2644 results in Agenda Publishing
Introduction
- Zeno Leoni, King's College London
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- Grand Strategy and the Rise of China
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Summary
Diplomatic tensions between the People's Republic of China (PRC) and the United States (US) did not end when President Donald Trump, fervent advocate for a trade war with Beijing, left the White House in January 2021. On the contrary, tensions have continued into the first year of the Biden administration, through the first months of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and will likely last until the end of Biden's mandate. Indeed, if Trump made China into an almost personal issue for him and his inner circle of advisors, Biden, with a more institutionally sensitive style, has sought to bring the most important agencies of his administration under a coordinated effort. A resolute and comprehensive stance towards China has now become a long-term policy of the US. Likewise, on the other side of the Pacific Ocean Xi Jinping, communist party high officials and foreign minister Wang Yi demonstrated little intention of making any meaningful progress in US–China relations by accommodating some of the long-standing American requests. The fallout between American and Chinese top diplomats at a summit held in Anchorage (Alaska) in March 2021, weeks after Biden was sworn in, signalled that the relationship has a long way to go before any positive developments are seen. The drama of the Ukraine war, furthermore, made it unpalatable for many countries to maintain normal relations with Russia. This put China's relationship with Russia under the spotlight and encouraged the US, the European Union (EU), and G7 members to exert pressure on Beijing for picking a side, the message being: you are either with the West or with the war criminals of the Kremlin.
The frenzy that the word “China” tends to provoke in Washington was captured in an opinion piece in The Atlantic by former national security advisor Herbert R. McMaster published at the end of 2020, a tense year in US–China relations. He emphasized that there had been a sort of revelation moment about China, stating that assumptions in the rest of the world about China's modernization “were proving to be wrong” (McMaster 2020). To McMaster, China is a threat because it is governed by an authoritarian model that it exports abroad; meanwhile, the PRC bends the rules of the international order and exerts military influence over the South China Sea, Taiwan and the East China Sea.
1 - China’s rise and state capitalism: an uneven world order
- Zeno Leoni, King's College London
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- Grand Strategy and the Rise of China
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Summary
“There is no force whatsoever that can substitute for the People's Republic of China represented by the Communist Party of China. This is not an empty word. It is something which has been proven and tested over several decades of experience”.
Deng Xiaoping, 1989In the first years of the twentieth century, the passage of hegemonic power from British to American world leadership did not lead to a direct confrontation between the declining and the rising great powers. Historians of international relations are still debating why this is the case: because of cultural similarity and shared historical experience; or because London saw Washington as a lesser evil compared to Germany, Japan and the USSR; or because the competition within the Anglo-American sphere of influence was economic rather than military (Hugill 2009).
There were important reasons for the two great powers not to fight one another. Competition and mistrust also characterized this relationship, but for Washington and London it was easier to overcome the contradictions caused by the liberal international order (LIO). Managing a power transition, however, is more challenging when it comes to Sino-western relations in today's globalized world.
The intersection between capitalism and an international system of states is the backdrop to two important historical processes which are fundamental to understanding why China poses a challenge to the West. In particular, this chapter deals with the combination between western capitalism and national political systems that are not capitalist or predate capitalism and that have contributed to socio-political hybridity in the international system; it also seeks to make sense of the geoeconomic unevenness caused by a globalized capitalist order which is the source of great powers’ rise and fall.
Two main points emerge from this discussion. First, China's hybridity is not a unique phenomenon but has to be contextualized in a world order and a region – Asia – which is diverse and where democracy has not put down solid roots, as many liberal thinkers had hoped. Second, the rise of the People's Republic of China (PRC) confirms patterns that have characterized the ascent of other capitalist states, albeit with certain Chinese peculiarities and on a remarkable scale.
Index
- Zeno Leoni, King's College London
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- Book:
- Grand Strategy and the Rise of China
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- 20 January 2024
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- 30 June 2023, pp 119-125
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5 - Sino-western relations in the post-Trump era
- Zeno Leoni, King's College London
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- Grand Strategy and the Rise of China
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- 20 January 2024
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- 30 June 2023, pp 83-98
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Summary
“Is the world entering a new cold war? Our answer is yes and no. Yes if we mean a protracted international rivalry … No if we mean the Cold War”
Hal Brands and John Lewis GaddisThe first two chapters of this book sought to set the historical and institutional contexts which have facilitated the rise of the PRC, and that have led to a complex relationship between the latter and the West. The third and fourth chapters, however, have sought to flip the perspective and to look at the challenges faced by China amidst growing engagement with a LIO dominated by the West. This final chapter looks at recent events by providing an illustration of the conundrum faced by some western countries in the making of their China policy. It shows how dealing with the PRC has stressed the balance between economic and security interests, required countries to operate a course correction after years in which economic interests were prioritized, and led to a degree of strategic ambiguity.
