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Plague and famine are two of the worst killers in human history. Both struck the Czech lands in the Middle Ages not long after each other (the famine of 1318 CE and the plague of 1348–1350 CE). The aim of our study was to try to relate the mass graves found in the vicinity of the Chapel of All Saints with an ossuary in the Kutná Hora–Sedlec site to these two specific events. For this purpose, we used stratigraphic and archaeological data, radiocarbon dating, and Bayesian modeling of 172 calibrated AMS ages obtained from teeth and bones of 86 individuals buried in the mass graves. Based on the stratigraphic and archaeological data, five mass graves were interpreted as famine graves and eight mass graves were interpreted as plague graves. Using these data and the calibration of the radiocarbon results of the tooth-bone pairs of each individual, we constructed the Bayesian model to interpret the remaining mass graves for which no contextual information was available (eight mass graves). In terms of Bayesian model results, the model fits stratigraphic data in 23 out of 34 cases and in all seven cases based on calibration data. To validate the model results on archaeologically and stratigraphically uninterpreted data, ancient DNA analysis is required to identify Yersinia pestis.
The flow-induced oscillations of a clamped flexible ring in a uniform flow were explored using the penalty immersed boundary method. Both inverted and conventional ring configurations were examined, with systematic analysis focused on the effects of bending rigidity and eccentricity. Four distinct oscillation modes were identified across parameter variations: flapping (F), deflected oscillation (DO), transverse oscillation (TO) and equilibrium (E) modes. Each mode exhibited a 2S wake pattern. The inverted ring sustained the DO mode under low bending rigidity with a deflected shape, transitioning to the TO mode at higher bending rigidity. In the TO mode, a lock-in phenomenon emerged, enabling the inverted ring to achieve a high power coefficient due to a simultaneous rise in both oscillation amplitude and frequency. By contrast, the conventional ring exhibited the F mode at low bending rigidity and transitioned to the E mode as rigidity increased, although its power coefficient remained lower because of reduced critical bending rigidity. For the inverted ring, low eccentricity enhanced oscillation intensity but limited the operational range of the TO mode. In contrast, for the conventional ring, reducing eccentricity led to an increase in oscillation amplitude. Among the investigated configurations, the inverted-clamped ring achieved the highest energy-harvesting efficiency, surpassing those of the conventional clamped ring and a buckled filament.
The work investigates the response dynamics of non-premixed jet flames to blast waves that are incident along the jet axis. In the present study, blast waves, generated using the wire-explosion technique, are forced to sweep across a non-premixed jet flame that is stabilised over a nozzle rim positioned at a distance of 264 mm from the source of the blast waves. The work spans a wide range of fuel-jet Reynolds numbers ($Re$; ranging from 267 to 800) and incident blast-wave Mach numbers ($M_{s,r}$; ranging from 1.025 to 1.075). The interaction imposes a characteristic flow field over the jet flame marked by a sharp discontinuity followed by a decaying profile and a delayed second spike. The second spike in the flow field profile corresponds to the induced flow that follows the blast front. While the response of the flame to the blast front was minimal, it was found to detach from the nozzle rim and lift off following the interaction with the induced flow. Subsequently, the lifted flame was found to reattach back at the nozzle or extinguish, contingent on the operating $Re$ and $M_{s,r}$. Alongside flame lift-off, flame-tip flickering was aggravated under the influence of the induced flow. A simplified theoretical model extending the vorticity transport equation was developed to estimate the change in flickering time scales and length scales owing to the interaction with the induced flow. The observed experimental trends were further compared against theoretical predictions from the model.
The nonlinear disturbance caused by either a localised pressure distribution moving at constant speed on the free surface of a liquid of finite depth or a flow over a topographic obstacle, is investigated using (i) the weakly nonlinear forced Kadomtsev–Petviashvili equation which is valid for depth-based Froude numbers near unity and (ii) the fully nonlinear free-surface Euler system. The presence of a steady v-shaped Kelvin wave pattern downstream of the forcing is established for this model equation, and the wedge angle is characterised as a function of the depth-based Froude number. Inspired by this analysis, it is shown that the wake can be eliminated via a careful choice of the forcing distribution and that, significantly, the corresponding nonlinear wave-free solution is stable so that it could potentially be seen in a physical experiment. The stability is demonstrated via the numerical solution of an initial value problem for both the model equation and the fully nonlinear Euler system in which the steady wave-free state is attained in the long-time limit.
The interaction between elastic structures and fluid interfaces, known as ‘hydroelastic’ problems, presents unique challenges to classical frameworks established for rigid spheres and liquid droplets. In this work, we experimentally demonstrate an intriguing phenomenon where ultrasoft hydrogel spheres rebound from a water surface at high impact speeds, even when their density exceeds that of water. We further propose a theoretical force-balance model, incorporating energy redistribution and potential flow theory, to predict the critical impact speed for the transition from sinking to rebounding, as well as the temporal evolution of both spreading diameter and cavity expansion. Our findings extend the classical Weber- and Bond-number-dominated paradigms for rigid spheres and liquid droplets, demonstrating that hydrogel dynamics is controlled by a modified elastocapillary Mach number, with rebound achievable even for hydrophilic spheres. These findings improve the understanding of soft-impact hydrodynamics and offer design principles for applications in biomimetic robotics and energy-absorbing materials.
