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Assessing the extinction risk of tree species in the subtropical Atlantic Forest using multiple IUCN criteria

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 August 2025

Guilherme Salgado Grittz*
Affiliation:
Laboratório de Ecologia e Restauração Florestal, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Recursos Florestais, Escola Superior de Agricultura “Luiz de Queiroz”, Universidade de São Paulo, Piracicaba, Brazil Laboratório de Botânica, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Biodiversidade, Universidade Regional de Blumenau, Blumenau, Brazil
Renato Augusto Ferreira de Lima
Affiliation:
Laboratório de Ecologia e Restauração Florestal, Departamento de Ciências Biológicas, Escola Superior de Agricultura “Luiz de Queiroz”, Universidade de São Paulo, Piracicaba, Brazil
Anderson Kassner Filho
Affiliation:
Departamento de Ciências Florestais, Universidade Regional de Blumenau, Blumenau, Brazil
Alexander Christian Vibrans
Affiliation:
Departamento de Ciências Florestais, Universidade Regional de Blumenau, Blumenau, Brazil
André Luís de Gasper
Affiliation:
Herbário Dr. Roberto Miguel Klein, Departamento de Ciências Naturais, Universidade Regional de Blumenau, Blumenau, Brazil
*
*Corresponding author, ggrittz@usp.br

Abstract

The Atlantic Forest is one of the most threatened tropical forests in the world. Many species have declined and become isolated because of pervasive forest loss and degradation. Here we assess the current population status of Atlantic Forest tree species from Santa Catarina state in southern Brazil to inform conservation policies and future management and protection. We used a novel methodology to generate automated conservation assessments from forest surveys and herbaria data, based on IUCN criteria A, B, C and D. We assessed more than 500 tree species whose populations are considered threatened. Population size reduction (i.e. IUCN criterion A) was the main indicator of threat, followed by restricted geographical range (criterion B). We observed population reductions of over 50% over three generations in more than 60% of the assessments. We recommend including taxonomically verified herbaria data to improve the accuracy of conservation assessments. The results obtained here can be used to identify important and potential regions for creating protected areas and implementing forest restoration programmes.

Information

Type
Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Fauna & Flora International
Figure 0

Fig. 1 Distribution of forest cover in Santa Catarina state, southern Brazil, and locations of forest surveys in the state and in a 25 km buffer zone along its borders with neighbouring Brazilian states. (Readers of the printed journal are referred to the online article for a colour version of this figure.)

Figure 1

Fig. 2 The per cent of tree species in Santa Catarina state, Brazil, classified under each IUCN category (CR, Critically Endangered; EN, Endangered; VU, Vulnerable; NT, Near Threatened; LC, Least Concern), according to different IUCN criteria (IUCN, 2012). The assessments were based on data from (a) forest surveys only and (b) forest surveys plus herbaria data. Only (sub)criteria assigned to at least 1% of all assessed species are shown; combinations of criteria that represented a smaller percentage of all species are shown as ‘other’. The categories Least Concern and Near Threatened were merged as they were assigned to only a small proportion of the evaluated species.

Figure 2

Table 1 The per cent of tree species in Santa Catarina state, southern Brazil (Fig. 1), assessed as threatened using IUCN criteria A, B, C and D (IUCN, 2012), separately and overall, based on data from forest surveys only and in combination with herbaria data. Median Red List Index values are shown, with 95% CIs.

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