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This study explores the impact of heatwaves on emergency calls for assistance resulting in service attendance in the Australian state of Queensland for the period from January 1, 2010 through December 31, 2019. The study uses data from the Queensland Ambulance Service (QAS), a state-wide prehospital health system for emergency health care.
Methods:
A retrospective case series using de-identified data from QAS explored spatial and demographic characteristics of patients attended by ambulance and the reason for attendance. All individuals for which there was an emergency call to “000” that resulted in ambulance attendance in Queensland across the ten years were captured. Demand for ambulance services during heatwave and non-heatwave periods were compared. Incidence rate ratio (IRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were constructed exploring ambulance usage patterns during heatwaves and by rurality, climate zone, age groups, sex, and reasons for attendance.
Results:
Compared with non-heatwave days, ambulance attendance across Queensland increased by 9.3% during heatwave days. The impact of heatwaves on ambulance demand differed by climate zone (high humidity summer with warm winter; hot dry summer with warm winter; warm humid summer with mild winter). Attendances related to heat exposure, dehydration, alcohol/drug use, and sepsis increased substantially during heatwaves.
Conclusion:
Heatwaves are a driver of increased ambulance demand in Queensland. The data raise questions about climatic conditions and heat tolerance, and how future cascading and compounding heat disasters may influence work practices and demands on the ambulance service. Understanding the implications of heatwaves in the prehospital setting is important to inform community, service, and system preparedness.
Quantum field theory predicts a nonlinear response of the vacuum to strong electromagnetic fields of macroscopic extent. This fundamental tenet has remained experimentally challenging and is yet to be tested in the laboratory. A particularly distinct signature of the resulting optical activity of the quantum vacuum is vacuum birefringence. This offers an excellent opportunity for a precision test of nonlinear quantum electrodynamics in an uncharted parameter regime. Recently, the operation of the high-intensity Relativistic Laser at the X-ray Free Electron Laser provided by the Helmholtz International Beamline for Extreme Fields has been inaugurated at the High Energy Density scientific instrument of the European X-ray Free Electron Laser. We make the case that this worldwide unique combination of an X-ray free-electron laser and an ultra-intense near-infrared laser together with recent advances in high-precision X-ray polarimetry, refinements of prospective discovery scenarios and progress in their accurate theoretical modelling have set the stage for performing an actual discovery experiment of quantum vacuum nonlinearity.
Various different item response theory (IRT) models can be used in educational and psychological measurement to analyze test data. One of the major drawbacks of these models is that efficient parameter estimation can only be achieved with very large data sets. Therefore, it is often worthwhile to search for designs of the test data that in some way will optimize the parameter estimates. The results from the statistical theory on optimal design can be applied for efficient estimation of the parameters.
A major problem in finding an optimal design for IRT models is that the designs are only optimal for a given set of parameters, that is, they are locally optimal. Locally optimal designs can be constructed with a sequential design procedure. In this paper minimax designs are proposed for IRT models to overcome the problem of local optimality. Minimax designs are compared to sequentially constructed designs for the two parameter logistic model and the results show that minimax design can be nearly as efficient as sequentially constructed designs.
In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, we rapidly implemented a plasma coordination center, within two months, to support transfusion for two outpatient randomized controlled trials. The center design was based on an investigational drug services model and a Food and Drug Administration-compliant database to manage blood product inventory and trial safety.
Methods:
A core investigational team adapted a cloud-based platform to randomize patient assignments and track inventory distribution of control plasma and high-titer COVID-19 convalescent plasma of different blood groups from 29 donor collection centers directly to blood banks serving 26 transfusion sites.
Results:
We performed 1,351 transfusions in 16 months. The transparency of the digital inventory at each site was critical to facilitate qualification, randomization, and overnight shipments of blood group-compatible plasma for transfusions into trial participants. While inventory challenges were heightened with COVID-19 convalescent plasma, the cloud-based system, and the flexible approach of the plasma coordination center staff across the blood bank network enabled decentralized procurement and distribution of investigational products to maintain inventory thresholds and overcome local supply chain restraints at the sites.
