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The last four remining candidates in the race for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination vehemently reject the fundamental findings of modern climate science. They tirelessly repeat climate myths, the refutations of which are easily found on websites such as www.skepticalscience.com. In order to obtain political and financial support, especially from sources allied with the fossil fuel industry, they may conclude that they must attack mainstream climate science. Yet science is the best process that humanity has developed to learn about natural laws. These laws show us that today's generation has its hands on the thermostat controlling future climate. Mother Nature, or the physical climate system, is not concerned with anybody’s values or convictions or political litmus tests. Mother Nature is concerned with natural laws. She always wins.
This Introduction specifies the book’s aims. Its main thesis is that a comprehensive examination of Kant’s texts displays the relevance of his ethical, legal, aesthetic, metaphysical, and historical ideas for environmental problems like climate change, despite the standard view of Kant as anthropocentrist, individualist, dualist, and nonconsequentialist. Doing so, the book builds a bridge between environmental philosophy and Kant studies by offering distinctly Kantian solutions to environmental problems. I begin with an overview of the tensions in these philosophical fields, emphasizing that the climate crisis exhibits the value of Kant’s philosophy for contemporary environmental problems. After providing empirical background on climate change, I indicate why philosophy matters for the crisis. A recent greening-the-canon movement in environmental philosophy nonetheless places Kant on the wayside. The Introduction also offers an overview of the chapters.
Chapter 5 aims to review the alleged limitations of Kantian nonconsequentialism and individualism for environmental ethics and climate ethics. I begin by assessing attempts by Hans Jonas to rework Kant’s categorical imperative as a principle for sustainability. After investigating recent efforts to reinterpret the supreme principle of morality as a ground of a sustainability ethic, I outline imperfect Kantian duties for sustainability with climate change in mind. I conclude by reflecting on duties in the face of political corruption. My goals are twofold. First, I argue that the default dismissal of Kantianism in climate ethics due to Kant’s individualism and nonconsequentialism is unfounded. Second, I suggest that contemporary defenders of Kantian sustainability have untapped conceptual resources in the Doctrine of Virtue and Doctrine of Right from The Metaphysics of Morals. The resources in these texts can provide solutions to unaddressed topics in the literature such as regulatory capture.
Ice shelves that spread into the ocean can develop rifts that can trigger iceberg calving and enhance ocean-induced melting. Fluid mechanically, this system is analogous to an extensionally dominated radial spreading of a non-Newtonian fluid into a relatively inviscid and denser ambient fluid. Laboratory experiments have shown that rift patterns can emerge when the spreading fluid is shear thinning. Linear stability analysis supports these findings, predicting that while the instability mechanism is active in Newtonian fluids, it is suppressed by stabilising secondary-flow cellular vortices. Here, we explore the fully nonlinear evolution of a radially spreading Newtonian fluid, assessing whether large-amplitude perturbations could drive an instability. We use a quasi-three-dimensional numerical simulation that solves the full nonlinear shallow-shelf approximation, tracing the evolving fluid front, and validate it with known axisymmetric solutions and predictions from linear-stability theory. We find that large-amplitude perturbations induce nonlinear effects that give rise to non-axisymmetric patterns, including cusp-like patterns along the fluid front and complex secondary-flow eddies, which have neither been predicted theoretically nor observed experimentally. However, despite these nonlinear effects, large-amplitude perturbations alone are insufficient to induce rift-like patterns in Newtonian fluids. Strain-rate peaks at the troughs of the fluid front suggest that shear-thinning fluids may become more mobile in these regions, potentially leading to rift formation. This coincides with the likely weakening of stabilising forces as the fluid becomes more shear-thinning. These findings elucidate the critical role of nonlinear viscosity on the formation of rift-like patterns, which is the focus of Part 2 of this study.
The measurements on which we base our estimates of the Earth’s global average surface temperature are contaminated by several serious sources of error. One of them is sampling error: We have not made measurements uniformly in space and time with identical instruments at identical locations on Earth over the whole 100-plus years of record. About 70% of the Earth is covered with ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere is nearly all ocean. For many years, few measurements were made at sea because people do not live there. And even within the remaining 30% that is land, there are vast areas (imagine the great ice-covered areas of Antarctica and Greenland) where very few people live and very few measurements were made until relatively recently. Satellite measurements and data from the Argo program, discussed earlier in this book, provide greatly improved ocean data. In general, the atmosphere over the land has warmed more than the atmosphere over the ocean, and largely because of this fact and the uneven distribution of land and ocean, the warming has not been the same in the two hemispheres.
