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We propose an analytical approach based on the Frenet–Serret (FL) frame field, where an FL frame and the corresponding curvature and torsion are defined at each point along magnetic field lines, to investigate the evolution of magnetic tubes and their interaction with vortex tubes in magnetohydrodynamics. Within this framework, simplified expressions for the Lorentz force, its curl, the dynamics of flux tubes and helicity are derived. We further perform direct numerical simulations on the linkage between the magnetic and vortex tubes and investigate the effect of the initial angle $\theta$, ranging from $0^{\,\circ}$ to $45^{\,\circ}$, on their evolution. Our results show that magnetic tubes with non-zero curvature generate Lorentz forces, which in turn produce dipole vortices. These dipole vortices lead to the splitting of the magnetic tubes into smaller structures, releasing magnetic energy. Both magnetic and vortex tubes exhibit quasi-Lagrangian behaviour, maintaining similar shapes during initial evolution and consistent relative positions over time. A vortex tube with strength comparable to that of the magnetic tube, where the kinetic energy induced by the vortex tube is of the same order as the magnetic energy in the magnetic tube, can inhibit magnetic tube splitting by disrupting the formation of vortex dipoles. Additionally, minor variations in the angular configuration of the vortex tubes significantly influence their interaction with the magnetic field and the evolution of large-scale flow structures.
Globally, glaciers are changing in response to climate warming, with those that terminate in water often undergoing the most rapid change. In Alaska and northwest Canada, proglacial lakes have grown in number and size but their influence on glacier mass loss is unclear. We characterized the rates of retreat and mass loss through frontal ablation of 55 lake-terminating glaciers (>14 000 km2) in the region using annual Landsat imagery from 1984 to 2021. We find a median retreat rate of 60 m a−1 (interquartile range = 35–89 m a−1) over 1984–2018 and a median loss of 0.04 Gt a−1 (0.01–0.15 Gt a−1) mass through frontal ablation over 2009–18. Summed over 2009–18, our study glaciers lost 6.1 Gt a−1 to frontal ablation. Analysis of bed profiles suggest that glaciers terminating in larger lakes and deeper water lose more mass to frontal ablation, and that the glaciers will remain lake-terminating for an average of 74 years (38–177 a). This work suggests that as more proglacial lakes form and as lakes become larger, enhanced frontal ablation could cause higher mass losses, which should be considered when projecting the future of lake-terminating glaciers.
There is a reasonable possibility that the present-day Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is in a bistable regime, hence it is relevant to compute pathways of noise-induced transitions between the stable equilibrium states. Here, the most probable transition pathway of a noise-induced tipping of the northern overturning circulation in a spatially-continuous two-dimensional model with surface temperature and stochastic salinity forcings is computed directly using large deviation theory. This pathway reveals the fluid dynamical mechanisms of such a tipping. Paradoxically it starts off with a strengthening of the northern overturning circulation before a short but strong salinity pulse induces a second overturning cell. The increased atmospheric energy input of this two-cell configuration cannot be mixed away quickly enough, leading to the collapse of the northern overturning cell, and finally resulting in a southern overturning circulation. Additionally, the approach allows us to compare the probability of this transition under different parameters in the deterministic part of the salinity surface forcing, which quantifies the increase in transition probability as the bifurcation point of the system is approached.
The mass balance of lake-terminating glaciers responds to annual atmospheric variations, while calving-induced ice loss at the front is driven by local ice–water interactions. The current glaciological studies underestimate glacier response by neglecting the significant annual ice loss at the terminus through calving processes. This study integrates field measurements with remote sensing data to investigate the glaciological characteristics and proglacial lake evolution of the Gepang Gath glacier in the Chandra basin, Western Himalaya, India. Long-term observations reveal a continuous expansion of the proglacial lake from 0.21 ± 0.06 km2 (1962) to 1.21 ± 0.05 km2 (2023), along with terminus retreat of ∼2.76 km, attributed to calving at the ice–water interface. The glacier’s surface exhibits complex debris cover, with thicknesses up to 35 cm, creating significant spatial variations in surface mass balance. In-situ, glaciological measurements reveal a highly negative glacier-wide mass balance of −0.90 ± 0.30 m w.e. a−1 between the years 2014 and 2023. The geodetic estimates also reveal a negative mass balance of −0.61 ± 0.1 m w.e. a−1 over the past decade (2013–2023). The frontal area change (0.42 km2) and geodetic mass balance show a total volumetric ice loss of −21.77 × 106 m3 w.e. during the same period. Overall, the yearly frontal ice loss exacerbates the mass loss by 17–22%. These findings suggest that the presence of proglacial lakes plays a significant role in intensifying ice mass loss from Himalayan glaciers, strongly regulating their overall evolution.