Conclusion:
The rapid creation of a plasma coordination center for outpatient transfusions is infrequent in the academic setting. Distributing more than 3,100 plasma units to blood banks charged with managing investigational inventory across the U.S. in a decentralized manner posed operational and regulatory challenges while providing opportunities for the plasma coordination center to contribute to research of global importance. This program can serve as a template in subsequent public health emergencies.
Anti-N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor encephalitis (anti-NMDARE) is a complex, yet treatable autoimmune disorder characterized by a fairly abrupt onset of a constellation of symptoms attributable to diffuse brain dysfunction (Tarantino et al., 2021). Despite the potential for a severe disease course, most patients have a favorable outcome with substantial recovery (Dalmau et al., 2011; Titulaer et al., 2013). Nevertheless, there is limited literature discussing the long-term outcomes in patients with anti-NMDARE, particularly in pediatric patients. The primary objective of this study is to examine and describe behavioral, emotional, adaptive, and executive functioning outcomes in pediatric and young adult patients with this disease. This study also sought to provide information on the perceived health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of patients and their parents and investigate the impact of anti-NMDARE on parents and family functioning.
Participants and Methods:
All individuals known to have been diagnosed and treated for anti-NMDARE at The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia (CHOP) between January 1, 2005, and October 1, 2020, were contacted with both patients and their parents/guardians invited to participate. Eighteen pediatric patients between the ages of 6 and 26 and/or their parents/caregivers participated in the study. Of the 18 patients represented in the sample, 50% were white/Caucasian, and 67% were female. The mean duration of time since symptom onset was 7.1 years. Primary outcomes were measured through standardized questionnaires of emotional, behavioral, and adaptive functioning (BASC-3) and executive functioning (BRIEF2 or BRIEF-A). Secondary outcomes related to family functioning and HRQoL were measured through (PedsQL™ and PedsQL™ Family Impact Module.)
Results:
All aggregate T-scores for the BASC and BRIEF placed children with anti-NMDARE within an age-appropriate range regarding behavioral, emotional, adaptive, and executive functioning outcomes. Children with anti-NMDARE were not found to have lower HRQoL compared to their healthy same-age peers. Moreover, parents of children with anti-NMDARE did not endorse a prolonged impact of this illness on family functioning and adjustment.
Conclusions:
This study aimed to better understand the neurobehavioral profile and the long-term outcomes of children diagnosed with anti-NMDARE, with the ultimate goal of advancing understanding of this encephalitis. Consistent with findings from several reviewed studies on long-term follow-up, the present study suggests that most children with a history of anti-NMDARE show good functional recovery over time. However, data on the neurobehavioral sequelae, quality of life, and adaptive behavior in patients diagnosed with anti-NMDARE are still sparse, especially at pediatric age. In order to understand and learn to manage the needs of patients with anti-NMDARE, particularly regarding the impact this disease can have on daily life and school performance, additional neuropsychological research involving larger samples, longitudinal studies, and increased methodological consistency is required.
Machine learning studies of PTSD show promise for identifying neurobiological signatures of this disorder, but studies to date have largely excluded Black American women, who experience disproportionately greater trauma and have relatively higher rates of PTSD. PTSD is characterized by four symptom clusters: trauma reexperiencing, trauma avoidance, hyperarousal, and anhedonia. A prior machine learning study reported successful PTSD symptom cluster severity prediction using functional MRI data but did not examine white matter predictors. White matter microstructural integrity has been related to PTSD presence and symptoms, and unexplored metrics such as estimates of tract shape may provide unique predictive utility. Therefore, this study examines the relationship between white matter tract shape and PTSD symptom cluster severity amongst trauma-exposed Black American women using multiple machine learning models.
Participants and Methods:
Participants included 45 Black American women with PTSD (Mage=40.4(12.9)) and 89 trauma-exposed controls (Mage=39.8(11.6)). Shape and diffusion metrics for the cingulum, corpus callosum, fornix, inferior longitudinal fasciculus, superior longitudinal fasciculus, and uncinate fasciculus were calculated using deterministic tractography. Current symptom severity was calculated using the PTSD Symptom Scales. Input features included tract metrics, questionnaire responses, and age. The following regression models were generated: least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), ridge, elastic net, and gaussian process (GPR). Additionally, two forms of latent-scale GPR, one without (lsGPR) and with (sp-lsGPR) node selection via spike and slab priors, were calculated. The performance of regression models was estimated using mean square error (MSE) and R2.
