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Despite evidence of associations between glucocorticoid treatment and adverse psychiatric and suicidal behaviour outcomes, large-scale observational evidence for serious outcomes is lacking.
Aims
To assess the risk of psychiatric and suicidal behaviour outcomes during glucocorticoid treatment.
Method
Using Swedish population registers, we identified 1 105 964 individuals aged 15–54 years who collected a glucocorticoid prescription in oral form between 2006 and 2020. We investigated associations with a range of psychiatric outcomes: unplanned specialist healthcare contacts due to depressive, bipolar, anxiety or schizophrenia-spectrum disorders; and deaths by suicide or unplanned specialist healthcare contacts due to self-harm (‘suicidal behaviour’). We estimated hazard ratios from Cox proportional hazards models in a medication-only cohort by comparing outcome rates during and outside treated periods within individuals. We further identified individuals with an autoimmune or gastrointestinal autoimmune disorder diagnosis and compared hazards of the outcomes between those who did and did not initiate a glucocorticoid using a target trial emulation approach.
Results
We found increased risks for psychiatric outcomes, with within-individual hazard ratios ranging from 1.08 (95% CI, 1.00–1.16) for depressive disorders to 1.23 (95% CI, 1.12–1.36) for bipolar disorder and 1.25 (95% CI, 1.20–1.31) for anxiety disorders. We found no clear association with suicidal behaviour (hazard ratio: 1.06; 95% CI, 0.96–1.17). These findings were similar when stratified by age and gender. Within-individual associations were attenuated in those diagnosed with an autoimmune disorder. The risk of anxiety and bipolar disorder outcomes appeared particularly elevated in the first weeks of treatment. Absolute rates were modestly elevated during treatment, and higher in those with a history of psychiatric disorders.
Conclusions
Glucocorticoid treatment is associated with elevated risks of serious psychiatric outcomes, including the onset and relapse of common psychiatric disorders. Individuals with psychiatric histories may require additional monitoring during glucocorticoid treatment.
Scalable assessment tools for precision psychiatry are of increasing clinical interest. One clinical risk assessment that might be improved by such approaches is assessment of violence perpetration risk. This is an important adverse outcome to reduce for some people presenting to services for first-episode psychosis. A prediction tool (Oxford Mental Illness and Violence (OxMIV)) has been externally validated in these services, but clinical acceptability and role need to be examined and developed.
Aims
This study aimed to understand clinical use of the OxMIV tool to support violence risk management in early intervention in psychosis services in terms of acceptability to clinicians, patients and carers, practical feasibility, perceived utility, impact and role.
Method
A mixed methods approach integrated quantitative data on utility and patterns of use of the OxMIV tool over 12 months in two services with qualitative data from interviews of 20 clinicians and 12 patients and carers.
Results
The OxMIV tool was used 141 times, mostly in new assessments. Required information was available, with only family history items scored unknown to any notable degree. The OxMIV tool was deemed helpful by clinicians in most cases, especially if there were previous risk concerns. It was acceptable practically, and broadly for the service, for which its concordance with clinical judgement was important. Patients and carers thought it could improve openness. There was some limited impact on plans for clinical support.
Conclusions
The OxMIV tool met an identified clinical need to support clinical assessment for violence risk. Linkage to intervention pathways is a research priority.
Despite uncertain benefits, antidepressants are used in the management of personality disorders (PDs). We investigated the association between antidepressants and two adverse outcomes - suicidal behaviour and violent crimes - in individuals with PDs.
Methods
We used nationwide Danish healthcare registries to identify all individuals with a diagnosed PD aged 18–64 years from 2007 to 2016. Antidepressant use was identified using dispensed prescriptions. Individuals were followed up for healthcare presentations of suicidal behaviour and separately for police-recorded charges of violent crimes. We applied a within-individual design comparing rates of suicidal behaviour and violent crimes during time periods of antidepressant treatment with periods without treatment. Subgroup analyses were performed according to PD clusters, individual antidepressants, specific PDs, psychiatric comorbidities, and history of suicidal behaviour and violent crime.
