Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-m9kch Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-06-01T22:54:05.426Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

13 - Proximate Sources of Growth

Capital and Technology

from Part II - Factors Governing Differential Outcomes in the Global Economy

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 June 2021

Stephen Broadberry
Affiliation:
University of Oxford
Kyoji Fukao
Affiliation:
Hitotsubashi University, Tokyo
Get access

Summary

This chapter outlines how the development, diffusion and adoption of new technologies have shaped economic growth. Several major technological phases are identified, which differ from periods distinguished by global wars or major changes in growth patterns. Before 1940, large-scale industrialization and new technologies originated in the United States, diffusing to western European countries. Outside the Western core different development strategies were deployed. Only after 1940, countries in western Europe largely caught up to American productivity levels. The combination of technology diffusion and export-led growth in Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and, more recently, China and India have enabled significant growth in living standards. The changes in cross-country income-level inequality have also had their within-country counterparts. The more recent period of IT-enabled growth primarily benefited high-skilled workers in Europe and the US, while low- and middle-skilled workers not only met competition from machines, but also from workers in low-wage countries.

Type
Chapter
Information
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2021

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Acemoglu, D. and Autor, D. (2011). ‘Skills, Tasks and Technologies: Implications for Employment and Earnings’, in Ashenfelter, O. and Card, D. (eds.), Handbook of Labor Economics, Vol. 4b, Amsterdam: Elsevier, 10441171.Google Scholar
Aghion, P., Akcigit, U., and Howitt, P. (2014). ‘What Do We Learn from Schumpeterian Growth Theory?’, in Aghion, P. and Durlauf, S. N. (eds.), Handbook of Economic Growth, Vol. 2, Amsterdam: North Holland, 515563.Google Scholar
Alesina, A. and Rodrik, D. (1994). ‘Distributive Politics and Economic Growth’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 109, 465490.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Allen, R. C. (2003). Farm to Factory: A Reinterpretation of the Soviet Industrial Revolution, Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Allen, R. C. (2012). ‘Technology and the Great Divergence: Global Economic Development since 1820’, Explorations in Economic History, 49, 116.Google Scholar
Altenburg, T., Schmitz, H., and Stamm, A. (2008). ‘Breakthrough? China’s and India’s Transition from Production to Innovation’, World Development, 36, 325344.Google Scholar
Austin, G. and Sugihara, K. (eds.) (2013). Labour-Intensive Industrialization in Global History, London: Routledge.Google Scholar
Autor, D. (2015). ‘Why Are There Still So Many Jobs? The History and Future of Workplace Automation’, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 29, 330.Google Scholar
Banerjee, R. and Roy, S. S. (2014). ‘Human Capital, Technological Progress and Trade: What Explains India’s Long-Run Growth?’, Journal of Asian Economics, 30, 1531.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bardhan, P. (2012). Awakening Giants, Feet of Clay: Assessing the Economic Rise of China and India, Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Bolt, J., Inklaar, R., de Jong, H., and van Zanden, J. L. (2018). ‘Rebasing “Maddison”: New Income Comparisons and the Shape of Long-Run Economic Development’, GGDC Research Memorandum, Vol. GD-174, Groningen Growth and Development Centre.Google Scholar
Bosworth, B. and Collins, S. M. (2008). ‘Accounting for Growth: Comparing China and India’, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 22, 4566.Google Scholar
Broadberry, S. N. (1997). The Productivity Race: British Manufacturing in International Perspective, 1850–1990, Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Broadberry, S. N. and Crafts, N. F. R. (1992). ‘Britain’s Productivity Gap in the 1930s: Some Neglected Factors’, Journal of Economic History, 52, 531558.Google Scholar
Cantwell, J. A. (1991). ‘Historical Trends in International Patterns of Technological Innovation’, in Foreman-Peck, J. (ed.), New Perspectives on the Late Victorian Economy, Cambridge University Press, 3772.Google Scholar
Card, T. and Lemieux, Th. (2001). ‘Can Falling Supply Explain the Rising Return to College for Younger Men? A Cohort-Based Analysis’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116, 705746.Google Scholar
Caselli, F. (2005). ‘Accounting for Cross-Country Income Differences’, in Aghion, P. and Durlauf, S. N. (eds.), Handbook of Economic Growth, Amsterdam: North Holland, 679741.Google Scholar
Chandler, A. (1990). Scale and Scope: The Dynamics of Industrial Capitalism, Cambridge, MA: Belknap Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Collins, S. M., Bosworth, P. P., and Rodrik, D. (1996). ‘Economic Growth in East Asia: Accumulation Versus Assimilation’, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2, 135203.Google Scholar
Comin, D. and Mestieri, M. (2016). ‘If Technology Has Arrived Everywhere, Why Has Income Diverged?’, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 10, 137178.Google Scholar
Crafts, N. F. R. (2018). Forging Ahead, Falling Behind and Fighting Back: British Economic Growth from the Industrial Revolution to the Financial Crisis, Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Crafts, N. and Toniolo, G. (eds.) (1996). Economic Growth in Europe since 1945, Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
David, P. A. (1990). ‘The Dynamo and the Computer: An Historical Perspective on the Modern Productivity Paradox’, Economic History of Technology, 2, 355361.Google Scholar
