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Global mortality rates continue to decline, and life expectancy continues its upward trend. Besides mortality levels, policymakers and providers of financial and health services would also be interested in disability prevalence and its potential future trajectories. The length of time in good health versus the duration with major disabilities or long-term illnesses has significant financial implications for both individuals and society. In this paper, we develop Bayesian common factor models to analyse Australian age- and sex-specific disability prevalence rates. In particular, there are one or more common factors shared by both sexes, as well as specific factors for each sex. Retirement villages are purpose-built residential complexes designed for relatively healthy retirees to live as neighbours and share a communal lifestyle. We apply the model forecasts and simulations to valuate a typical retirement village contract. The cost of this accommodation service is determined by the resident’s total length of stay, which can be estimated using forecasted and simulated disability prevalence rates and mortality rates from our proposed models.
This chapter argues that the sociological interest in anthropological concepts and the renewed interest of anthropology in Western economies through ethnographic investigation may generate a terrain upon which further and fruitful collaboration can be established. It provides insights as to how shifting values and new social arrangements may have initiated 'dis-embedding' processes from which 're-embedding' mechanisms are yet to be seen in their entirety. The dis-embedding/embedding mechanism of the double movement operates at different levels: it can make sense of both a large-scale event, as well as the dynamics in small-scale settings. Versatility makes the analytical tool adaptable both in sociology and anthropology. Abstract theoretical tools were turned into methodological concepts to reveal the extent of the embeddedness of the economy in contemporary societies. The chapter shows how the Polanyian metaphors shed new light on work-related social practices and their meaning in an Italian setting, the Brianza.
In recent decades the Mediterranean has witnessed an expansion of the migration routes and exchanges taking place within its shores and a parallel modification of the actors involved. A Mediterranean anthropology, common cultural elements persisting through centuries, explains social and political processes. The persistence of social, economic and cultural aspects, the way in which phenomena take place, enlightens the sense of the 'historical reality of longue durée'. The stability of the Mediterranean immigration model has persisted notwithstanding the succession of nationalities and ethnic groups composing the main inflows at various times. Aspects of the 'refugee crisis' show the way in which migration affects the Mediterranean. Intra-European migrations were already important at the time of the 'Great Migration' at the turn of the twentieth century, when the Americas were the most important destination. The concentration of immigrants in the tertiary sector is a common pattern of international migrations today.
This chapter focuses on the integration of the fields of welfare and international migration and proposes a unified framework for analysis. This framework is derived from Lockwood's concept of civic stratification, which facilitates analysis of the relationship between rights and controls. It is also applicable both to the operation of rights internal to citizenship, and to the rights that are granted to non-citizen populations. The chapter addresses contemporary developments in British welfare and immigration policy. It shows how an ever more refined system of civic stratification has been used to constrain the rights of both domestic welfare claimants and international migrants, while setting them against each other. In this process a related political discourse has worked to undermine the moral resources and claims to legitimacy of both groups in the name of a 'moral economy' driven from above by resource constraint, conditionality and control.
This chapter examines major changes in the organisation of economic activity over the last twenty or more years. These changes have emerged as a source of general economic insecurity, low-wage jobs, and new forms of employment-centred poverty. The chapter focuses on the major policies that have affected the condition of low-wage workers, and the growth dynamics in advanced service economies, especially the systemic outcomes concerning labour demand. It explains the ways in which the new terms of employment that have come about since the 1980s may also be contributing to insecurity and poverty. A key factor is the restructuring of labour markets that is part of deeply embedded features of advanced service economies. One of the most extreme forms of the casualisation of the employment relation is the informalisation of a growing array of activities.
This chapter discusses the transformations of contemporary European cities and is intellectually influenced by the Italian political economy tradition, which is particularly attentive to territories and cities. This tradition paved the way for sophisticated intellectual arguments about social networks, religion, crime, the role of the middle classes articulated to different processes of non-economic factors of economic development, the welfare state, relations of the labour market and poverty. The chapter reviews the ongoing dynamics of the bulk of European metropolises together with the differentiation processes taking place. The European city model has been rather reinforced in most European metropolises. The chapter argues that both contemporary urbanisation processes and the transformation of cities in Europe might be fruitfully explained in relation to social and political transformations as articulated in the Italian tradition of political economy than in terms of neoliberalisation.