We investigate the statistical properties of kinetic and thermal dissipation rates in two-dimensional/three-dimensional vertical convection of liquid metal ($Pr = 0.032$) within a square cavity. Two situations are specifically discussed: (i) classical vertical convection with no external forces and (ii) vertical magnetoconvection with a horizontal magnetic field. Through an analysis of dissipation fields and a reasonable approximation of buoyancy potential energy sourced from vertical heat flux, the issue of the ‘non-closure of the dissipation balance relation’, which has hindered the application of the GL theory in vertical convection, is partially resolved. The resulting asymptotic power laws are consistent with existing laminar scaling theories and even show certain advantages in validating simulations with large Prandtl number ($Pr$). Additionally, a full-parameter model and prefactors applicable to low-$Pr$ fluids are provided. The extension to magnetoconvection naturally introduces the approximate expression for total buoyancy potential energy and necessitates adjustments to the contributions of kinetic dissipation in both the bulk and boundary layer. The flow dimensionality and boundary layer thickness are key considerations in this analysis. The comprehension of Joule dissipation has been updated: the Lorentz force generates positive dissipation in the bulk by suppressing convection, while in the Hartmann layer, shaping the exponential boundary layer requires the fluid to perform positive work to accelerate, leading to negative dissipation. Finally, the proposed transport equations for magnetoconvection are supported by current direct numerical simulation (DNS) and literature data, and the applicability of the model is discussed.
New approaches to ensure the resilience of urban water supply are urgently needed. This requires moving beyond managing water scarcity through infrastructural measures to understanding resilience as an outcome of complex interactions between people, water resources, and technological infrastructure. We conducted expert interviews and a household survey in a water scarcity ‘hotspot’ and found that water experts emphasize water system deficits and inefficiencies, while citizens complement public water service deficits through (unaccounted-for) coping mechanisms. This leads to uncertainties regarding the outcomes of management interventions. We suggest that integrating different stakeholder perspectives into water management strategies could enhance urban water resilience.
Technical summary
There is limited understanding of how to address the complex dynamics shaping the resilience of increasingly water-scarce cities, globally. By conceptualizing urban water systems as social–ecological–technological systems (SETS) and analysing their interactions from different stakeholder perspectives, we create a pluralistic, yet systematic, understanding of SETS interactions. We conducted expert interviews (N = 19) and a household survey (N = 300) in Amman, one of the world’s water scarcity hotspots, and analysed the data in three steps: (1) We analysed the SETS through the lens of its different actor groups, and, inspired by frame analysis, interpreted each group's system perspective – local experts focus on deficits of SETS elements and aim to increase available resources, while international experts emphasize the efficiency of SETS interactions. Households cope with deficient water supplies by mobilizing adaptive strategies. (2) Combining these three perspectives, we derived uncertainties resulting from different (and unrecognized) stakeholder views, missing knowledge, and unpredictable system dynamics. (3) We identified and characterized new SETS interactions for an urban, resource-constrained environment, which contributes to a typology aiming for better comparability across SETS. Our results have implications for resilience-oriented urban water management and governance in terms of what to manage (fast/slow variables, connectivity), how (learning/experimenting), and by whom (broad participation).
Social media summary
Addressing uncertainty by reframing resilience-oriented urban water management with complementary system perceptions.
The shallow-water equations are widely used to model interactions between horizontal shear flows and (rotating) gravity waves in thin planetary atmospheres. Their extension to allow for interactions with magnetic fields – the equations of shallow-water magnetohydrodynamics (SWMHD) – is often used to model waves and instabilities in thin stratified layers in stellar and planetary atmospheres, in the perfectly conducting limit. Here we consider how magnetic diffusion should be added to the equations of SWMHD. This is crucial for an accurate balance between advection and diffusion in the induction equation, and hence for modelling instabilities and turbulence. For the straightforward choice of Laplacian diffusion, we explain how fundamental mathematical and physical inconsistencies arise in the equations of SWMHD, and show that unphysical dynamo action can result. We then derive a physically consistent magnetic diffusion term by performing an asymptotic analysis of the three-dimensional equations of magnetohydrodynamics in the thin-layer limit, giving the resulting diffusion term explicitly in both planar and spherical coordinates. We show how this magnetic diffusion term, which allows for a horizontally varying diffusivity, is consistent with the standard shallow-water solenoidal constraint, and leads to negative semidefinite Ohmic dissipation. We also establish a basic type of antidynamo theorem.
Most species exhibit morphological stasis following speciation, and this is a key feature of the concept of punctuated equilibria. Stasis results in species often having long durations on geological timescales. Durational data are fundamental to many types of paleobiological analyses and are ideally based on occurrence data represented by specimens in museum collections. Often, however, durational data are presented without supporting information about voucher specimens that document stratigraphic ranges, including first and last appearances. We use the iconic Devonian trilobite Eldredgeops rana to demonstrate that durational data can be challenging to determine at multiple taxonomic levels. Further, we show that different datasets—including Sepkoski’s published databases, the Paleobiology Database, and iDigBio—give discordant results concerning first and last occurrences. We argue that paleontologists should adopt two general best practices to help address these problems. First, systematists should clearly identify voucher specimens that represent stratigraphic occurrences of species. Second, we recommend that high-quality photographs of occurrence vouchers be placed in open access websites and be assigned public domain licensing before being paywalled by journals. Such voucher images also have a role to play in training artificial intelligence (AI) systems that will be applied to future paleobiological questions.