Results:
sp-lsGPR performed at or above other models across all symptom clusters. LASSO models were comparable to sp-lsGPR for avoidance and hyperarousal clusters. Ridge regression and GPR had the weakest performance across clusters. Scores for sp-lsGPR by cluster are as follows: reexperiencing Mmse=0.70(0.17), Mr2=0.56(0.13); avoidance Mmse=0.75(0.17), Mr2= 0.51(0.13); hyperarousal Mmse=0.57(0.18), Mr2=0.66(0.12); anhedonia Mmse=0.74(0.27), Mr2=0.57(0.13). The top three ranked posterior inclusion probabilities for white matter tracts across sp-lsGPR models include four sections of the cingulum, three sections of the corpus callosum, the right fornix, the left inferior longitudinal fasciculus, the first segment of the right superior longitudinal fasciculus, and the right uncincate fasciculus. The greatest posterior inclusion probability value for the sp-lsGPR models was the left frontal parahippocampal cingulum for the hyperarousal cluster.
Conclusions:
Results support the combined predictive utility of white matter metrics for brain imaging regression models of PTSD. Results also support the use of sp-lsGPR models, which are designed to balance interpretable linear models and highly-flexible non-linear models. The sp-lsGPR model performance was similar across clusters but was relatively better for the hyperarousal cluster. This finding contrasts with prior machine learning work using functional data which was unable to predict hyperarousal scores above chance (MR2=0.06). These diverging findings highlight the importance of examining both functional and structural data in PTSD populations. Differing findings may also be related to sample characteristics as the prior study was conducted in China. Black American women and Chinese individuals have unique lived experiences that may differentially impact brain structure and function. Future work should continue to include diverse research samples to account for such experiences.
State Medical Boards (SMBs) can take severe disciplinary actions (e.g., license revocation or suspension) against physicians who commit egregious wrongdoing in order to protect the public. However, there is noteworthy variability in the extent to which SMBs impose severe disciplinary action. In this manuscript, we present and synthesize a subset of 11 recommendations based on findings from our team’s larger consensus-building project that identified a list of 56 policies and legal provisions SMBs can use to better protect patients from egregious wrongdoing by physicians.
Little is known about when youth may be at greatest risk for attempting suicide, which is critically important information for the parents, caregivers, and professionals who care for youth at risk. This study used adolescent and parent reports, and a case-crossover, within-subject design to identify 24-hour warning signs (WS) for suicide attempts.
Methods
Adolescents (N = 1094, ages 13 to 18) with one or more suicide risk factors were enrolled and invited to complete bi-weekly, 8–10 item text message surveys for 18 months. Adolescents who reported a suicide attempt (survey item) were invited to participate in an interview regarding their thoughts, feelings/emotions, and behaviors/events during the 24-hours prior to their attempt (case period) and a prior 24-hour period (control period). Their parents participated in an interview regarding the adolescents’ behaviors/events during these same periods. Adolescent or adolescent and parent interviews were completed for 105 adolescents (81.9% female; 66.7% White, 19.0% Black, 14.3% other).
Results
Both parent and adolescent reports of suicidal communications and withdrawal from social and other activities differentiated case and control periods. Adolescent reports also identified feelings (self-hate, emotional pain, rush of feelings, lower levels of rage toward others), cognitions (suicidal rumination, perceived burdensomeness, anger/hostility), and serious conflict with parents as WS in multi-variable models.
Conclusions
This study identified 24-hour WS in the domains of cognitions, feelings, and behaviors/events, providing an evidence base for the dissemination of information about signs of proximal risk for adolescent suicide attempts.
Most older adults prefer to age in place, which for many will require home and community care (HCC) support. Unfortunately, HCC capacity is insufficient to meet demand due in part to low wages, particularly for personal support workers (PSWs) who provide the majority of paid care. Using Ontario as a case study, this paper estimates the cost and capacity impacts of implementing wage parity between PSWs employed in HCC and institutional long-term care (ILTC). Specifically, we consider the cost of increased HCC PSW wages versus expected savings from avoiding unnecessary ILTC placement for those accommodated by HCC capacity growth. The expected increase in HCC PSW retention would create HCC capacity for approximately 160,000 people, reduce annual health system costs by approximately $7 billion, and provide an 88 per cent return on investment. Updating wage structures to reduce turnover and enable HCC capacity growth is a cost-efficient option for expanding health system capacity.