Lewis Fry Richardson (1881–1953) became interested in computational mathematics while the subject was still in its infancy. He was a pioneer in numerical analysis, which for our purposes means using arithmetic intelligently to find approximate solutions to mathematical problems that are too complicated to solve exactly. He tried to work out a mathematical system for predicting the weather. He started by doing theoretical meteorology, deriving equations representing the physical laws that describe the evolution of the familiar meteorological properties such as wind, temperature, pressure, and humidity. Richardson’s first numerical weather forecast, obtained after a great deal of tedious calculating, was not very accurate. In fact, it was wildly inaccurate. But Richardson was ahead of his time. He was a visionary. In the late 1940s, a team of meteorologists and mathematicians using one of the earliest computers produced the first successful numerical weather prediction. By the 1950s, routine weather forecasts were being produced by techniques based closely on Richardson’s method.
Characteristics of the turbulent/non-turbulent interface (TNTI) and entrainment in separated and reattaching flows induced by an oscillating fence are investigated using time-resolved particle image velocimetry. Disturbed flows are classified into subcritical, transitional, critical and supercritical cases based on the ratio of the oscillation frequency to the natural vortex shedding frequency. In the recirculation zone, distinct vortices across different cases lead to significant variations in TNTI characteristics. In the subcritical case, the TNTI evolution resembles that in the stationary fence case but with intensified height fluctuations due to the undulation of separated shear layer. For other cases, the mean TNTI height increases with the oscillation frequency, while height fluctuation diminishes. The TNTI thickness varies with nearby vortices, scaling with the Taylor microscale. After the reattachment, TNTI height distributions converge into two groups: subcritical and transitional cases exhibit larger fluctuations and positively skewed probability density functions (PDFs), while critical and supercritical cases show smaller fluctuations and basically symmetric PDFs. The TNTI thickness becomes consistent across various cases, matching the adjacent small-scale vortex size. Besides, the nibbling mechanism of entrainment aligns well with the flow development. The minimum mean entrainment velocity coincides with the strongest prograde vortex while the maximum occurs at $x\approx 1.2x_{{r}}$ (where $x$ denotes the streamwise coordinate and $x_{{r}}$ is the mean reattachment position) in all cases. Engulfment is enhanced near the reattachment location by oscillations in the transitional and critical cases, but is suppressed in the supercritical cases due to the weakness of vortex structures at higher oscillation frequencies.
In recent decades, numerous excavations have been conducted at prehistoric sites in northwestern Iran, and the results of these studies have contributed to the development of a chronological framework for the region. The early Chalcolithic period in this area is referred to as the Dalma or Hasanlu X period. Various theories have been proposed regarding the chronological span of this culture, yet challenges and debates about its dating remain. The Belachak 3 site is one of the settlements attributed to this period, excavated by the first author of this article. The excavation results indicate that the site was temporarily occupied. The pottery recovered from this site closely resembles the ceramics found at well-known Dalma sites such as Dalma Tepe and Nad Ali Beig. This article aims first to explore the relative and absolute chronology of the Belachak 3 site. Subsequently, it evaluates the dating of this culture based on the absolute chronology of this and other Chalcolithic sites in western and northwestern Iran. For dating Belachak 3, five animal bones were sent to the Poznań Radiocarbon Laboratory. The results indicate that the site was occupied around 5000–4700 BCE. Additionally, based on the pottery findings and absolute dating, it can be suggested that the Dalma culture likely emerged in the late 6th millennium BCE and became widespread across large areas of western and northwestern Iran from around 5000 BCE onward.
The closing chapter of the book illustrates the practical implications of Kant’s political and legal philosophy for climate change. Texts like the Doctrine of Right and Toward Perpetual Peace are used to rethink the complex political and collective challenges of the climate crisis. These, once again, confound the individualist and nonconsequentialist standard reading of Kant. First, I argue that Kant’s state of nature theorizing leads to prescriptions that are compatible with and justify coercive domestic and international policy to address the crisis. Second, I zoom out to consider whether Kant’s political philosophy as a whole remains too conservative or outdated to provide guidance regarding deep climate adaptation, mitigation, and radical institutional reform, answering in the negative. I close by discussing political obligations owed to peoples, interpreted in the face of the Hobbesian call for a global climate leviathan.
Carbon occurs as organic and inorganic matter in numerous complex forms and mixtures. Thermal separation of sample mixtures (e.g. sediment or soil), coupled with radiocarbon analysis, is a valuable approach for investigating the source, residence time, or age of different carbon components. At the NEIF Radiocarbon Laboratory we have built equipment for thermally separating samples for radiocarbon analysis using ramped oxidation. The original instrumentation has been successfully tested and validated for the purpose of partitioning samples based on their temperature of thermal decomposition, and for reliable radiocarbon measurement of different sample components. However, the original configuration of our instrument has limitations; a single analysis takes 2–3 hours, and an operator must be present to manually isolate samples from the required temperature ranges. To address this, we have upgraded our ramped oxidation equipment to include computer-controlled solenoid valves. These are activated according to a user-defined sampling scheme which enables autonomous collection of thermally partitioned samples. Here, we describe the latest improvements and present thermograms showing compatibility with the previous version of our equipment. This includes measurements of the radiocarbon background of the equipment, and results for known 14C-content radiocarbon standards. These demonstrate the reliability of the new configuration of our equipment for radiocarbon measurements.