Nd-Hf isotope evolution in arc magmas has been widely used to trace the advance and retreat of subduction zones over time. However, the reliability of this method has been questioned. One way to assess its validity is by comparing it with LaN/YbN or Sr/Yb ratios, which are well-established proxies for crustal thickness. In this study, we present new Nd-Hf isotopic data from the Permian to Triassic Hangay Batholith in the western Mongol-Okhotsk Orogen (Hangay Mountains), to evaluate the role of Nd-Hf isotopes in tracing crustal thickness variations along convergent plate boundaries. Our results show that granitoids from the Hangay Batholith likely originated from partial melting of crustal materials, with a possible mantle contribution. These granitoids have moderate εNd(t) and εHf(t) values, with no significant shift from Permian to Triassic, which contrasts with the continuous crustal thickening indicated by LaN/YbN ratios. This inconsistency between Nd-Hf isotope evolution and crustal thickness variation is likely due to the heterogeneous crustal architecture in this accretionary orogen. Our findings highlight the need for caution when linking Hf and Nd isotope evolution with extensional and contractional tectonics.
We investigate the dynamics of a pair of rigid rotating helices in a viscous fluid, as a model for bacterial flagellar bundle and a prototype of microfluidic pumps. Combining experiments with hydrodynamic modelling, we examine how spacing and phase difference between the two helices affect their torque, flow field and fluid transport capacity at low Reynolds numbers. Hydrodynamic coupling reduces the torque when the helices rotate in phase at constant angular speed, but increases the torque when they rotate out of phase. We identify a critical phase difference, at which the hydrodynamic coupling vanishes despite the close spacing between the helices. A simple model, based on the flow characteristics and positioning of a single helix, is constructed, which quantitatively predicts the torque of the helical pair in both unbounded and confined systems. Finally, we show the influence of spacing and phase difference on the axial flux and the pump efficiency of the helices. Our findings shed light on the function of bacterial flagella and provide design principles for efficient low-Reynolds-number pumps.
Climate impacts and risk, within and across cities, are distributed highly unequally. Cities located in low latitudes are more vulnerable to climate risk and impacts than in high latitudes, due to the large proportion of informal settlements relative to the housing stock and more frequent extremes. According to EM-DAT, about 60% of environmental disasters in cities relate to riverine floods. Riverine floods and heatwaves cause about 33% of deaths in cities. However, cold-waves and droughts impact most people in cities (42% and 39% of all people, respectively). Human vulnerability intersects with hazardous, underserved communities. Frequently affected groups include women, single parents, and low-income elderly. Responses to climatic events are conditioned by the informality of social fabric and institutions, and by inequitable distribution of impacts, decision-making, and outcomes. To ensure climate-resilient development, adaptation and mitigation actions must include the broader urban context of informality and equity and justice principles. This title is also available as open access on Cambridge Core.
Chapter 13 evaluates the challenges of SDG 12: Responsible Consumption and Production, which aims to reduce economies’ material footprints and related waste emissions to support a shift toward more environmentally responsible practices. Global trends in material resource extraction and waste emissions are reviewed, highlighting increasing per capita resource use, rising resource intensity, and escalating waste emissions. Water, land, and air pollution can impose significant economic costs due to their impacts on human health and well-being and degradation of the stock of natural capital, including ecosystems. Policy options for reducing waste emissions are compared and contrasted. Market-based mechanisms, like taxes or tradable permits, offer cost-effectiveness but may not ensure sufficient environmental protection in uncertain conditions. Conversely, regulations enforced by penalties may be necessary for meeting standards, particularly for hazardous waste, although they can introduce uncertainty about producer costs. Other strategies, such as liability for compensation and environmental assurance bonds, aim to encourage waste reduction, reuse, and recycling.
Chapter 3 explores how economics approaches the problem of allocating and distributing scarce environmental goods and services between competing ends. It examines the trade-offs the decision-makers involved in consuming and producing these goods and services face. In a model of the market allocation of a single environmental good or service, two building blocks are established: consumer demand and producer supply. Demand is the willingness of consumers to purchase specific quantities at different prices over a given period, which depends on the economic value they place on that environmental good or service. Supply is the willingness of producers to provide specific quantities to the market at different prices over a given period, which depends on the cost of inputs needed to provide that environmental good or service. Buyers and sellers interact in a market to determine the quantity and the price of an environmental good or service being exchanged and respond to a shortage or surplus. The economically efficient and optimal allocation of an environmental good or service is established in the marketplace, which has economic welfare, sustainability, and social equity implications.