We present the first systematic inventory of surge-type glaciers for the whole of Greenland compiled from published datasets and multitemporal satellite images and digital elevation models. The inventory allows us to define the spatial and climatic distribution of surge-type glaciers and to analyse the timing of surges from 1985 to 2019. We identified 274 surge-type glaciers, an increase of 37% compared to previous work. Mapping surge-type glacier distribution by temperature and precipitation variables derived from ERA5-Land reanalysis data shows that the west and east clusters occur in well-defined climatic envelopes. Analysis of the timing of surge active phases during the periods ~1985 to 2000 (T1) and ~2000 to 2019 (T2) suggests that overall surge activity is similar in T1 and T2, but there appears to be a reduction in surging in the west cluster in T2. Our climate analysis shows a coincident increase in mean annual and mean winter air temperature between T1 and T2. We suggest that as glaciers thin under current warming, some surge-type glaciers in the west cluster may be being prevented from surging due to (1) their inability to build-up sufficient mass and (2) a switch from a polythermal to a largely cold-based thermal regime.
For infections to be maintained in a population, pathogens must compete to colonize hosts and transmit between them. We use an experimental approach to investigate within-and-between host dynamics using the pathogen Pseudomonas aeruginosa and the animal host Caenorhabditis elegans. Within-host interactions can involve the production of goods that are beneficial to all pathogens in the local environment but susceptible to exploitation by non-producers. We exposed the nematode host to ‘producer’ and two ‘non-producer’ bacterial strains (specifically for siderophore production and quorum sensing), in single infections and coinfections, to investigate within-host colonization. Subsequently, we introduced infected nematodes to pathogen-naive populations to allow natural transmission between hosts. We find that producer pathogens are consistently better at colonizing hosts and transmitting between them than non-producers during coinfection and single infection. Non-producers were poor at colonizing hosts and between-host transmission, even when coinfecting with producers. Understanding pathogen dynamics across these multiple levels will ultimately help us predict and control the spread of infections, as well as contribute to explanations for the persistence of cooperative genotypes in natural populations.
Despite becoming increasingly represented in academic departments, women scholars face a critical lack of support as they navigate demands pertaining to pregnancy, motherhood, and child caregiving. In addition, cultural norms surrounding how faculty and academic leaders discuss and talk about tenure, promotion, and career success have created pressure for women who wish to grow their family and care for their children, leading to questions about whether it is possible for these women to have a family and an academic career. This paper is a call to action for academia to build structures that support professors who are women as they navigate the complexities of pregnancy, the postpartum period, and the caregiving demands of their children. We specifically call on those of us in I-O psychology, management, and related departments to lead the way. In making this call, we first present the realistic, moral, and financial cases for why this issue needs to be at the forefront of discussions surrounding success in the academy. We then discuss how, in the U.S. and elsewhere, an absence of policies supporting women places two groups of academics—department heads (as the leaders of departments who have discretion outside of formal policies to make work better for women) and other faculty members (as potential allies both in the department and within our professional organizations)—in a critical position to enact support and change. We conclude with our boldest call—to make a cultural shift that shatters the assumption that having a family is not compatible with academic success. Combined, we seek to launch a discussion that leads directly to necessary and overdue changes in how women scholars are supported in academia.
The interaction of relativistically intense lasers with opaque targets represents a highly non-linear, multi-dimensional parameter space. This limits the utility of sequential 1D scanning of experimental parameters for the optimization of secondary radiation, although to-date this has been the accepted methodology due to low data acquisition rates. High repetition-rate (HRR) lasers augmented by machine learning present a valuable opportunity for efficient source optimization. Here, an automated, HRR-compatible system produced high-fidelity parameter scans, revealing the influence of laser intensity on target pre-heating and proton generation. A closed-loop Bayesian optimization of maximum proton energy, through control of the laser wavefront and target position, produced proton beams with equivalent maximum energy to manually optimized laser pulses but using only 60% of the laser energy. This demonstration of automated optimization of laser-driven proton beams is a crucial step towards deeper physical insight and the construction of future radiation sources.