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Vaccines have revolutionised the field of medicine, eradicating and controlling many diseases. Recent pandemic vaccine successes have highlighted the accelerated pace of vaccine development and deployment. Leveraging this momentum, attention has shifted to cancer vaccines and personalised cancer vaccines, aimed at targeting individual tumour-specific abnormalities. The UK, now regarded for its vaccine capabilities, is an ideal nation for pioneering cancer vaccine trials. This article convened experts to share insights and approaches to navigate the challenges of cancer vaccine development with personalised or precision cancer vaccines, as well as fixed vaccines. Emphasising partnership and proactive strategies, this article outlines the ambition to harness national and local system capabilities in the UK; to work in collaboration with potential pharmaceutic partners; and to seize the opportunity to deliver the pace for rapid advances in cancer vaccine technology.
Successful development of technologies to support older people in care homes remains challenging. The strategic establishment of a group of residential settings providing 24-7 living labs plus an innovation hub is described. Acoustic monitoring (AM) for continuous nighttime checking of residents was selected for assessment. A pilot study in 2016 identified potential cost savings, reduced nighttime falls, and improved daytime well-being.
Methods
The AM system was systematically assessed in four WCS Care Group Ltd care homes following demonstration and testing in an innovation hub. The first author undertook a mixed-methods study (2019 to 2023) to assess the technology in terms of falls prevention, practical implementation, and future benefits of enhanced sound classification using artificial intelligence (AI). In 2020, a network of care providers, the National Care Forum (NCF), was funded by National Health Service Digital to develop three similar innovation hubs across England. The NCF undertook a national survey to identify priorities in terms of implementing new technologies in care homes.
Results
Structured interviews with care workers and observational assessment in four care homes confirmed that the AM system has the potential to identify active residents and reduce the risk of falls, although it cannot offer fall prediction or prevention functionality. Two new functions were proposed. Eight machine learning models for sound classification and demonstration tests in three simulated settings supported feasibility and adoption. A post-demonstration survey (n=39) identified a high probability of adoption for these additional functions. The NCF survey found that the top four new technologies of interest to care homes were medication management systems, electronic care planning, wearable GPS trackers, and AM systems.
Conclusions
Care homes report interest in procuring AM systems, which could reduce the risk of falls. In addition, new AI-supported functions are acceptable to care providers. The UK government has proposed that 20 percent of care homes introduce AM by March 2024. Guidelines for future assessment of sustainable care technologies in living lab settings now need to be developed.
Emerging evidence suggests that routine physical activity may improve exercise capacity, long-term outcomes, and quality of life in individuals with Fontan circulation. Despite this, it is unclear how active these individuals are and what guidance they receive from medical providers regarding physical activity. The aim of this study was to survey Fontan patients on personal physical activity behaviours and their cardiologist-directed physical activity recommendations to set a baseline for future targeted efforts to improve this.
Methods:
An electronic survey assessing physical activity habits and cardiologist-directed guidance was developed in concert with content experts and patients/parents and shared via a social media campaign with Fontan patients and their families.
Results:
A total of 168 individuals completed the survey. The median age of respondents was 10 years, 51% identifying as male. Overall, 21% of respondents spend > 5 hours per week engaged in low-exertion activity and only 7% spend > 5 hours per week engaged in high-exertion activity. In all domains questioned, pre-adolescents reported higher participation rates than adolescents. Nearly half (43%) of respondents reported that they do not discuss activity recommendations with their cardiologist.
Conclusions:
Despite increasing evidence over the last two decades demonstrating the benefit of exercise for individuals living with Fontan circulation, only a minority of patients report engaging in significant amounts of physical activity or discussing activity goals with their cardiologist. Specific, individualized, and actionable education needs to be provided to patients, families, and providers to promote and support regular physical activity in this patient population.
In its 75th anniversary year, this book examines the history, evolution and future of the NHS. With contributions from leading researchers and experts across a range of fields, it provides a long-term critical review of the NHS and key themes in health policy.