Results
The cohort included 167,319 individuals with a diagnosed PD, 19,519 (12%) of whom were prescribed antidepressants and presented at least one outcome event during follow-up, making them eligible for within-individual analyses. Overall, we found an association with lower rates of suicidal behavior during periods of antidepressant treatment, compared with periods when individuals were not on antidepressants (incidence rate ratio 0.86, 95% CI 0.84–0.89). However, this association was modified by specific PDs, individual antidepressants, comorbidities, and past history. For violent crimes, we did not observe consistent associations in any direction.
Conclusions
Antidepressants were associated with lower rates of suicidal behaviour, but less clearly in violent crimes. Types of PDs, individual antidepressants, and comorbidities modified these associations.
Understanding risk factors for violence in people with psychosis can inform risk management and violence prevention. However, much of the evidence comes from cross-sectional studies, and previous reviews require updating.
Aims
To synthesise evidence from longitudinal studies on risk factors for violence in people with schizophrenia-spectrum disorders, bipolar disorder or other affective psychoses.
Method
We searched five bibliographic databases up to June 2022. We identified longitudinal studies reporting risk factors for violence in individuals diagnosed with schizophrenia or other psychoses using DSM or ICD criteria. If ≥3 independent samples reported a risk factor, we conducted random-effects meta-analyses to provide a pooled estimate. We also meta-analysed risk factors by major domains.
Results
We identified 47 longitudinal studies on risk factors for violence in psychosis, representing 41 independent samples – 21 from the original and 20 from the updated review – and 203 297 individuals. A total of 30 risk factors were present in ≥3 independent samples. Criminal history factors were associated with the greatest risk of violent outcomes (pooled odds ratio 3.50, 95% CI = 2.37, 5.16), followed by substance misuse factors (odds ratio 2.36, 95% CI = 1.99, 2.80). Many treatment-related factors were protective (odds ratio 0.54, 95% CI = 0.34, 0.85). Effect estimates were attenuated in inpatient settings. We also identified novel risk factors, including cannabis use, in a secondary analysis (odds ratio 3.34, 95% CI = 2.32, 4.82).
Conclusions
Using longitudinal evidence, we have validated comorbid substance misuse and criminal history as major risk factors for violence in psychosis. Novel factors such as cannabis use need further replication. Several identified factors are possible intervention targets if associations are found to be causal.
Links between personality disorders and antisocial outcomes has not examined individual personality disorders, and the contribution of comorbidities remain uncertain. Previous systematic reviews are dated.
Aims
To synthesise evidence from observational studies on the risk of antisocial outcomes and recidivism associated with personality disorders.
Method
We searched six bibliographic databases (up to March 2024) for observational studies examining the risk of antisocial behaviour, interpersonal violence and recidivism in individuals diagnosed with personality disorders, compared to controls. We explored sources of heterogeneity using subgroup analyses and meta-regression.
Results
We identified 21 studies involving 83 418 individuals with personality disorders from 10 countries examining antisocial and violent outcomes (Aim 1), and 39 studies of 14 131 individuals from 13 countries with recidivism (or repeat offending) as the outcome (Aim 2). We found increased risks of violence among individuals with any personality disorder (odds ratio 4.5, 95% CI 3.0–6.7), particularly antisocial personality disorder (odds ratio 7.6, 95% CI 5.1–11.5) and borderline personality disorder (odds ratio 2.6, 95% CI 1.8–3.9). Individuals with any personality disorder (odds ratio 2.3, 95% CI 2.0–2.6) and antisocial personality disorder (odds ratio 2.8, 95% CI 1.6–4.9) also demonstrated an elevated risk of recidivism. Personality disorder types and comorbid substance use disorder were associated with between-study heterogeneity.
