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New data are used to construct a time series of real GDP in Germany for the period 1500–1850 using an indirect output estimation technique that relies on wages, prices, and sectoral employment. Until the mid-seventeenth century, real GDP per capita moved inversely with population. The eighteenth century saw a modest rise in output per head. From the late 1810s, economic growth gradually accelerated. The results shed new light on the reversal of fortunes in early modern Europe and the transition from a Malthusian regime to modern economic growth.
Few community-based studies have examined the impact of life events, life conditions and life changes on the course of depression. This paper examines associations of life events on depressive symptom onset, improvement, and stability.
Methods.
Direct interview data from the Early Developmental Stages of Psychopathology Study (EDSP), a 4–5 year prospective-longitudinal design based on a representative community sample of adolescents and young adults, aged 14–24 years at baseline, are used. Life events were measured using the Munich Event-Questionnaire (MEL) consisting of 83 explicit items from various social role areas and subscales for the assessment of life event clusters categorized according to dimensions such as positive and negative and controllable and uncontrollable. Depressive disorders were assessed with the DSM-IV version of the Munich Composite Diagnostic Interview (M-CIDI). Multiple logistic regression analyses examined the effects of 22 predictors on the course of depression (onset, improvement, stability).
Results.
Younger age, low social class, negative and stressful life events linked to the family were associated with increased risk of new onset of depression. Anxiety was a significant independent predictor of new onset of depression. Absence of stressful school and family events was related to improvement in depression. The weighted total number of life events predicted stable depression.
Conclusions.
The association between life events and the course of depression appears to vary according to the outcome being examined, with different clusters of life events differentially predicting onset, improvement, and stability.
An evidence-based time series on agricultural growth prior to 1850 only exists for very few German territories. Except for Saxony, there is no series available for the pre-1815 period. Based on sharecropping contracts from the estate of Anholt, we reconstruct the development of crop production for western Westphalia and the lower Rhineland c. 1740–1860. Our results show that parallel to Saxony, agricultural growth in this north-west German region was driven entirely by demand from a growing number of households engaged in proto-industrial and early industrial manufacture production. Fully commercialised land tenure systems dominated in Anholt from the beginning of the early modern period, and manorial institutions had little relevance for rural property relations. Hence, the radical French and Prussian agrarian reforms at the beginning of the nineteenth century had no effect on agricultural production. In a north-west European comparison, Anholt's sharecroppers performed rather well during this decisive formation period culminating in early industrialisation.
As economic institutions, craft guilds have been judged unfavourably at least from the late eighteenth century onwards. In the view of the enlightened elites pressing for liberal reforms, craft guilds presented an obstacle to economic growth and welfare. In the course of the nineteenth century, both liberal and radical economists considered craft guilds as a paradigmatic institution of a pre-capitalist economy, while writers of the German historical school, such as Werner Sombart, viewed craft guilds as a materialisation of a typical pre-modern economic spirit. Prominent among the arguments put forward by eighteenth-century philosophes and nineteenth-century economists figures the supposition that craft guilds served mainly as cartels for the appropriation of monopoly rents for its members. At the same time, craft guilds are said to have resisted the transition from simple commodity production to more complex production regimes, which increased the control of entrepreneurs over production and enhanced productivity by applying new technology.
Recent scholarship has begun to re-evaluate the economic effects of late medieval and early modern craft guilds. First, it has been argued that craft guilds prevented market failure (adverse selection) in long-distance trade. Bales of textiles, in particular, were characterised by considerable asymmetry of information, in the sense that a buyer would have had to assess quality by unrolling and inspecting each bale, which would require a lot of time. Since long-distance merchants, local retailers, and consumers might all need to assess quality individually, information costs were unavoidably inflated.
Economic institutions that foster technological innovation and diffusion and enable flexible adaptation to technical change enhance social welfare. In all these respects, early modern craft guilds have not been judged very favourably. It is generally believed that they were devoted to maintaining their members' rents by excluding non-members from the labour market and that they resisted labour-saving technologies. The marginalisation, demise, or abolition of craft guilds was therefore a prerequisite for successful proto-industrial and industrial development. The roughly contemporaneous demise of the craft guilds and rise of industrial manufacturing is seen as conclusive evidence of the restrictive practices and negative welfare effects of craft guilds.
While it is certainly true that craft guilds did oppose technical change under specific circumstances, the point is easily overgeneralised. In most parts of continental Europe, the dissolution of guilds from the late eighteenth century on had political rather than industrial motivations, even though abolition was often justified in economic terms. Arguments by economic historians based on the temporal coincidence between the demise of craft guilds and industrial developments hark back to those eighteenth-century debates and rely on highly aggregated evidence. Establishing a direct causal link between the dissolution of guilds and industrialisation without considering decision making at the level of individual craft guilds runs the risk of incurring an ecological fallacy, that is, of making inferences about individual behaviour on the basis of aggregated data.