OBJECTIVES/GOALS: As mortality and morbidity from acute COVID-19 decline, the impact of COVID-19 on short- and long-term quality of life (QoL) becomes critical to address. We assessed the impact of re-purposed COVID-19 therapies on QoL as a secondary outcome measure in ACTIV-6, a decentralized platform trial. METHODS/STUDY POPULATION: Adults aged ≥30 with mild-to-moderate COVID-19 enroll in ACTIV-6 online or through a study site. Patients are randomized to a medication of interest or placebo. Medications are mailed and symptoms are tracked using electronic diaries. QoL is measured#_msocom_1 using the PROMIS-29 questionnaire. Adjusted Bayesian logistic regression models are used to measure effects of treatment on the seven PROMIS-29 QoL domains at days 7, 14, 28#_msocom_2 and 90. Covariates are treatment, age, gender, symptom duration and severity, vaccination status, geographic region, call center#_msocom_3#_msocom_4, and calendar time. Treatment effects are described using ORs, 95% credible intervals, and posterior probabilities of efficacy, P(eff). RESULTS/ANTICIPATED RESULTS: There are 5,362 patients included, representing four of the study arms in ACTIV-6. We report results where P(eff)<0.025 and P(eff)>0.975 in the table below. Table 1. Scale Day: OR* (95% credible interval, P(eff)) Therapy Physical Anxiety Depression Fatigue Sleep Social Pain Ivermectin 400 — Ivermectin 600 D7: 0.77 (0.61-0.96, 0.01) D14: 0.65 (0.49-0.85, <0.01) D28: 0.69 (0.52-0.92, 0.01) — D7: 0.79 (0.64-0.97, 0.01) — D14 0.78 (0.60-1.00, 0.02) D28: 0.66 (0.50-0.87, <0.01) Fluticasone - D14: 0.77 (0.60-0.99, 0.02) — D7: 0.76 (0.62-0.93, <0.01) D90: 0.79 (0.64-0.98, 0.01) — D7: 0.74 (0.59-0.93, 0.01) Fluvoxamine D7: 0.66 (0.51-0.84, 0.01) — D28: 1.38 (1.02, 1.85, 0.98) D7: 0.78 (0.63-0.97, 0.01) D7: 0.77 (0.62-0.95, 0.01) — *OR > 1 favors active intervention DISCUSSION/SIGNIFICANCE: Results suggest fluvoxamine may improve depression scores by day 28, while placebo is favored in several other scales across treatments. Differences between treatment and placebo are not seen at most other timepoints. This trial is ongoing and future work will include results from additional ACTIV-6 study arms.
Although the term neuroendocrine is now applied to many different contexts in which the nervous system interacts with the endocrine system to regulate hormone release and bring about important changes in physiology, the hypothalamic–pituitary axis remains the best known and most well-characterised example of a neuroendocrine system. Here, the hypothalamus acts as the major coordinating centre, integrating a diverse array of intrinsic (e.g. higher cortical, autonomic, endocrine) and extrinsic (e.g. environmental) signals to direct the function of multiple different target cells/tissues within the central nervous system, pituitary gland and peripheral sites. Hypothalamic regulation of pituitary function has far-reaching consequences, governing the release of hormones from other key endocrine glands (e.g. adrenal, thyroid, gonad), which, in turn, regulate the function of many physiological pathways with important consequences for energy balance and metabolism, osmo- and thermo-regulation, heart rate and blood pressure control, central nervous system function, growth and reproduction.
We opened this book (Chapter 1) by observing that the NHS was in a parlous and unprecedented position. Now that the contributors have surveyed the period across a range of domains, there seems to be very little evidence to revise that verdict. Over its 75 years, the NHS has seen a number of ‘big bang’ reforms and many more, smaller incremental reforms (Tuohy, 2018). While there has been a great deal of analysis on the former (Robinson and Le Grand, 1994; Le Grand, Mays and Mulligan, 1998; Thorlby and Maybin, 2010; Exworthy Mannion, 2016), there is a danger that the smaller but cumulative changes of the latter may be missed (Powell, 2016).
Cumulative incremental changes are harder to detect and assess and receive less publicity than large-scale (big bang) reforms which are often heralded with much fanfare and public debate. Large-scale reforms of health systems such as the NHS may be somewhat constrained by its own logics (Tuohy, 1999) but they might also have a negative impact on the resilience of the NHS. Individual reforms (or a programme of them) may not necessarily lead to a loss of resilience at that time but repeated reforms may undermine the cohesion of its structures and processes. The rapidity of such change might only serve to weaken such cohesion further (Thorlby and Maybin, 2010; Exworthy and Mannion, 2016: 8; Timmins, 2012; Exworthy and Mannion, 2016: 8). Without a comprehensive and longitudinal evaluation programme, the cumulative impact of healthcare reforms will remain uncertain or unknown.
In this book, we have sought to offer a comprehensive analysis of the state of the NHS in its 75th year. The four analytical axes (governance; public/private, central/local, and profession/state; introduced in Chapter 1 and reprised next) provided an overarching framework which applied, more or less, to the individual chapters. The subjects of these chapters enabled, we argue, a comprehensive coverage of the main dimensions of the NHS in its first 75 years. We note, however, the absence of topics, such as workforce wellbeing and diversity, and environmental sustainability (among others), from our analysis but we urge others to engage with these topics in future research.