Since the early 2010s, when Obama formulated his “pivot to Asia” policy, the feeling that the world was already too small for both Washington and Beijing was tangible. Yet, in the second half of the decade it became clear that while the US, with Trump's hawkish approach, was at the forefront of what seemed to be an anti-China crusade, other countries followed the US. At times pressured by the White House, at times concerned for their domestic security and values, other members of the international community implicitly admitted that an acritical, two decades-long neoliberal policy towards the PRC was no longer viable. These countries all started to believe that the quality and intensity of exchanges with China required stricter rules, although implementing this principle remains challenging. Authoritative commentators coined the phrase “new Cold War” to describe wide-spreading tensions in Sino-American and Sino-western relations and to highlight what, over the past five years, has clearly become a negative spiral in them. However, in some cases it remains to be seen whether there has been a real, substantial shift away from neoliberalism in these countries, and from a China policy dictated by economic rather than security interests.
3 - Successes and limits of China’s engagement with the world economy
- Zeno Leoni, King's College London
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- Book:
- Grand Strategy and the Rise of China
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- 20 January 2024
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Summary
“There is no simple disengagement path, given the scope of economic and legal entanglements. This isn't a ‘trade’ we can simply walk away from”.
John MauldinAt the end of the 2010s, Martin Jacques predicted China would “rule the world” and the “end of the Western world” (2009). Elsewhere I argued that Jacques's claim about a new world order is materializing (Leoni 2021: ch. 4). Yet, it is too soon to confirm Jacques's claims, especially about China ruling the world. About a decade ago, David Shambaugh disagreed with Jacques because “China has an increasingly broad ‘footprint’ across the globe, but it is not particularly deep” (2013: 5–6). Apart from some important exceptions, China's economic presence in other countries is not enough to provide Beijing with structural political leverage, unlike that of the US, which has become hegemonic through the dollar. On the other hand, the PRC can damage certain industries in other countries and indirectly exert pressure on governments; furthermore, while China's economic expansion remains superficial it is growing fast as the eurozone struggles to emerge from more than a decade of financial austerity. This has led both China hawks and the media to suggest that the PRC is committed to a sort of neocolonialism through investments and acquisition of foreign assets. There certainly is an element of truth in this, as I explore below, but one has to consider both sides of the coin. This chapter argues that while China has eroded the West's productive power in some areas, its success remains limited and uneven. This argument balances some of the claims set out in Chapter 2, but also making the reader reflect on the complexity of China's rise to great power. Here and in the following chapter, it is shown that ultimately, operating in a LIO is no picnic, that is, it offers challenges and not just success. This is even more the case at a time when the West has started to see the drawbacks, in addition to the benefits, of interacting with China.
THE BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE AND OVERSEAS INTERESTS: CHINA GOES GLOBAL?
Since 1978 the PRC has used its foreign policy to protect its path towards development from both external interferences and military invasions.
Grand Strategy and the Rise of China
- Made in America
- Zeno Leoni
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During four decades of fast-paced economic growth, China's ascent has reverberated across the full social spectrum, from international relations to technology, from trade to global health, from academia to climate change. Despite disrupting the long-established cultural and political constructs of the postwar liberal international order, Beijing's power remains uneven and limited internationally, whereas the rise of China has been the object of much frenzied reaction within Western civil society. The hostility and new cold war with the United States is a major factor in fuelling debate and speculation.
This book explores the uncertainties and dilemmas China's rise has fuelled for both the US-sponsored liberal order and the Chinese communist elites that are responsible. It provides the tools to understand the contemporary political and media turmoil about China, its causes and its trajectories. It interprets the rise of China through the lenses of global politics and the uneven and combined development of capitalism and its encounter with the authoritarian, one-party system of the Chinese polity.