The study documents fluctuations of proto-industrial income, of occupation, debt and presence on land markets across the life course for rural households in a major proto-industrial region during the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries. These fluctuations are interpreted on the basis that a major objective of households is to equalize their income across different stages of their development. The permanent income hypothesis is then extended to take into account land purchases and debt-contracting that result from the need to adjust land and capital to fluctuations in the size of the family labour force across the family cycle and from endeavours to improve the family's welfare by increasing the labour to land ratio. The empirical material presented shows marked fluctuations of income from proto-industrial work across the life course and suggests the existence of permanent income-cum-accumulation strategies to cope with these fluctuations.
Although positive effects of physical activity on mental health indicators have been reported, the relationship between physical activity and the development of specific mental disorders is unclear.
Method
A cross-sectional (12-month) and prospective-longitudinal epidemiological study over 4 years in a community cohort of 2548 individuals, aged 14–24 years at outset of the study. Physical activity and mental disorders were assessed by the DSM-IV Composite International Diagnostic Interview (CIDI) with an embedded physical activity module. Multiple logistic regression analyses controlling for age, gender and educational status were used to determine the cross-sectional and prospective associations of mental disorders and physical activity.
Results
Cross-sectionally, regular physical activity was associated with a decreased prevalence of any and co-morbid mental disorder, due to lower rates of substance use disorders, anxiety disorders and dysthymia. Prospectively, subjects with regular physical activity had a substantially lower overall incidence of any and co-morbid mental disorder, and also a lower incidence of anxiety, somatoform and dysthymic disorder. By contrast, the incidence of bipolar disorder was increased among those with regular physical activity at baseline. In terms of the population attributable fraction (PAF), the potential for preventive effects of physical activity was considerably higher for men than for women.
Conclusions
Regular physical activity is associated with a substantially reduced risk for some, but not all, mental disorders and also seems to reduce the degree of co-morbidity. Further examination of the evidently complex mechanisms and pathways underlying these associations might reveal promising new research targets and procedures for targeted prevention.
During the era of church reforms the clergy tended to become a profession—at least such has been argued with respect to English ministers during the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries.1 The present study endeavors to show that an analysis of the shifting position of the clergy in the continuum between a nonagricultural side activity, an estate in traditional society, and a profession can contribute to our understanding of the role that clergymen played in early modern church reforms, confessionalization, social discipline, and acculturation.
Alors qu'institutions et pratiques bancaires sont demeurées largement absentes avant le milieu du XIXe siècle, le petit crédit rural, agraire ou protoindustriel, a joué un rôle important en Suisse pendant l'époque moderne en n'utilisant que des instruments relativement simples. Nous examinerons ici deux aspects de ses fonctions économiques et sociales en analysant d'une part les liens verticaux, en partie clientélaires, que les réseaux du crédit ont ainsi créés entre des personnes de couches différentes de la société et, d'autre part, la façon dont les débiteurs ont eu recours au crédit dans leur recherche d'un revenu permanent au long de leur cycle de vie.
Rudolf Braun's work on the social and cultural impact of cottage industry in the canton of Zurich before 1800 belongs to a group of studies which appeared around 1960 and opened the field of regional studies in social and economic history. A common feature of them was their stress on structures and processes bearing on the lives of the great mass of ordinary people, such as the family, demography, work conditions, popular culture and mentality. All were usually based on a detailed scrutiny of primary source material available for a limited regional context.
Whereas in France the Annales movement paved the way for this new paradigm and the Anglo-Saxon community itself had a long-standing heritage in social and economic history, such a background was lacking in German historiography. Hence, it is of little surprise that Rudolf Braun's Industrialisierung und Volksleben has many of its roo'ts outside historiography and, as the reader will note in the Introduction, rather in the specific Swiss academic tradition of Volkskunde (folklore). Thus, while being in general a study in the history of mentality, this work nevertheless stands outside the corresponding tradition initiated by French writers. However, it does not merely form an application of concepts derived from Volkskunde, but breaks new ground by focussing less on cultural tradition (as was the usual approach of the discipline) than on cultural change and innovation associated with the emergence of industrial structures.
As a consequence of its unique background this study, despite its academic popularity, has tended to remain outside the mainstream of social historical writing.
The territory of the canton of Zurich was acquired by the town of Zurich during the late Middle Ages mostly through purchase or mortgaging by declining feudal powers. During the Reformation a vast amount of church property was secularised and seized by the town. The latter was ruled by two town councils (a large and a small one, the latter being the governing body) with two Mayors at its head. It is the small council which is usually addressed as Your Worship in the sources quoted by the present book. The rural territory was administered by governors (Land-and Obervögte for the secular property, Amtsmänner for former church property; the translation invariably uses the term governor) chosen from among the members of the town council for a limited period of years.
On the local level, a clear distinction must be made between the village community and the church parish. The latter often encompassed several villages and, particularly in the Oberland, hamlets and scattered farmsteads not belonging to a commune. Its chief officer was the minister who, from the late sixteenth century onwards, had to be a burgher of the town of Zurich. He and the church eiders (Ehegaumer) chosen from among the parishioners formed a supervisory body (the Stillstand) watching over the moral life in the parish and administrating church funds, particularly with regard to Poor Relief.
The intermediary between the village community and the political administration represented by the governor was the bailiff (in the sense of an administrator; Untervogt) who usually was a member of the local upper class, i.e. a wealthy farmer.