In its 75th year, despite the hallowed role that the NHS plays in the UK national psyche, the NHS found itself in a parlous position. Across a range of measures, the NHS was facing unprecedented pressures in 2023. First, public satisfaction with the NHS had fallen to its lowest recorded level – 29 per cent, falling 7 percentage points from 2021. Equally significant was the level of dissatisfaction with the NHS, at 51 per cent (Morris et al, 2023). Second, waiting lists were at an all-time high of 7.2 million (as of December 2022). Much of this can be explained by delayed care due to COVID-19 (a rise of 2 million since the start of the pandemic). This was despite the ‘elective recovery plan’ published in 2022 (NHS England, 2022). Third, there were 133,000 (full-time equivalent) vacancies in the NHS in September 2022, a vacancy rate of 9.7 per cent (Health Foundation, 2022). Vacancies in social care stood at 165,000, a vacancy rate of 10.7 per cent (King’s Fund, 2023). Fourth, there was a wave of strikes among NHS staff. Members of the Royal College of Nursing went on strike for the first time in their history. They were joined by ambulance staff and junior doctors. NHS consultants had also voted for strike action. Fifth, while pay can explain some of the causes of these strikes, it is likely that high levels of stress and burnout were also significant factors. The 2022 NHS Staff Survey (published in March 2023) indicated that 45 per cent of staff were unwell due to work-related stress and 57 per cent had come to work despite feeling unwell. Overall, 34 per cent of staff felt burnout, with ambulance staff being especially prone (49 per cent) (Nuffield Trust, 2023).
The conditions prevailing in 2023 were the confluence of factors in the previous several years – financial austerity from 2010, the Brexit referendum vote in 2016 (and the consequent impact upon recruitment and retention of staff and pharmaceuticals) and COVID-19 pandemic (from March 2020). Arguably, the conditions were also the result of the NHS’ politics, policies and organisational structure over the previous 75 years. So it is timely to reassess the contribution and state of the NHS in the past, in the present and in the future.
OBJECTIVES/GOALS: The design and phased roll-out of a CTSA competency-based longitudinal Clinical and Translational Research (CTR) curriculum pathway that can be integrated into the training of health sciences professional degree programs at three regional institutions. The outcome will be an increased number of health science professionals participating in CTR. METHODS/STUDY POPULATION: Based on an environmental scan, student surveys to assess interest, and feedback from regional stakeholders, a CTR pathway program was developed. The pathway curriculum will be grounded in 6 key focus areas derived from the Core Competencies in Clinical and Translational Research and prioritized based on regional need. The CTR pathway is currently being developed for the University of Washington School of Medicine, with additional implementations at the Washington State University School of Pharmacy and the Montana State University School of Nursing. Students will complete training modules and a mentored research project that is integrated into their specific course of study. RESULTS/ANTICIPATED RESULTS: In addition to the initial assessments and curriculum, an Advisory Committee will be established. Mentors, site leads, and research project partnerships across the region will be identified. Modifications will be made according to the local needs at both Montana State University and Washington State University. After the pilot launch and roll-out, the pathway curriculum will be adapted for other disciplines based on input from content experts and pathway evaluation data. Student retention in CTR fields will be tracked, with a goal to increase the number of CTR investigators and professionals across WWAMI in the next decade. CTR pathway processes and training resources will be shared with the CTSA consortium and other health sciences professional training sites. DISCUSSION/SIGNIFICANCE: Development of the CTR workforce is a priority to increase national capabilities in clinical and translational science. Building on a recognized need for targeted and longitudinal engagement, a CTR pathway is being established for health sciences students in the WWAMI region.
Climate change is resulting in global changes to sea level and wave climates, which in many locations significantly increase the probability of erosion, flooding and damage to coastal infrastructure and ecosystems. Therefore, there is a pressing societal need to be able to forecast the morphological evolution of our coastlines over a broad range of timescales, spanning days-to-decades, facilitating more focused, appropriate and cost-effective management interventions and data-informed planning to support the development of coastal environments. A wide range of modelling approaches have been used with varying degrees of success to assess both the detailed morphological evolution and/or simplified indicators of coastal erosion/accretion. This paper presents an overview of these modelling approaches, covering the full range of the complexity spectrum and summarising the advantages and disadvantages of each method. A focus is given to reduced-complexity modelling approaches, including models based on equilibrium concepts, which have emerged as a particularly promising methodology for the prediction of coastal change over multi-decadal timescales. The advantages of stable, computationally-efficient, reduced-complexity models must be balanced against the requirement for good generality and skill in diverse and complex coastal settings. Significant obstacles are also identified, limiting the generic application of models at regional and global scales. Challenges include the accurate long-term prediction of model forcing time-series in a changing climate, and accounting for processes that can largely be ignored in the shorter term but increase in importance in the long term. Further complications include coastal complexities, such as the accurate assessment of the impacts of headland bypassing. Additional complexities include complex structures and geology, mixed grain size, limited sediment supply, sources and sinks. It is concluded that with present computational resources, data availability limitations and process knowledge gaps, reduced-complexity modelling approaches currently offer the most promising solution to modelling shoreline evolution on daily-to-decadal timescales.