4 - The dilemmas of China’s engagement with the world
- Zeno Leoni, King's College London
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- Grand Strategy and the Rise of China
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Summary
“If China wants to be the new global standard, how can it stay special?”
Philipp RenningerIn reflecting on the strategic mistakes of the West in its relationship with the PRC, we have observed that these flaws originated from short-sighted policies, but also from the fact that China, for the West, poses an economy-security dilemma. The West's delay in coming to this realization has led to the erosion of the LIO. In the following chapter, I focus on the conundrum facing China that has arisen from the intensification of its relationship with the outside world. Indeed, the LIO is not only a source of dilemma for the West in the face of a rising China, but it has become a source of tension for China itself. Capturing opportunities abroad requires opening the national economy to global capitalism. Yet, deeper integration with the global order will make the PRC's borders more porous to American, European and South Korean businesses, and to western ideas more generally. This threatens to undermine the internal political and cultural hegemony of the Chinese Communist Party, which will have to scrutinize and, if necessary, restrict China's engagement with the world. The PRC elite will have to carefully weigh up whether they want to expand or retrench from certain international commitments, whether this means convincing different foreign constituencies that Beijing is keen to fight climate change and the environmental crisis; or deciding the extent to which China's military power should be employed abroad. It is unlikely that the CCP will find an answer to these dilemmas any time soon, and China's rise as a global power could make it more difficult to work out a coherent path.
DOES CHINA WANT TO DISMANTLE THE LIBERAL ORDER?
The journal International Organization celebrated its 75th anniversary in the spring of 2021 with a special issue dedicated to the LIO. The journal and the LIO came into being at roughly the same time. In the opening article, the authors asked whether the rise of China is “a fundamental challenge to the LIO, or has the country been sufficiently co-opted into the order that it is now a ‘responsible stakeholder’?” (Lake et al. 2021: 241). This is a worthwhile question because the socio-political hybridity that characterizes the PRC has implications for how China integrates with or detaches from the LIO.
Frontmatter
- Zeno Leoni, King's College London
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- Grand Strategy and the Rise of China
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Conclusion
- Zeno Leoni, King's College London
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- Grand Strategy and the Rise of China
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Summary
There are four main lessons that stem from this exploration of Sinowestern relations, in addition to some more tangible recommendations that can be inferred from these. This book has showed that it is not possible to discuss or even think about the modern or contemporary history of China without considering its relationship with the West. Since the First Opium War, China's trajectory has been influenced by the West, sometimes for good, sometimes for ill. European, American and Japanese imperialism, and open-door policies have contributed to China's desire for catching up and playing hard in a competitive international system of states. The US, since 1972, has actively supported efforts of the PRC to become a prosperous country. Likewise, there is no modern history of the West without discussion of China. Without the meeting between Mao and Nixon, the Cold War might have lasted longer; without Deng Xiaoping's reformist agenda, the LIO would not have been global from an economic point of view.
Currently, both China and the West, especially the US, are locked in a problematic interdependence which has led them to consider options for decoupling and recovering national sovereignty over different aspects of economic and social life. Indeed, while the liberal order has trapped the West into a China conundrum, the more China engages with this order the more it faces dilemmas between competing interests. If current diplomatic quarrels between China and the West worries us a lessening of such interdependence through decoupling could lead to a degree of geopolitical stability, because interdependence remains a source of tensions.
Another major historical lesson concerns the need to look at history in the longue durée. In 1972 Nixon and Mao were agreeing on a process of “rapprochement” between Washington and Beijing, which led to “normalization” under the Carter administration, and which allowed both powers to survive through events that shook the fundaments of the relationship – Tiananmen Square (1989) and the Taiwan Crisis (1995–96). By the standards of contemporary western-centric pundits, this seems like an age ago. Yet, in only a few decades we have managed to move from the Cold War to a time of potential order-unravelling and to the brink of a new Cold War, or the return of great power politics at the very least.
2 - “Best friends, worst enemies”: China’s rise and the blowback of American grand strategy
- Zeno Leoni, King's College London
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- Grand Strategy and the Rise of China
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- 20 January 2024
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- 30 June 2023, pp 29-46
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Summary
“If China remained closed, then the doors would have to be battered down.”
