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A decadal coupled ocean–atmosphere interaction mode may explain thefifty- to seventy-year quasi-periodic multidecadal variability over the North Atlantic region, and this may have impacts on the global and regional climates, possibly explaining the global warming hiatus, providing a useful predictor for decadal variation of the temperature. The decadal coupled mode also exerts an influence on the Southern Hemisphere climate, especially the decadal variation of Australian rainfall.
The value of satellite remotely sensed data is especially relevant in the context of global hydrological modelling, which provides important information on the status and spatio-temporal changes of water resources worldwide.
Satellites can be used to monitor the water cycle under human impact, to calculate the fluxes of water through rainfall, surface and groundwater runoff, evaporation, transpiration and condensation. Using the water balance equation as a basis, we discuss in detail the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission and a small sample of other contributing missions, such as the Surface Water Ocean Topography (SWOT), Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS), Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP), Tropical Rainfall Measuring (TRMM), Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM), Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). We conclude the chapter with perspectives and requirements for the future, and we stress the need for continuous, long-term monitoring of the global water cycle from space.
To obtain ocean information in an international, more efficient, more integrated, and fit-for-purpose way requires co-design, co-production and co-dissemination of knowledge. The UN’s 2030 Agenda for sustainable development has for the first time explicitly articulated a focussed ocean goal. Science needs to define smart targets for “ocean health” as a goal for ocean sustainability. Future Earth together with its science partner organisations is well positioned to facilitate the formation of trans-disciplinary teams that can address these challenges through an integrative Knowledge–Action Network (KAN). Future Earth Knowledge–Action Networks are collaborative frameworks stimulating highly integrative sustainability research. Their aim is to generate the multifaceted knowledge needed to inform solutions for complex societal issues. Future Earth and its ocean partners are in the process of establishing an Ocean Knowledge–Action Network (Ocean KAN) responding to demands that have been elaborated and articulated by the science community.
Riverine Arctic communities face flood risk every spring. As the river ice begins to thaw and break up, ice jams force melt water and ice floes to back up for dozens of kilometers and flood vulnerable communities upstream. A comparative analysis between two flood-prone communities in Alaska and Sakha Republic (Siberia) revealed that springtime flood risk in both regions results from complex interactions among a series of natural processes that generate conditions of hazard, and human actions that generate conditions of communities’ vulnerability. The analysis revealed that seasonal weather patterns and regional river channel morphology determine the location, severity, and duration of floods, while limited inclusion of local communities in the decision making has been the driving force of vulnerability in both regions. The analysis also revealed the importance of continuous communication among all stakeholders in timely and effective flood risk management in both regions
To make science, and scientific research, relevant to society the issues to be examined need to correspond to those considered noteworthy by the international community. In 2015 three important international agreements were negotiated: The Paris Agreement on Climate Change, the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction, and the Sustainable Development Goals. These agreements set the agenda for studies related to global change and Future Earth.
Sustainable Asian groundwater perspectives are discussed in this chapter by examining groundwater hydrology in conjunction with oceanographic, geothermal and geodesic aspects. Subsurface environmental changes in Asia due to urbanization and global change include groundwater storage changes as detected by the geodesy satellite GRACE and others. Subsurface warming due to global warming and urbanization is another issue in Asia that is related to geothermal energy sources. Land–ocean interaction and groundwater contaminant loads from land to the ocean in Asia are related to oceanography. The groundwater footprint and integrated water management for sustainability are discussed as a means of transformation to sustainable water use in Asia for the future of the Earth.
Geodetic science uses observations of the Earth’s changing shape, rotation, and gravity field to inform us about the changing climate. Geodetic observations provide information on regional as well as global changes in the water cycle, the thickness and extent of ice cover, sea level, and other changes in ocean dynamics. In this chapter, we review how each of the three pillars of geodesy has provided evidence for and insight into the effects of climate warming over the last two decades
Urbanization has caused irreversible changes. Apart from fostering development, urban areas have modified their surroundings. Annual and seasonal pollution averages from 2006 to 2010 reveal that there are apparent increases in pollution levels, especially for NO2, SPM and RSPM. However, these pollution levels are not constant; rather, they fluctuate with the seasonal changes.