We examine the separate effects of turbulence beneath a free surface and non–breaking surface capillary waves on the gas-transfer velocity of atmospheric oxygen into water across an air–water interface. The experiments are conducted in a recirculating open water channel with quiescent air, where atmospheric oxygen naturally dissolves into the water via the exposed surface. Through the combination of an active turbulence grid and an array of surface penetrating dowels, we are able to separate the effects of sub-surface turbulence and surface capillary waves. The findings demonstrate that the gas-transfer velocity trends with the turbulence properties, not the capillary wave properties, thus indicating that, when both are present, it is the sub-surface turbulence, not the capillary waves, that plays the dominant role in determining the rate of gas transfer across an air–water interface in the non-breaking capillary wave regime.
Laminar–turbulent transition on the suction surface of the LM45.3p blade ($20\,\%$ thickness) was investigated using wall-resolved large eddy simulation (LES) at a chord Reynolds number of $Re_c=10^6$ and angle of attack $4.6^\circ$. The effects of anisotropic free stream turbulence (FST) with intensities $TI=0\,\%$–$7\,\%$ were examined, with integral length scales scaled down from atmospheric measurements. At $TI=0\,\%$, a laminar separation bubble (LSB) forms and transition is initiated by Kelvin–Helmholtz vortices. At low FST levels ($0\,\%\lt TI \leqslant 2.4\,\%$), robust streak growth via the lift-up mechanism suppresses the LSB, while transition dynamics shifts from two-dimensional Tollmien–Schlichting (TS) waves ($TI=0.6\,\%$) to predominantly varicose inner and outer instabilities ($TI=1.2\,\%$ and $2.4\,\%$) induced by the wall-normal shear and inflectional velocity profiles. The critical disturbance kinetic energy scales with $TI^{-1.80\pm 0.11}$, compared with $TI^{-2.40}$ from Mack’s correlation. For $TI\geqslant 4.5\,\%$, bypass transition dominates, driven by high-frequency boundary layer perturbations and streak breakdown via outer sinuous modes induced by the spanwise shear and inflectional velocity profiles. The scaling of streak amplitudes with $TI$ becomes sub-linear and spanwise non-uniformity characterises the turbulent breakdown. The critical disturbance kinetic energy reduces to $TI^{-0.90\pm 0.16}$, marking a transition regime distinct from modal mechanisms. The onset of bypass transition ($TI\approx 2.4\,\%{-}4.5\,\%$) aligns with prior studies of separated and flat-plate flows. A proposed turbulence spectrum cutoff links atmospheric measurements to wind tunnel data and Mack’s correlation, offering a framework for effective $TI$ estimation in practical environments.
The allosauroid theropod dinosaurs of the clade Carcharodontosauridae were the apex predators in terrestrial ecosystems of the Early Cretaceous but were replaced in this ecological niche by Tyrannnosauridae in the Late Cretaceous. Details of this turnover are poorly known because only two transitional ecosystems, containing both carcharodontosaurids and tyrannosauroids, had been recognized to date (Cenomanian Cedar Mountain Formation of Utah, USA, and Turonian Bissekty Formation of Uzbekistan). Moreover, the presence of carcharodontosaurids in the Bissekty Formation, based on a maxilla fragment identified as Ulughbegsaurus uzbekistanensis Tanaka et al., 2021, has been recently questioned. Here we report on the third ecosystem containing both clades of apex predators, the Cenomanian Khodzhakul Formation in Uzbekistan. This new occurrence of Carcharodontosauridae is based on a newly identified maxilla that closely resembles the holotype maxilla of U. uzbekistanensis and is identified as Ulughbegsaurus sp. The revised morphological characters of both specimens support attribution of Ulughbegsaurus to Carcharodontosauridae. We report a novel neurovascular feature of the theropod maxilla—a medial alveolar canal that supplied the alveoli medially and contained tributaries of the palatine vessels in Ulughbegsaurus.
One century ago, US Secretary of State Charles Evan Hughes made the first official statement regarding US policy toward Antarctica by declaring it would not recognise sovereignty in areas that could not actually be settled. The Hughes Doctrine formalised US opposition to countries dividing Antarctica into sovereign territory, a doctrine that has become the bedrock upon which subsequent US decisions toward the region were built. This paper gives a broad overview of the development of US policy toward Antarctica, starting with the Hughes Doctrine, including the period when the United States secretly considered making its own claim to sovereign territory before deciding to champion then maintain the multilateral, sovereign-free region based on the Antarctic Treaty in order to achieve its national goals. This paper also reviews how the policies are working today and considers the significant challenges and costs the United States would incur if it altered its century-old policy toward Antarctica.