The health implications of excessive added sugar intakes have led to national policy actions to limit their consumption. Subsequently, non-nutritive sweeteners (NNS) may be used to maintain product sweetness. We aimed to assess trends in quantities of added sugars and NNS sold in packaged food and beverages worldwide, and the association between these trends and the number of national policy actions across regions to reduce added sugar consumption.
Design:
(i) Longitudinal analysis of Euromonitor sales data (2007–2019) to assess the quantity of added sugars (kg) and NNS (g) sold in packaged foods and beverages globally, across regions, and across country income categories; (ii) policy-mapping of policy actions targeting added sugar consumption globally from the NOURISHING database; and (iii) Spearman’s correlations to assess the association between national policy actions across regions and changes in added sugar/NNS sales.
Setting:
Worldwide.
Participants:
Not applicable.
Results:
Per capita volumes of NNS from beverage sales increased globally (36 %). Added sugars from beverage sales decreased in high-income countries (22 %) but increased in upper-middle-income countries (UMIC) and lower-middle-income countries (LMIC) (13–40 %). Added sugars from packaged food sales increased globally (9 %). Regions with more policy actions had a significant increase in NNS quantities from beverage sales (r = 0·68, P = 0·04). The sweetness of the packaged food supply (the sweetness of each NNS and added sugar, relative to sucrose, multiplied by sales volume) increased over time.
Conclusions:
The increasing use of NNS to sweeten beverages globally, and in packaged food in UMIC and LMIC, may have health and dietary implications in the future. Their use as a substitute for added sugar should be considered in public health nutrition policymaking.
An in-depth analysis of the NHS reforms ushered in by UK Coalition Government under the 2012 Health and Social Care Act. Essential reading for those studying the NHS, those who work in it and those who seek to gain a better understanding of this key public service.
To examine the use of telemedicine among Canadian concussion providers and clinics before and after the COVID-19 pandemic onset and identify barriers and facilitators for future use.
Methods:
Ninety-nine concussion clinics and healthcare providers across Canada that offered one or more clinical concussion-related service were identified using standardized online searches and approached to complete a cross-sectional online survey.
Results:
Thirty clinics or providers completed the survey and two completed subsections of the survey (response rate of 32.3%). Only 28.1% of respondents indicated that they used telemedicine to provide care prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. Providers most commonly using telemedicine prior to the pandemic were occupational therapists and physicians, while the most commonly used services were in-person videoconferencing and eConsultation. Most respondents (87%) indicated their clinic’s use of telemedicine changed following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic including new use of in-person video-conferencing, telephone calls, and eConsultation. Ninety-three percent indicated that they would consider using telemedicine to provide care to their concussion patients once the pandemic was over. Barriers needed to be overcome to facilitate use or greater use of telemedicine-based services were the inability to conduct a complete physical examination, lack of appropriate reimbursement, lack of start-up, and maintenance funding and medico-legal risk.
Conclusion:
Telemedicine was used by a minority of Canadian concussion clinics and providers prior to the COVID-19 pandemic but was rapidly adopted by many facilities. This study provides important insight into the factors that must be considered to optimize use of telemedicine in concussion care in the future.
Ephrem the Syrian is one of the two most important fourth-century Syriac writers.1 He was born ca. 307–309 in the Roman city of Nisibis (modern-day Nusaybin in Turkey) and was likely raised as a Christian, having close relationships with the city’s bishops from his youth. He was a member of the îḥîdāyê (“single ones”), a group within the larger Christian community whose members devoted themselves to asceticism and celibacy without forming a distinct monastic community. This was a pattern of Christian living that was peculiar to Syriac-speaking regions. Ephrem also served his community as a teacher and perhaps also as a deacon. Above all, Ephrem was a writer: he wrote in multiple genres, including biblical commentaries and metrical homilies (memre), but he is especially known for his hymns (madrāse), about 400 of which are extant. In 363 Ephrem relocated to Edessa (modern-day Urfa in Turkey) when Nisibis, on the border between the Roman and Persian Empires, was ceded by the Romans to the Persians, prompting Christians to emigrate.