Conclusions
The assessment and management of personality disorders should be considered as part of violence prevention strategies. Improving identification and treatment of comorbid substance misuse may reduce adverse outcomes in individuals with personality disorders.
Antidepressants’ effects are established in randomised controlled trials (RCTs), but not in the real world.
Aims
To investigate real-world comparative effects of antidepressants for depression and compare them with RCTs.
Method
We performed a cohort study based on the QResearch database. We included people with a newly recorded diagnosis of depression, exposed to licensed antidepressants in the UK. We assessed all-cause dropouts (acceptability), dropouts for adverse events (tolerability), occurrence of at least one adverse event (safety), and response and remission on the Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ)-9 (effectiveness) at 2 and 12 months. Logistic regressions were used to compute adjusted-odds ratio (aOR) with 99% CIs, assessing the associations between exposure to each antidepressant against fluoxetine (comparator) and outcomes of interest. We compared estimates from the real world with RCTs using ratio-of-odds ratio (ROR) with 95% CI.
Results
A total of 673 177 depressed people were studied: females 57.1%, mean age 42.8 (s.d. 17.7) years, mean baseline PHQ-9 17.1 (s.d. 5.0) (moderately severe depression). At 2 months, antidepressant acceptability was 61.4%, tolerability 94.4%, safety 54.5%, PHQ-9 decreased to 12.3 (s.d. 6.5). At 12 months, acceptability was 12.3%, tolerability 87.5%, safety 28.8%, PHQ-9 12.9 (s.d. 6.8). In the short and long term, tricyclics, mirtazapine and trazodone were worse than fluoxetine for most outcomes; citalopram had better acceptability than fluoxetine (aOR 0.95; 99% CI 0.92, 0.97), sertraline had lower tolerability (aOR 1.12; 99% CI 1.06, 1.18), and both citalopram and sertraline had lower safety (aOR 1.17 and 1.25, respectively). In the long term, citalopram had better acceptability (aOR 0.78; 99% CI 0.76, 0.81) and effectiveness (aOR 1.12 for both response and remission), but worse tolerability (aOR 1.09; 99% CI 1.06, 1.13) and safety (aOR 1.12; 99% CI 1.08, 1.16). Observational and randomised data were similar for citalopram and sertraline, while there was some difference for drugs less prescribed in the real world.
Conclusions
Antidepressants showed low acceptability, moderate-to-high tolerability and safety, and small-to-moderate effectiveness in the real world. Real-world and RCT estimates showed similar findings only when the analyses were carried out using large datasets; otherwise, the results diverged.
Forensic patients with psychosis often engage in violent behaviour. There has been significant progress in understanding risk factors for violence, but identification of causal mechanisms of violence is limited.
Aims
To develop a testable psychological framework explaining violence in psychosis – grounded in patient experience – to guide targeted treatment development.
Method
We conducted in-depth interviews with 20 patients with psychosis using forensic psychiatric services across three regions in England. Interviews were analysed using reflexive thematic analysis. People with lived experience contributed to the analysis.
Results
Analysis of interviews identified several psychological processes involved in the occurrence of violence. Violence was the dominant response mode to difficulties that was both habitual and underpinned by rules that engaged and justified an attack. Violence was triggered by a trio of sensitivities to other people: sensitivity to physical threat, from which violence protected; sensitivity to social disrespect, by which violence increased status; and sensitivity to unfairness, by which violence delivered revenge. Violence was an attempt to regulate difficult internal states: intense emotions were released through aggression and violence was an attempt to escape being overwhelmed by voices, visions or paranoia. There were different patterns of emphasis across these processes when explaining an individual participant's offending behaviour.
Conclusions
The seven-factor model of violence derived from our analysis of patient accounts highlights multiple modifiable psychological processes that can plausibly lead to violence. The model can guide the research and development of targeted treatments to reduce violence by individuals with psychosis.