Alan PeyrefitteWorld history cannot be regarded as the sum of disconnected events. More often, it is the product of encounters between different, competing civilizations, political systems, and technologies and the tensions that exist between them. Although the Chinese elite were committed to making China great and deserve credit for the success that the PRC achieved in the post-1978 era, the West played a fundamental role in bringing it into a world capitalist economy. China's success can also be interpreted through the lens of “blowback” of European and Japanese imperialism, but most importantly US globalism. Technically, “blowback” is used by the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) to describe the unwanted consequences of covert operations. Subsequently, it was applied by political scientist Chalmers Johnson to reflect the unintended effects – backlashes – of US foreign policy. To Johnson, “acts committed in service to an empire but never acknowledged as such have a tendency to haunt the future” and the US “cannot control the long-term effects of its policies. That is the essence of blowback” (Johnson 2002: 8, 13). This concept is essential to appreciate the responsibility that the United States’ strategy-makers had for encouraging the rise of China while overlooking its long-term strategic implications.
Blowback, however, is also a constant feature of empire. Imperialism's coercion, disruption, and lack of respect for other countries or regions tend to have unpredictable and perilous consequences decades or even centuries later. China has become a great economic and military power because European and Japanese powers, even before US hegemony, had a hand in her formidable ascent. Indeed, the continuum from the eighteenth century up to China's entry into the WTO in 2001, has been that of western powers seeking to open up the Chinese economy to the world in order to profit from it. As different parts of this book show, this has come at a geopolitical cost. For good or ill, the foreign policies of imperial Britain, Japan, France, Portugal and Germany, but also the United States, have had far-reaching effects on China's process of political renovation.
Preface and acknowledgements
- Zeno Leoni, King's College London
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- Book:
- Grand Strategy and the Rise of China
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- 20 January 2024
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- 30 June 2023, pp vii-x
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Summary
China is a huge country, with a very long history, and an increasingly global influence. The implications of its domestic and foreign policies are far-reaching. Tracking everything China is or does is a mammoth task and most observers tend to do so by focusing on a specific research area or a specific angle. I am not different in this regard.
The perspective I have used to look at China follows my professional story of the last few years. It is based on an underlying claim, which might well be the most important statement in this book: it is not possible, I argue, to study modern and contemporary China in isolation from its relationship with the West. This is because China's struggles and successes over the last two centuries are closely linked to western policy towards China – at the same time, the rise of a western-led global economy, and the end of the Cold War might not have been possible without China. Studying China through the lenses of its relationship with the West means approaching this subject with a pragmatic – strategic – logic, rather than for the sake of knowing more about China.
This is the perspective that I have developed over the last four years and that has informed this book. From an academic point of view, my interest in China began with my PhD at the Department of European and International Studies, King's College London where I completed my thesis on US–China relations. More specifically, my objective was to analyse the foreign policy of the Obama administration towards China, applying a Marxist theory of imperialism, which involved looking at American grand strategy from a critical perspective. Between 2017 and 2018, between the final stage of my PhD and my first year of a full-time job, I realized I wanted to focus more on the Chinese perspective of the relationship. First, when studying the logic of the Washington Consensus, I realized that I needed a better appreciation of what was behind American disappointment towards China. I found an answer to this question, eventually, by exploring in depth the symbiotic – nationalistic – relationship that exists in the PRC between the state and society, in particular between the state and the strategic industries.
Contents
- Todd May, Warren Wilson College, North Carolina
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- Care
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- 23 January 2024
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2 - Care ethics
- Todd May, Warren Wilson College, North Carolina
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Summary
A CHALLENGE TO TRADITIONAL MORAL THEORY
In the 1960s and 1970s, the field of moral development in psychology was dominated by a single figure. Lawrence Kohlberg, who might even be considered one of the founders of the field, constructed a scale of human moral development that was taken to be the model for understanding the evolution of a person's moral maturity.
His approach was to offer a three-level scale of development, where each level was divided into two stages. The first level is that of pre-conventional morality. At this level there is nothing we would recognize as a moral code. The first stage in this level is that of avoiding punishment. If the child does the right thing, it's simply to avoid whatever penalty their family happens to mete out for behavioural violations: room time, dessert withdrawal, loud rebukes, or some creative means of making the kid feel crappy for having done the wrong thing. This is followed by a second stage in which the goal is not avoiding punishment but gaining praise or some sort of other reward. It's still self-interested, but now the motivation is positive rather than negative. It's about acquiring a good rather than avoiding a loss: candy as opposed to time-out.