When you communicate climate change science, be sure to include information on solutions. Nobody wants to hear about hopelessness, and in the case of climate change, there are many reasons to be hopeful. Climate change poses difficult problems and challenges, but there are lots of solutions that are both creative and practical and that can help solve the problems and overcome the challenges of climate change. There is no silver bullet that solves all the challenges of climate change, but there is lots of silver buckshot, including increased energy efficiency and energy conservation and much more use of sun, wind, and water to provide the energy the world needs. These renewable resources are widely available now and already cost-competitive with fossil fuels. Help people realize that not acting is also making a choice, one that commits future generations to serious climate change impacts. Research suggests that messages that may invoke fear or dismay are better received if they also include hopeful messages. Everything depends on what people and their governments do.
How will the growth of atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases affect the climate? When we try to foresee the future global climate, we are not simply extrapolating past behavior. We are using our scientific understanding of how the climate system works. Keeping that distinction in mind, then, the typical benchmark figure by which climate scientists now predict the climate will warm in response to a doubling of CO2 is a range rather than a single number. A range often quoted is 1.5 to 4.5 degrees Celsius (which is 2.7 to 8.1 degrees Fahrenheit). Not long ago, a widely quoted consensus number was the midpoint of this range, 3 degrees Celsius (which is 5.4 degrees Fahrenheit). A similar range, also often quoted, is 2 to 5 degrees Celsius (or 3.6 to 9.0 degrees Fahrenheit). There is more than one way to arrive at such a range, both from observations and from models, and the details are important to scientists doing this research. For other people, it is more important to be familiar with the approximate range, because estimates of climate sensitivity will continue to vary as more research is done.
The physical science portion of the Summary for Policymakers of the latest assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change states that the best estimate of climate sensitivity, defined as the warming expected at equilibrium from doubling the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, is 3 degrees Celsius (or 5.4 degrees Fahrenheit). It also states that the global average surface temperature will continue to increase until at least the middle of the current (twenty-first) century. Recalling that the Paris Agreement of 2015 specified a goal or target of limiting warming to 2 degrees Celsius (or 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit), with an even more ambitious aspirational goal of 1.5 degrees Celsius (or 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit), this Summary for Policymakers states that neither of these goals will be met during the twenty-first century unless deep reductions in emissions occur. The report also states that many of the climate changes caused by greenhouse gas emissions cannot be reversed and will persist for hundreds or thousands of years. It cites global sea level rise and the loss of ice sheets and glaciers as examples of changes that will be irreversible on human time scales.
Chapter 2 continues the thread from Chapter 1, moving from objections against Kant in animal ethics to broader concerns in environmental philosophy. I begin with problematic passages from Kant’s critical texts such as the Groundwork for the Metaphysics of Morals and the Critique of Pure Reason. While Kant does not discuss the environment, the standard interpretation of Kant suggests that nature has no intrinsic value and that environments are of mere instrumental worth. Environmental philosophers are warranted to suspect that Kant’s critical philosophy may be a nonstarter given its apparent dualism and anthropocentrism. Next, I examine three camps of Kant defenders who challenge these suspicions. Some commentators defend Kant’s system, others modernize him, and some synthesize Kant with other philosophers such as Aristotle. I assess the merits of their arguments, ultimately recommending a move beyond the standard reading to address the climate crisis.
We examine how ambient temperature $T$ (23–90 $^\circ \mathrm{C}$) alters the dynamics of spark-induced cavitation bubbles across a range of discharge energies. As $T$ rises, the collapse of an isolated spherical bubble weakens monotonically, as quantified by the Rayleigh collapse factor, minimum volume and maximum collapse velocity. When the bubble is generated near a rigid wall, the same thermal attenuation is reflected in reduced jet speed and diminished migration. Most notably, at $T \gtrsim 70\,^\circ \text{C}$, we observe a previously unreported phenomenon: secondary cavitation nuclei appear adjacent to the primary bubble interface where the local pressure falls below the Blake threshold. The pressure reduction is produced by the over-expansion of the primary bubble itself, not by rarefaction waves as suggested in earlier work. Coalescence between these secondary nuclei and the parent bubble seeds pronounced surface wrinkles that intensify Rayleigh–Taylor instability and promote fission, providing an additional route for collapse strength attenuation. These findings clarify the inception mechanism of high-temperature cavitation and offer physical insight into erosion mitigation in heated liquids.