Psychiatric disorders and homelessness are related, but temporal associations are unclear. We aimed to explore the overlap between hospital-based psychiatric disorders and sheltered homelessness.
Methods
This population-based cohort study was conducted using the Danish registers e.g., the Danish Homeless Register and the Danish National Patient Register. The study cohort included all individuals aged 15 years or older, living in Denmark at least one day during 2002–2021 (born 1984–2006). First psychiatric diagnosis was used to define psychiatric disorder and first homeless shelter contact to define homelessness. Adjusted incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and cumulative incidences were estimated.
Results
Among 1 530 325 individuals accounting for 16 787 562 person-years at risk aged 15–38 years, 11 433 (0.8%) had at least one homeless shelter contact. Among 1 406 410 individuals accounting for 14 131 060 person-years at risk, 210 730 had at least one psychiatric disorder. People with any psychiatric disorder had increased risk of sheltered homelessness relative to individuals with no psychiatric disorder [IRR 9.2, 95% confidence interval (CI) 8.8–9.6]. Ten years after first psychiatric disorder, 3.0% (95% CI 2.9–3.1) had at least one homeless shelter contact. Individuals experiencing homelessness had increased risk of any psychiatric disorder compared to individuals with no homeless shelter contact (IRR 7.0, 95% CI 6.7–7.4). Ten years after first homeless shelter contact, 47.1% (45.3–48.0) had received a hospital-based psychiatric diagnosis.
Conclusion
Strong bidirectional associations between psychiatric disorders and homelessness were identified. Health and social care professionals should be aware of and address these high risks of accumulated psychiatric and social problems.
Cost-effectiveness analysis needs to be considered when introducing new tools and treatments to clinical services. The number of new assessment tools in mental health has rapidly expanded, including suicide risk assessment. Such suicide-based assessments, when linked to preventative interventions, are integral to high-quality mental health care for people with severe mental illness (SMI). We examined the cost implications of implementing Oxford Mental Illness and Suicide (OxMIS), an evidence-based, scalable suicide risk assessment tool that provides probabilistic estimates of suicide risk over 12 months for people with SMI in England.
Methods
We developed a decision analytic model using secondary data to estimate the potential cost-effectiveness of incorporating OxMIS into clinical decision-making in secondary care as compared to usual care. Cost-effectiveness was measured in terms of costs per quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained. Uncertainty was addressed with deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis.
Results
Conducting suicide risk assessment with OxMIS was potentially cheaper than clinical risk assessment alone by £250 (95% confidence interval, −786;31) to £599 (−1,321;−156) (in 2020–2021 prices) per person with SMI and associated with a small increase in quality of life (0.01 [−0.03;0.05] to 0.01 QALY, [−0.04;0.07]). The estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of implementing OxMIS was cost saving. Using probabilistic sensitivity analysis, 99.96% of 10,000 simulations remained cost saving.
Conclusion
Cost-effectiveness analysis can be conducted on risk prediction models. Implementing one such model that focuses on suicide risk in a high-risk population can lead to cost savings and improved health outcomes, especially if explicitly linked to preventative treatments.
Evidence on the role of co-occurring psychiatric disorders in mortality associated with psychotic depression is limited.
Aims
To estimate the risk of cause-specific mortality in psychotic depression compared with severe non-psychotic depression while controlling for comorbid psychiatric disorders.
Method
This cohort study used routine data from nationwide health registers in Finland. Eligible participants had their first diagnosis for psychotic depression or for severe non-psychotic depression between the years 2000 and 2018, had no pre-existing diagnoses for schizophrenia spectrum disorders or bipolar disorder, and were aged 18–65 years at the index diagnosis. Causes of death were defined by ICD-10 codes. The follow-up time was up to 18 years.