Chapter 4 examines when the efficient and optimal allocation of marketed goods may not apply to environmental goods and services. Market failures can cause environmental misuse and overuse due to the lack of a fully functioning market or when the markets do not function under perfectly competitive conditions necessary for an economically efficient outcome. For example, due to environmental externalities, user costs, open access, public goods, imperfect market structures and power. When the market is not at its socially optimal equilibrium, there is a deadweight loss that reflects the inefficiency occurring and represents a loss of total welfare to society, along with implications for environmental sustainability and social equity. Government policy failures, such as poor-quality institutions and governance, unintended policy impacts, and failure to correct pervasive market failures, also contribute to environmental misuse. Correcting market and policy failures is critical for economic efficiency, environmental sustainability, and social equity.
Chapter 11 evaluates the challenges of SDG 14: Life Below Water, which aims to conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas, and marine resources for sustainable development. The ocean ecosystem can be treated as a stock of natural capital providing many goods and services, including fish, minerals, oil, recreational activities, transportation, and climate regulation. Marine capital is under stress and facing scarcity due to the overharvesting of fish, pollution, higher water temperatures from climate change, and the loss of coastal and ocean habitats. Fish are a renewable natural resource, and the properties of their natural growth function and the impact of harvest levels on fish stocks are explained. An economic model is established to determine efficient fishery management, contrasting with open-access conditions that can lead to fishery collapse. Sustainable ocean management policies include removing subsidies, regulating fisheries, using taxation and transferable quotas, and creating marine protected areas. Businesses and governments can help bridge the funding gap for the conservation and sustainable management of ocean resources.
Distinguishing early domesticates from their wild progenitors presents a significant obstacle for understanding human-mediated effects in the past. The origin of dogs is particularly controversial because potential early dog remains often lack corroborating evidence that can provide secure links between proposed dog remains and human activity. The Tumat Puppies, two permafrost-preserved Late Pleistocene canids, have been hypothesized to have been littermates and early domesticates due to a physical association with putatively butchered mammoth bones. Through a combination of osteometry, stable isotope analysis, plant macrofossil analysis, and genomic and metagenomic analyses, this study exploits the unique properties of the naturally mummified Tumat Puppies to examine their familial relationship and to determine whether dietary information links them to human activities. The multifaceted analysis reveals that the 14,965–14,046 cal yr BP Tumat Puppies were littermates who inhabited a dry and relatively mild environment with heterogeneous vegetation and consumed a diverse diet, including woolly rhinoceros in their final days. However, because there is no evidence of mammoth consumption, these data do not establish a link between the canids and ancient humans.
Chapter 5 explains “economic value,” the worth an individual assigns to an environmental good or service, reflecting what they are willing to pay (or accept) for more (or less) of it. Environmental goods and services not traded in markets are often seen as “free” or having “zero” economic value, leading to degradation and depletion. Assigning a “dollar value” to nature is important for pricing, policy design, project assessment, and compensation determination. Understanding the various types of economic benefits is essential for estimating the economic value of environmental goods and services, categorized by the “total economic value” framework. There are various approaches to estimating economic values when market data is lacking, such as the travel cost approach, hedonic pricing, contingent valuation, and the environment as an input approach. Non-market valuation techniques can be applied to estimate the value of statistical life and support the benefits transfer method. Case study examples of these valuation approaches explore their application to real-world environmental problems and assess some challenges they face.
Chapter 8 evaluates the challenges of SDG 6: Clean Water and Sanitation, which aims to ensure the availability and sustainable management of scarce water supplies and provide sanitation for all. Water crises and stress, including drought, are critical global risks facing society today in terms of economic impact. The future demand for water needs to be balanced against safeguarding the environmental demands, especially for critical ecological and hydrological functions. Meeting future clean water and sanitation needs requires correcting current mismanagement, which results in the over-extraction of groundwater and contamination of freshwater supplies. A comprehensive strategy is required to “bend the curve” on global water use and reduce the economic challenges of water crises and stress. This consists of ending the underpricing of water by removing existing policy distortions and encouraging greater and more efficient use of water markets and trade. Correcting the underlying market failures and creating opportunities for government investment in water-saving technologies and more efficient water distribution systems are also required.
Chapter 2 explores economic views of sustainability, defined as “development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs” (WCED, 1987). This implies the current population’s needs are met, and future generations have access to at least the same economic opportunities and well-being as today. The systems approach to sustainability optimizes goals across environmental, economic, and social systems. The economists’ capital approach treats nature as capital. Natural, physical, and human capital form a portfolio of assets representing an economy’s wealth, which determines economic opportunities and human welfare. “Weak” sustainability assumes that maintaining and enhancing the overall stock of all capital is sufficient to achieve sustainable development. “Strong” sustainability asserts that preserving essential, irreplaceable, and non-substitutable natural capital is also necessary. The “resource curse” hypothesis and the environmental “Kuznet’s curve” hypothesis (EKC) are explained. Achieving sustainable development requires addressing extreme poverty, inequality, and unsustainable resource use.