Feenstra, R. C., Inklaar, R., and Timmer, M. P. (2015). ‘The Next Generation of the Penn World Table’, American Economic Review, 105, 31503182.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Felipe, J., Laviña, E., and Fan, E. X. (2008). ‘The Diverging Patterns of Profitability, Investment and Growth of China and India during 1980–2003’, World Development, 36, 741774.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Field, A. (2011). A Great Leap Forward: 1930s Depression and US Economic Growth, Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Freeman, C. (1987). Technology Policy and Economic Performance: Lessons from Japan, London: Frances Pinter.Google Scholar
Gallardo Albarrán, D. (2018). Health, Well-Being and Inequality over the Long Run, University of Groningen.Google Scholar
Goldin, C. and Katz, L. F. (1997). ‘Why the United States Led in Education: Lessons from Secondary School Expansion’, NBER working paper 6144, National Bureau of Economic Research.Google Scholar
Gordon, R. J. (2016). The Rise and Fall of American Growth: The US Standard of Living since the Civil War, Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Hannah, L. (2008). ‘Logistics, Market Size, and Giant Plants in the Early Twentieth Century: A Global View’, Journal of Economic History, 68, 4678.Google Scholar
Hayashi, F. and Prescott, E. C. (2002). ‘The 1990s in Japan: A Lost Decade’, Review of Economic Dynamics, 5, 206235.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hsieh, C. T. and Klenow, P. J. (2009). ‘Misallocation and Manufacturing TFP in China and India’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 124, 14031448.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Inklaar, R., de Jong, H., and Gouma, R. (2011). ‘Did Technology Shocks Drive the Great Depression? Explaining Cyclical Productivity Movements in US Manufacturing, 1919–1939’, Journal of Economic History, 71, 827858.Google Scholar
Kuntz-Ficker, S. (2017). The First Export Era Revisited: Reassessing its Contribution to Latin American Economies, Cham: Palgrave Macmillan.Google Scholar
Lee, J. W. (2001). ‘Education for Technology Readiness: Prospects for Developing Countries’, Journal of Human Development, 2, 115151.Google Scholar
Lee, J. W. and Lee, H. (2016). ‘Human Capital in the Long Run’, Journal of Development Economics, 122: 147169.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lewis, C. M. (2013). ‘“Colonial” Industry and “Modern” Manufacturing: Opportunities for Labour-Intensive Growth in Latin America, c.1800–1940’, in Austin, G. and Sugihara, K. (eds.), Labour-Intensive Industrialization in Global History, London: Routledge, 231262.Google Scholar
Lindert, P. H. and Williamson, J. G. (2016). Unequal Gains: American Growth and Inequality since 1700, Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Maddison Project Database, version 2013. Bolt, J., and van Zanden, J. L. (2014). ‘The Maddison Project: Collaborative Research on Historical National Accounts’, Economic History Review, 67, 627651.Google Scholar
Mowery, D. C. and Oxley, J. E. (1995). ‘Inward Technology Transfer and Competitiveness: The Role of National Innovation Systems’, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 19, 6793.Google Scholar
Nelson, R. R. and Wright, G. (1992). ‘The Rise and Fall of American Technological Leadership: The Post-War Era in Historical Perspective’, Journal of Economic Literature, 30, 19311964.Google Scholar
Odagiri, H. and Goto, A. (1999). Technology and Industrial Development in Japan, Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Ristuccia, C. A. and Tooze, A. (2013). ‘Machine Tools Production and Mass Production in the Armaments Boom: Germany and the United States, 1929–44’, Economic History Review, 66, 953974.Google Scholar
Rodrik, D. (2008). One Economics, Many Recipes: Globalization, Institutions, and Economic Growth, Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rodrik, D. (2016). ‘Premature Deindustrialization’, Journal of Economic Growth, 21, 133.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Saito, O. (2013). ‘Proto-Industrialization and Labour-Intensive Industrialization: Reflections on Smithian Growth and the Role of Skill Intensity’, in Austin, G. and Sugihara, K. (eds.), Labour-Intensive Industrialization in Global History, London: Routledge, 85106.Google Scholar
Sien, C. L. (ed.) (2003). Southeast Asia Transformed: A Geography of Change, Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies.Google Scholar
Stiglitz, J. E. (1996). ‘Some Lessons from the East Asian Miracle’, World Bank Research Observer, 11(2), 151177.Google Scholar
Timmer, M. P., Inklaar, R., O’Mahony, M., and van Ark, B. (2010). Economic Growth in Europe: A Comparative Industry Perspective, Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Timmer, M. P., de Vries, G. J., and de Vries, K. (2015). ‘Patterns of Structural Change in Developing Countries’, in Weiss, J. and Tribe, M. (eds.), Routledge Handbook of Industry and Development, London: Routledge, 6583.Google Scholar
Timmer, M. P., Veenstra, J., and Woltjer, P. J. (2016). ‘The Yankees of Europe? A New View on Technology and Productivity in German Manufacturing in the Early Twentieth Century’, Journal of Economic History, 76, 874908.Google Scholar
United States Department of Commerce. (various issues). Biennial Census of Manufactures, Washington, DC: Government Publishing Office.Google Scholar
Veenstra, J. and de Jong, H. (2016). ‘A Tale of Two Tails: Establishment Size and Labour Productivity in United States and German Manufacturing at the Start of the Twentieth Century’, Australian Economic History Review, 56, 198220.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wu, H. X. (2016). ‘Sustainability of China’s Growth Model: A Productivity Perspective’, China & World Economy, 24(5), 4270.Google Scholar
Young, A. (1995). ‘The Tyranny of Numbers: Confronting the Statistical Realities of the East Asian Growth Experience’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110, 641680.Google Scholar

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×