Results
We included 19 064 individuals with incident psychotic depression and 90 877 individuals with incident non-psychotic depression. Half (1199/2188) of the deaths in those with psychotic depression occurred within 5 years from the index diagnosis and the highest relative risk was during the first year after the diagnosis. Compared with individuals with non-psychotic depression, those with psychotic depression had a higher risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, aHR = 1.59, 95% CI 1.48–1.70), suicides (aHR = 2.36, 95% CI 2.11–2.64) and fatal accidents (aHR 1.63, 95% CI 1.26–2.10) during the subsequent 5-year period after the index diagnosis.
Conclusions
Psychotic symptoms markedly added to the mortality risk associated with severe depression after controlling for psychiatric comorbidity. Prompt treatment and enhanced monitoring for psychotic symptoms is warranted in all patients with severe depression to prevent deaths because of suicides and other external causes.
Intellectual disability (ID) is associated with violent and sexual offending and victimization, but the importance of neuropsychiatric comorbidity and severity of disability remains unclear.
Methods
In a register-based cohort study of people born in Sweden 1980–1991 (n = 1 232 564), we investigated associations of mild and moderate/severe ID with any, violent and sexual crimes, and with assault victimization, stratified by comorbid autism and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). We defined ID by attendance at a special school or registered diagnosis and obtained data on criminal convictions and injuries or deaths due to assaults from nationwide registers until end of 2013.
Results
Compared to people without ID, autism or ADHD, men and women with mild or moderate/severe ID and comorbid ADHD had elevated risks of violent crimes [range of hazard ratios (HRs) 4.4–10.4] and assault victimization (HRs 2.0–7.7). Women with mild ID without comorbidities or with comorbid autism also had elevated risks of violent crimes and victimization (HRs 1.8–4.6) compared to women without ID, autism or ADHD. The relative risks of sexual offending and victimization were elevated in men and women with ID without comorbidities (HRs 2.6–12.7). The highest risks for sexual offending in men (HRs 9.4–11.0) and for sexual assault victimization in women (HRs 11.0–17.1) related to ID and comorbid ADHD.
Conclusions
The elevated risk of violent offending and assault victimization in people with ID is largely explained by comorbid ADHD, whereas ID is independently associated with sexual crimes and victimization, even though absolute risks are low.
Neurodevelopmental disorders (NDs) are associated with experiences of victimization, but mechanisms remain unclear. We explored sex differences and the role of familial factors and externalizing problems in the association between several NDs and violent victimization in adolescence and young adulthood.
Methods
Individuals born in Sweden 1985–1997, residing in Sweden at their 15th birthday, were followed until date of violent victimization causing a hospital visit or death, death due to other causes, emigration, or December 31, 2013, whichever came first. The exposures were diagnoses of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), autism spectrum disorder (ASD), intellectual disability (ID) and other NDs. We used three different Cox regression models: a crude model, a model adjusted for familial confounding using sibling-comparisons, and a model additionally adjusted for externalizing problems.
Results
Among 1 344 944 individuals followed, on average, for 5 years, 74 487 were diagnosed with NDs and 37 765 had a hospital visit or died due to violence. ADHD was associated with an increased risk of violent victimization in males [hazard ratio (HR) 2.56; 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.43–2.70) and females (HR 5.39; 95% CI 4.97–5.85). ASD and ID were associated with an increased risk of violent victimization in females only. After adjusting for familial factors and externalizing problems, only ADHD was associated with violent victimization among males (HR 1.27; 95% CI 1.06–1.51) and females (HR 1.69; 95% CI 1.21–2.36).
Conclusions
Females with NDs and males with ADHD are at greater risk of being victim of severe violence during adolescence and young adulthood. Relevant mechanisms include shared familial liability and externalizing problems. ADHD may be independently associated with violent victimization.
Outcome measurement in forensic mental health services can support service improvement, research, and patient progress evaluation. This systematic review aims to identify instruments available for use as outcome measures in this field and assess the evidence for the most common instruments, specific to the forensic context, which cover multiple outcome domains.