Conventional morality is the next level. Here's where most people end up, since they can't or at least don't rise to the level of post-conventional morality. The first stage in this level is interpersonal concordance. Here the goal is the moral approval of others, but it's limited to surrounding others – family and friends, mostly. In this period, the child conforms to the morality of those around them and does so to foster and nourish the connection with those with whom they are in contact. What matters is the local social bond rather than any overarching principles. From there, the person graduates to the fourth stage, that of law and order. Here there is a sense of right and wrong above and beyond personal relationships, but it's a rigid code that doesn't allow of nuance or exception.
4 - Caring for ourselves
- Todd May, Warren Wilson College, North Carolina
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Summary
If I had a dollar for every self-care book on the market, I’d be standing on a street corner handing this book out for free. There are thousands and thousands of them: emotional, spiritual, mindful, mental, health; for men, women, people with ADHD, people without ADHD, people who overthink, people who underthink, people with immature parents, people with substance abuse problems, narcissistic people, teenagers, dummies, breastfeeders, cats; there is even witchcraft for self-care, which, okay, is kind of intriguing.
This chapter isn't going to offer a bunch of advice about how to take care of yourself. (I’m hardly the person to do that.) Instead, it will consider one thinker's suggestion for a way to think about our lives as a whole. But mostly it's interested in the place of self-care in philosophy: how it looks, what role it has, how we might think about it. We’ll start with the place of self-care in traditional moral theories, then turn again to Harry Frankfurt and his interesting suggestion that self-love is the purest form of love, and finally to a historical view of self-care offered by the philosopher and historian Michel Foucault. All three traditional Western moral theories – consequentialism, deontology, virtue ethics – offer a moral allowance for a person to look after themselves. Whether we would want to call these moral places “self-care” is another issue, one we’ll look into as we canvas each theory. None of them, however, require complete self-sacrifice in the name of moral rectitude. Morality isn’t, in these views, just about altruism, although in the end they’re all pretty stringent.
Consequentialism, especially in its most common form of utilitarianism, says that your interests don't count any more than anyone else’s. But they don't count for any less, either. Recall that consequentialism is interested in the results, or consequences, of an act. In its most popular utilitarian version, it focuses on happiness. More happiness, better; less happiness, worse. This is easy to misunderstand. More happiness doesn't mean happiness for more people. It just means more total happiness.
3 - Care and the non-human
- Todd May, Warren Wilson College, North Carolina
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Summary
The previous chapter focused on care among human beings. However, care ethics isn't limited to humans. Recall Tronto and Fisher's definition of care: “On the most general level, we suggest that caring be viewed as a species activity that includes everything that we do to maintain, continue, and repair our ‘world‘ so that we can live in it as well as possible”. The “world” they‘re referring to includes not just humans but other animals, the environment, social and political systems, precious objects, and so on. In this chapter, then, we‘ll turn our attention to some of the non-human inhabitants of our world in order to see what caring looks like in regard to them. Let's start with the inhabitants closest to us.
PETS
In our old house we sort of lived with a cat. The cat's name was Sammy, or Rufus, depending on which of our offspring you asked. I say “sort of ” because while the cat lived outside on a backyard lawn with a treehouse, we had decided to live inside prior to getting the cat. The reason Sammy/Rufus lived outside was that I was allergic to cats and my family wanted me to keep from having itchy skin and a runny nose all the time. They also respected the fact that I don't like pets. Because they cared.
I also say “lived with” instead of “owned”. Legally, of course, we owned Sammy/Rufus. If he had attacked a neighbour or a neighbour's pet, we would have been responsible for the damages. (He was actually pretty chill, so that wasn‘t a problem. Like other cats, he did go on the occasional walkabout, but that's pretty much it.) If we had mistreated him, we would have been liable under anti-cruelty laws. In short, we were responsible for him and his behaviour. In that sense, he was like our offspring back when they could properly be referred to as kids.
But notice here that responsibility doesn't require ownership. The fact that I‘m legally responsible for the behaviour of some creature does not necessarily mean that I own it.
References
- Todd May, Warren Wilson College, North Carolina
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1 - What is caring?