These changes impact human health. The link between health and environment is complex. The impact of air pollution on human health has been analyzed by correlating air pollution levels and number of deaths caused by it.
Results reveal that asthma, bronchitis and pneumonia are responsible for most deaths due to air pollution in Delhi. Spatial and temporal analysis of mortality from these diseases presented for Delhi (2001–2012) reveals that there has been an increase in the number of deaths of children due to respiratory illness. The other major age group facing the impact of rising pollution levels is the age group greater than 60 years old.
Climate change threatens agricultural food production as the latter depends on weather conditions, water supply and sunlight intensity. The steady increase of average temperatures during the growing season and drought occurrence, on the one hand, and of extreme weather events such as floods, hail and late frosts, on the other, is projected to result in losses of agricultural output. Technological progress, the introduction of more resistant crop varieties together with the “fertilizing” effect of higher atmospheric CO2 levels may compensate for some of the losses. Exposure to heat and drought also influences the composition of many important food and feed crops such as cereals and oil seeds, changing their content of essential nutrients and often lowering their nutritional value. Moreover, climate change threatens not only the production of food but also its storage and transport. Altered climate will shift the distribution of pests, fungi and microorganisms and may lead to higher food prices.
Terrestrial planet climate studies provide a platform for the discussion of the climate changes currently affecting the Earth. The apparent stability of the Earth’s climate over the last few thousand years is deceptive, since it was preceded by huge changes taking place in the past, sometimes (during the most recent terrestrial ice ages, for example) on very short time scales of centuries or even decades. We now know that dramatic changes in climate, and potential habitability, have also taken place on Mars, and probably on Venus and Titan as well, although the time scales there remain uncertain.
Amelioration of the current problem on Earth requires a very complete understanding of the processes involved. Applying models of such processes to Venus and Mars not only allows us to develop detailed scenarios and possible histories for those extreme variants of the terrestrial situation, it shows up deficiencies in our understanding that could make important differences to climate forecast for the near-future of life on Earth.
Space weather encompasses the various processes that connect the physics of the Sun with that of the Earth`s environment, which consists of a very complex system involving the interaction between variations on the solar surface and the electrodynamic environment of the Earth, controlled by its magnetic field. On the basis of the last fifty years of extensive spacecraft observations both in the near-Earth space environment and in the solar system we now have a sufficiently good understanding of the physics, which allows us to start making predictions relevant for society at large. Enormous forces are released during solar eruptions that lead to risks to our society. An important aspect of the Sun–Earth connection is the possibility of a link between solar variations and climate. If such a link exists and can be quantified, it has significant implications regarding the possibility of predicting climate changes, natural or man-made, and mitigating the societal effects
Case studies, such as the multi-year droughts and wildfires in the southwestern United States and northern Mexico and the intense precipitation and flooding disasters in southern Mexico, illustrate the impacts of repeat events in identified disaster-prone areas. A geophysical perspective indicates that there are a range of tools available, including Earth satellite observation systems, instrumental networks, geophysical observatories, geographic information systems and high-resolution aerial, marine and ground-based geophysical methods. These tools coupled with improved understanding of phenomena, higher computational capacity, risk analysis, databases and numerical simulations provide a scientific-technical framework for developing improved monitoring and response strategies.
Integration efforts aiming to increase understanding of global governance changes in the sustainable development and disaster risk reduction areas focus on the need for increased institutional capacity required to link diverse networks within each global field. Institutional capacity is also needed to create greater alignment and cohesion between science and practice, and across sectors and stakeholders. A look back at the evolution of global disaster risk reduction and sustainable development efforts finds that despite early progress, integration between these fields has proved difficult to achieve. The recently established Integrated Research on Disaster Risk (IRDR) and Future Earth are case studies in science integration. Explicitly committed to science integration, both IRDR and Future Earth constitute concrete progress towards it. Both, however, are science heavy and lack transparency around funding and research relationships, and concerning decision-making structures and criteria. Ultimately success will depend on ability to balance science, policy and practice influence at all levels of organisation, and in all decision making relating to research, practice and policy.