Methods
Studies were identified by searching seven online databases. Additional searches were then performed for 10 selected instruments to identify additional information on their psychometric properties. Instrument manuals and gray literature was reviewed for information about instrument development and content validity. The quality of evidence for psychometric properties was summarized for each instrument based on the COnsensus-based Standards for health Measurement INstruments (COSMIN) approach.
Results
A total of 435 different instruments or variants were identified. Psychometric information on the 10 selected instruments was extracted from 103 studies. All 10 instruments had a clinician reported component with only two having patient reported scales. Half of the instruments were primarily focused on risk. No instrument demonstrated adequate psychometric properties in all eight COSMIN categories assessed. Only one instrument, the Camberwell Assessment of Need: Forensic Version, had adequate evidence for its development and content validity. The most evidence was for construct validity, while none was identified for construct stability between groups.
Conclusions
Despite the large number of instruments potentially available, evidence for their use as outcome measures in forensic mental health services is limited. Future research and instrument development should involve patients and carers to ensure adequate content validity.
Violence perpetrated by psychiatric inpatients is associated with modifiable factors. Current structured approaches to assess inpatient violence risk lack predictive validity and linkage to interventions.
Methods
Adult psychiatric inpatients on forensic and general wards in three psychiatric hospitals were recruited and followed up prospectively for 6 months. Information on modifiable (dynamic) risk factors were collected every 1–4 weeks, and baseline background factors. Data were transferred to a web-based monitoring system (FOxWeb) to calculate a total dynamic risk score. Outcomes were extracted from an incident-reporting system recording aggression and interpersonal violence. The association between total dynamic score and violent incidents was assessed by multilevel logistic regression and compared with dynamic score excluded.
Results
We recruited 89 patients and conducted 624 separate assessments (median 5/patient). Mean age was 39 (s.d. 12.5) years with 20% (n = 18) female. Common diagnoses were schizophrenia-spectrum disorders (70%, n = 62) and personality disorders (20%, n = 18). There were 93 violent incidents. Factors contributing to violence risk were a total dynamic score of ⩾1 (OR 3.39, 95% CI 1.25–9.20), 10-year increase in age (OR 0.67, 0.47–0.96), and female sex (OR 2.78, 1.04–7.40). Non-significant associations with schizophrenia-spectrum disorder were found (OR 0.50, 0.20–1.21). In a fixed-effect model using all covariates, AUC was 0.77 (0.72–0.82) and 0.75 (0.70–0.80) when the dynamic score was excluded.
Conclusions
In predicting violence risk in individuals with psychiatric disorders, modifiable factors added little incremental value beyond static ones in a psychiatric inpatient setting. Future work should make a clear distinction between risk factors that assist in prediction and those linked to needs.
Individuals diagnosed with psychiatric disorders who are prescribed antipsychotics have lower rates of violence and crime but the differential effects of specific antipsychotics are not known. We investigated associations between 10 specific antipsychotic medications and subsequent risks for a range of criminal outcomes.
Methods
We identified 74 925 individuals who were ever prescribed antipsychotics between 2006 and 2013 using nationwide Swedish registries. We tested for five specific first-generation antipsychotics (levomepromazine, perphenazine, haloperidol, flupentixol, and zuclopenthixol) and five second-generation antipsychotics (clozapine, olanzapine, quetiapine, risperidone, and aripiprazole). The outcomes included violent, drug-related, and any criminal arrests and convictions. We conducted within-individual analyses using fixed-effects Poisson regression models that compared rates of outcomes between periods when each individual was either on or off medication to account for time-stable unmeasured confounders. All models were adjusted for age and concurrent mood stabilizer medications.