- Todd May, Warren Wilson College, North Carolina
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Summary
VIGNETTES OF CARING
About a year ago I met a self-described surfer dude at a conference. We got to talking, and I asked him the kind of socially awkward question a philosopher who is writing a book on the philosophy of care might ask. “What would it be like for you”, I asked, “if all of a sudden you had some injury or developed some condition that barred you from surfing for the rest of your life?” Perhaps knowing that I was a philosopher and therefore to be given significant social indulgence, he didn't seem at all bothered by the question. He told me that it would be a great loss for him; in fact, he would feel as though he had lost a bit of himself.
Then I posed the following scenario. Suppose he had been unable to surf for a long time, but surfing had gone on without him. However, later, all surfing had to stop. It had been outlawed, or the climate crisis had made it impossible somehow, or something like that. Would that matter to him?
He immediately said that it would. He loved to surf, and would miss it terribly if he couldn't do it anymore. But it would be good to know that surfing was going on, even without him. It would be a real loss to him if it no longer happened. A different kind of loss from the one if he had to stop surfing himself, but still a real loss.
There are people who are really concerned about justice. Not the “It's unfair!” demand of justice for them, but justice itself. The kind of people I’m thinking of here have what we might call an ideal, an ideal that isn't just about what people experience when they are the object of injustice. Of course, there are different views of what is just. For some people, an equal distribution of social goods is the ideal of justice, while for others it would be merit-based: that is, people getting what they have earned. Still others think of justice in terms of maximum liberty for people to do what they want to do.
Frontmatter
- Todd May, Warren Wilson College, North Carolina
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5 - Care and vulnerability
- Todd May, Warren Wilson College, North Carolina
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Summary
In the previous chapters we’ve been discussing care as having two fundamental characteristics: importance to the person who cares and a sense of loss (grief, regret, frustration, anger, and so on) if the object of care is threatened in some way. Back in the first chapter, however, I raised the question of whether caring could happen without the second characteristic. Could someone care about something without experiencing a sense of loss if that something is harmed or dies or disappears? Or, alternatively, is it impossible, really, to care about something without the possibility of a sense of loss as part of the package? In short, does care require vulnerability?
There are philosophies among whose goals, it seems, is to protect us against vulnerability – Buddhism and Stoicism in particular (both of which seem to be wildly popular these days as ways of coping with our fraught world). If caring and vulnerability are a package deal, this would seem to imply that Buddhists and Stoics are incapable of caring. That seems an odd thing to say. While for most of us caring and vulnerability go together, is it necessarily true? Are Buddhists and Stoics in fact barred from the experience of caring? The issue is more complicated to sort out than it might seem. In order to do that sorting, we’ll first need to get a basic grasp on these two philosophies.
BUDDHISM
The question “What is Buddhism?” is not so much a query seeking a simple answer as an opening onto a tangle of complexities. Basic issues, such as whether Buddhism is a philosophy or a religion, are subject of long debate and disagreement. I once wrote a column for a newspaper (2014b) that was mildly critical of Buddhism, and received a number of angry comments from self-professed Buddhists claiming that I had completely misunderstood what it was all about. (I know, I also found their anger ironic.) One person told me that by referring to the Four Noble Truths – more on that in a minute – I was being too logical and missing the point of Buddhism, which was really just a feeling. Now, in a way, I can get the sense of “that Buddhist feeling”, but I can't help thinking there's more to Buddhism than that.
Preface
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- By Todd May
- Todd May, Warren Wilson College, North Carolina
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- Care
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Summary
When Anthony Morgan and Steven Gerrard approached me about writing a book on the philosophy of care, I was immediately drawn to the project. Not only is care a central (but often philosophically neglected) aspect of the human – as well as non-human – experience, but we live in a time where the call to care has largely been sidelined in favour of various calls to arms. What follows is my attempt to offer at least an overview of some of the richness that philosophical thought about care has to offer.
My thanks go to both Anthony and Steven for allowing me the space to write this book and for their suggestions along the way. My former colleague Chris Grau has, as always, been a wonderful conversational partner in the face of a number of sticky philosophical points. My spouse, Kathleen, read the entire manuscript and offered many suggestions that I hope will make the book less incoherent and poorly considered than it otherwise might have been.
I dedicate this book to Kathleen, David, Rachel and Joel. Where would I be without their caring?