Republic of China
Anla Hu
Affiliation:
Department of Nutrition, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, People’s Republic of China
Qihong Zhao
Affiliation:
Department of Nutrition, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, People’s Republic of China
Wanshui Yang*
Affiliation:
Department of Nutrition, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, People’s Republic of China Key Laboratory of Population Health Across Life Cycle, Anhui Medical University, Ministry of Education of the People’s Republic of China, Hefei, Anhui, People’s Republic of China NHC Key Laboratory of Study on Abnormal Gametes and Reproductive Tract, Hefei, Anhui, People’s Republic of China Anhui Provincial Key Laboratory of Population Health and Aristogenics/Key Laboratory of Environmental Toxicology of Anhui Higher Education Institutes, Anhui Medical University Hefei, Anhui, People’s Republic of China
*
*Corresponding author: Dr W. Yang, email wanshuiyang@gmail.com
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Abstract

Hyperinsulinaemia and insulin resistance have been proposed to be associated with mortality risk, and diet can modulate insulin response. However, whether dietary patterns with high insulinaemic potential are associated with mortality remains unknown. We prospectively examined the associations between hyperinsulinaemic diets and the risk of total and cause-specific mortality in a large nationally representative population. Dietary factors were assessed by 24-h recalls. Two empirical dietary indices for hyperinsulinaemia (EDIH) and insulin resistance (EDIR) were developed to identify food groups most predictive of biomarkers for hyperinsulinaemia (C-peptide and insulin) and insulin resistance (homoeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance), respectively. Deaths from date of the first dietary interview until 31 December 2015 were identified by the National Death Index. Multivariable hazard ratios (HR) and 95 % CI were calculated using Cox regression models. During a median follow-up of 7·8 years, 4904 deaths were documented among 40 074 participants. For EDIH, the multivariable-adjusted HR (comparing extreme quintiles) were 1·20 (95 % CI 1·09, 1·32, P-trend<0·001) for overall mortality and 1·41 (95 % CI 1·15, 1·74, P-trend = 0·002) for CVD mortality. Similar associations were observed for EDIR with HR of 1·18 (95 % CI 1·07, 1·29, P-trend < 0·001) for total and 1·35 (95 % CI 1·09, 1·67, P-trend = 0·005) for CVD mortality. After further adjustments for BMI and diabetes, these positive associations were somewhat attenuated. Our findings suggested that diets with higher insulinaemic potential are associated with increased risk of overall and CVD-specific mortality.

Information

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The Nutrition Society
Figure 0

Table 1. Geometric means (and 95 % CI) of plasma biomarkers for insulin response according to quintiles of EDIH and EDIR scores in validation set in NHANES(Mean values and 95 % confidence intervals)

Figure 1

Table 2. Age-adjusted characteristics of participants according to EDIH and EDIR scores in NHANES (1999–2014)*(Mean values and standard deviations; percentages)

Figure 2

Table 3. Hazard ratios (95 % CI) for all-cause and cause-specific mortality by quintiles of EDIH and EDIR scores in NHANES (1999–2014)(Hazard ratios and 95 % confidence intervals)

Figure 3

Fig. 1. Association between empirical dietary index for hyperinsulinaemia and all-cause (a), major CVD-specific (b) and cancer-specific (c) mortality in NHANES (1999–2014)*. EDIH, empirical dietary index for hyperinsulinaemia; HR, hazard ratio. *Adjusted for sex, age, total energy intake, race/ethnicity, education, marital status, ratio of family income to poverty, physical activity and smoking. Reference levels were set to the median value of EDIH. Solid lines indicate HR, and dashed lines depict 95 % CI.

Figure 4

Fig. 2. Association between empirical dietary index for insulin resistance and all-cause (a), major CVD-specific (b) and cancer-specific (c) mortality in NHANES (1999–2014)*. EDIR, empirical dietary index for insulin resistance; HR, hazard ratio. *Adjusted for sex, age, total energy intake, race/ethnicity, education, marital status, ratio of family income to poverty, physical activity and smoking. Reference levels were set to the median value of EDIR. Solid lines indicate HR, and dashed lines depict 95 % CI.

Figure 5

Fig. 3. Hazard ratios (HR) of all-cause mortality per 1-sd increase in EDIH and EDIR according to subgroups in NHANES (1999–2014)*. EDIH, empirical dietary index for hyperinsulinaemia; EDIR, empirical dietary index for insulin resistance; HR, hazard ratio; METS, metabolic equivalent tasks; NHANES, National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. *Covariates adjusted in the models were the same as those in model 2 in Table 3 (see Table 3 footnote). Of note, variables examined in this figure were not adjusted. Light physical activity was defined as participants with physical activity less than 8·3 METS-h/week, and moderate and vigorous activity was defined as participants who had physical activity of 8·3 METS-h/week or more.

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