Results
The relative risks of all crime outcomes were substantially reduced [range of adjusted rate ratios (aRRs): 0.50–0.67] during periods when the patients were prescribed antipsychotics v. periods when they were not. We found that clozapine (aRRs: 0.28–0.44), olanzapine (aRRs: 0.46–0.72), and risperidone (aRRs: 0.53–0.64) were associated with lower arrest and conviction risks than other antipsychotics, including quetiapine (aRRs: 0.68–0.84) and haloperidol (aRRs: 0.67–0.77). Long-acting injectables as a combined medication class were associated with lower risks of the outcomes but only risperidone was associated with lower risks of all six outcomes (aRRs: 0.33–0.69).
Conclusions
There is heterogeneity in the associations between specific antipsychotics and subsequent arrests and convictions for any drug-related and violent crimes.
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is a major threat to the public. However, the comprehensive profile of suicidal ideation among the general population has not been systematically investigated in a large sample in the age of COVID-19.
Methods
A national online cross-sectional survey was conducted between February 28, 2020 and March 11, 2020 in a representative sample of Chinese adults aged 18 years and older. Suicidal ideation was assessed using item 9 of the Patient Health Questionnaire-9. The prevalence of suicidal ideation and its risk factors was evaluated.
Results
A total of 56,679 participants (27,149 males and 29,530 females) were included. The overall prevalence of suicidal ideation was 16.4%, including 10.9% seldom, 4.1% often, and 1.4% always suicidal ideation. The prevalence of suicidal ideation was higher in males (19.1%) and individuals aged 18–24 years (24.7%) than in females (14.0%) and those aged 45 years and older (11.9%). Suicidal ideation was more prevalent in individuals with suspected or confirmed infection (63.0%), frontline workers (19.2%), and people with pre-existing mental disorders (41.6%). Experience of quarantine, unemployed, and increased psychological stress during the pandemic were associated with an increased risk of suicidal ideation and its severity. However, paying more attention to and gaining a better understanding of COVID-19-related knowledge, especially information about psychological interventions, could reduce the risk.
Conclusions
The estimated prevalence of suicidal ideation among the general population in China during COVID-19 was significant. The findings will be important for improving suicide prevention strategies during COVID-19.
Noncustodial sentences are the commonest type of court sanction in many countries. Offender management and rehabilitation programmes aim to prevent recidivism and the further criminalization of individuals receiving community sentences. Although the ultimate goal of these programmes is to ensure public safety and to ease the economic burden on justice systems, they assume different rates of repeat criminal behaviours and employ different approaches. The criminogenic needs of individuals (the characteristics of an individual that directly relate to the likelihood of recidivism) are typically broken down into static (nonmodifiable) and dynamic (modifiable) risk factors. Static risk factors are unchanging characteristics of an individual and include gender, age, and prior criminal history.
Little is known about the trend and predictors of 21-year mortality and suicide patterns in persons with schizophrenia.
Aims
To explore the trend and predictors of 21-year mortality and suicide in persons with schizophrenia in rural China.
Method
This longitudinal follow-up study included 510 persons with schizophrenia who were identified in a mental health survey of individuals (≥15 years old) in 1994 in six townships of Xinjin County, Chengdu, China, and followed up in three waves until 2015. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis and Cox hazard regressions were conducted.
Results
Of the 510 participants, 196 died (38.4% mortality) between 1994 and 2015; 13.8% of the deaths (n = 27) were due to suicide. Life expectancy was lower for men than for women (50.6 v. 58.5 years). Males consistently showed higher rates of mortality and suicide than females. Older participants had higher mortality (hazard ratio HR = 1.03, 95% CI 1.01–1.05) but lower suicide rates (HR = 0.95, 95% CI 0.93–0.98) than their younger counterparts. Poor family attitudes were associated with all-cause mortality and death due to other causes; no previous hospital admission and a history of suicide attempts independently predicted death by suicide.
Conclusions
Our findings suggest there is a high mortality and suicide rate in persons with schizophrenia in rural China, with different predictive factors for mortality and suicide. It is important to develop culture-specific, demographically tailored and community-based mental healthcare and to strengthen family intervention to improve the long-term outcome of persons with schizophrenia.