Political engagement in highland Peru has changed over the past half century along with the economic, policy, and institutional environment, as demonstrated through this case study. Allpachico, a legally recognized peasant community (comunidad campesina), participated in a national peasant association that actively defended shared livelihood interests based on small-scale farming in the 1970s. Political and economic crises in the 1980s and 1990s undermined both protests and organizations. In the current neoliberal era, the state has promoted large-scale mineral extraction and municipal government while sidelining peasant farming and the comunidad. With few local jobs and scant returns to agriculture, Allpachiqueños have migrated to Lima, but many maintain their houses in the community. Despite the increasing diversity among Allpachiqueños, they continue to unite for projects for the common good, now manifesting in lobbying the local municipal government for improvements to urban structure. A communal habitus persists even though the scope of what is possible to demand has shifted from livelihood to lifestyle concerns.
Understanding the barriers to women’s employment and implementing inclusive initiatives in STEM workplaces is a critical global challenge. This systematic literature review applied a PRISMA-guided protocol to screen and critically appraise 44 empirical publications across four multidisciplinary databases. This review produced a structured analysis of the nature of barriers, their outcomes, and inclusive organisational initiatives for women in STEM workplaces. The study identifies intersecting barriers – bias-related, stereotype threat, culture, and structural – that hinder women’s representation and career progression. Inclusive initiatives, such as mentorship, stereotype reduction, equitable policies, and transparent promotion pathways, are explored as solutions; however, there are gaps in measuring their long-term efficacy and incorporating cross-cultural and intersectional perspectives. The findings underscore the need for robust theoretical frameworks and empirical research to promote equity and inclusion, thereby unlocking the full potential of women in STEM.
In this chapter, the author discusses the contemporary tensions of social change inspired by the Polanyian concept of the double movement. He interprets the double movement as a simultaneous combination of dis-embeddedness which destroys established social bonds and habits in order to accommodate new market opportunities, and re-embeddedness creating new social bonds and institutions. The author locates the interpretative frame in a more precise historical and sociocultural context where the double movement happens within the present globalised and individualised processes of change in the industrially advanced countries. He discusses the current perspectives of contemporary societies and the possibility of capitalism ending. The author considers the European context, while not ignoring the impact of global interdependence. He elaborates the analysis in order to take into account the effects of the long-lasting economic and financial crisis.
This article proposes the examination of the climate politics of labour unions, particularly the strategy of just transition, through the prism of environmental labour studies, an ecosocial approach to labour environmentalism. In the first part, it presents a historical overview in order to highlight how the just energy transition became a central element of labour environmentalism. The paper then examines the double impact of climate politics and just transition on labour environmentalism – narrowing its substantive focus while deepening the intersection of nature and labour within and beyond the workplace. The second part draws on the environmental labour studies approach to propose that labour environmentalism should take into account the inseparable relationship between labour and nature, expand the scope of work and workers, and account for global divisions of labour. In our view, such a programmatic shift will ensure that work and workers are placed centrally within ecosocial politics.
Federated Learning is a novel method of training machine learning models, pioneered by Google, aimed for use on smartphones. In contrast to traditional machine learning, where data is centralised and brought to the model, Federated Learning involves the algorithm being brought to the data, ensuring privacy is preserved. This paper will demonstrate how insurance companies in a market could use this technique to build a claims frequency neural network prediction model collectively by combining and using all of their customer data, without actually sharing or compromising any sensitive information with each other. A simulated car insurance market with 10 players was created using the freMTPL2freq dataset. It was found that if all insurers were permitted to share their confidential data with each other, they could collectively build a model that achieved 5.57% of exposure weighted Poisson Deviance Explained (% PDE) on an unseen sample. However, if they are not permitted to share their customer data, none of them can achieve more than 3.82% exposure weighted PDE on the same unseen sample. With Federated Learning, they can retain all of their customer data privately and construct a model that achieves a similar level of accuracy to that achieved by centralising all the data for model training, reaching 5.34% exposure weighted PDE on the same unseen sample.
China’s recent expansion of Home- and Community-Based Services (HCBS) may influence fertility intentions among women of childbearing age. Using data from the China Labor-force Dynamics Survey (CLDS, 2014–2018) and a multi-period difference-in-differences (DID) design, we examine the effect of HCBS reforms on women’s fertility expectations and explore the channels through which these reforms operate. Our results show that HCBS expansion significantly reduces fertility intentions, with an average decline of approximately 0.12 children per woman. The effect is stronger among women with siblings, those who already have children, rural residents, and women in their prime childbearing years (aged 25–34 years). Mechanism analysis indicates that this reduction is mediated by increased perceived community safety, greater participation in pension insurance, and higher economic satisfaction. These findings suggest that elderly care policies can shape reproductive decisions, highlighting the need for integrated strategies that address both ageing and fertility concerns in China.